- The Cardinals are -200 favorites vs the Pirates
- Pirates vs Cardinals Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Pirates / Cardinals TV Channel: BSMW | SNPT
The Pittsburgh Pirates (+165) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (-200) on Wednesday, September 18, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:45pm EDT in St. Louis, MO.
This season, the Pirates are 71-80 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 77-74 ATS.
Pirates vs Cardinals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Pirates starting pitcher: Jake Woodford 0-6, 7.93 ERA
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Sonny Gray 13-9, 3.76 ERA
Pirates vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Pirates | +1.5 -125 | O 8 -115 | +165 |
| Cardinals | -1.5 +105 | U 8 -105 | -200 |
Pirates vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 59.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Bets Today:
- Joey Bart has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 29 games (+18.50 Units / 64% ROI)
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 away games (+12.60 Units / 33% ROI)
- Isiah Kiner-Falefa has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 14 away games (+12.10 Units / 53% ROI)
- Yasmani Grandal has hit the Walks Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+10.90 Units / 136% ROI)
- Rowdy Tellez has hit the Hits Under in his last 7 games (+8.40 Units / 111% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Masyn Winn has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 23 games at home (+23.00 Units / 100% ROI)
- Nolan Arenado has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 22 games at home (+12.25 Units / 42% ROI)
- Masyn Winn has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 24 games at home (+11.20 Units / 22% ROI)
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 22 games (+10.25 Units / 27% ROI)
- Sonny Gray has hit the Strikeouts Over in 20 of his last 28 games (+10.05 Units / 28% ROI)
Pirates Best Bets Today:
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 62 of their last 112 games (+9.02 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Under in 37 of their last 66 away games (+7.55 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Over in 42 of their last 74 games (+7.30 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 14 away games (+6.40 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 17 games (+0.73 Units / 3% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 22 games at home (+8.20 Units / 34% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 9 of their last 11 games (+7.25 Units / 54% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 26 games (+6.25 Units / 22% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 30 games (+5.70 Units / 13% ROI)
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 80-71 against the Run Line (+3.93 Units / 2.01% ROI).
- 71-80 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.02 Units / -6.25% ROI
- 72-74 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.75 Units / -5.81% ROI
- 74-72 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.22 Units / -2.56% ROI
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 77-74 against the Run Line (-5.3 Units / -2.57% ROI).
- 76-75 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.55 Units / -4.75% ROI
- 69-76 when betting on the total runs Over for -15.17 Units / -9.18% ROI
- 76-69 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.25 Units / -0.15% ROI
Cardinals vs Pirates Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew McCutchen (PIT) | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Bryan Reynolds (PIT) | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Joey Bart (PIT) | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Bryan De La Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Rowdy Tellez (PIT) | 0.5 +825 | 0.5 -1400 |
Cardinals vs Pirates Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Isiah Kiner-Falefa (PIT) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Bryan Reynolds (PIT) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Nick Gonzales (PIT) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Joey Bart (PIT) | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
| Bryan De La Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
Cardinals vs Pirates RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew McCutchen (PIT) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Bryan Reynolds (PIT) | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
| Bryan De La Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Joey Bart (PIT) | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Nick Gonzales (PIT) | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
Cardinals vs Pirates Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Sonny Gray (STL) | 6.5 -125 | 6.5 -105 |
Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Luis Ortiz has walked 54 of 443 batters (12%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 124 total IP; League Avg: 8% — fourth Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .159 (24-for-151) against Luis Ortiz versus the 2-3-4 hitters this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 60 total IP; League Avg: .252 — 99th Percentile.
Luis Ortiz has allowed a BABIP of .205 vs left-handed batters this season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 60 total IP; League Avg: .288 — 97th Percentile.
Luis Ortiz has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 92.4 MPH in the 2023 season (287 balls in play) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 89.2
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Sonny Gray has a strikeout rate of 58% (195 SO in 338 PAs) with two-strikes this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .107 (34-for-318) against Sonny Gray with two-strikes this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .163 — 100th Percentile.
Sonny Gray has allowed an OBP of just .160 (338 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .232 — 100th Percentile.
Sonny Gray has allowed an OPS of just .323 (338 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .486 — 100th Percentile.
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Pirates are just 59-7 (.894) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .948.
The Pirates are just 6-42 (.125) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .250.
The Pirates are just 9-29 (.237) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .357.
The Pirates are just 17-30 (.362) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates
The Cardinals are just 24-38 (.387) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .574.
The Cardinals are 39-19 (.672) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are 53-56 (.486) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .415.
The Cardinals are 21-13 (.618) after a loss as underdogs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .434.
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends
Pirates hitters are slugging just .379 against LHP since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .405.
Pirates hitters are slugging just .486 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .560.
Pirates hitters have 403 strikeouts in 1,529 PA’s (26%) against LHP this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Pirates hitters are slugging just .496 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .572.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters have just 330 strikeouts in 1,645 PA’s (20%) against LHP this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of just .658 (1,645 PA’s) against LHP this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .711.
The Cardinals are batting just .237 against LHP since last season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .250.
The Cardinals are just 44-70 (.373) against the run line (-30.5% ROI) after a road win since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .493.
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends
Pirates pitchers have walked 1,655 of 18,250 batters (9%) since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Pirates pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 54% of their games since last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Pirates pitchers have walked 15 of 114 batters (13%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Pirates pitchers have an ERA of 4.71 (1516.2 IP) against division opponents since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.12.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Cardinals pitchers this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cardinals vs. Pirates Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- St. Louis Cardinals – No Injuries Reported
- Pittsburgh Pirates – No Injuries Reported
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