- The Dodgers are -200 favorites vs the Pirates
- Pirates vs Dodgers Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Pirates / Dodgers TV Channel: SNLA | SNPT | MLBN
The Pittsburgh Pirates (+170) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-210) on Friday, August 9, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10pm EDT in Los Angeles, CA.
This season, the Pirates are 56-58 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 55-60 ATS.
Pirates vs Dodgers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Pirates starting pitcher: Mitch Keller 10-5, 3.23 ERA
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Jack Flaherty 8-5, 2.82 ERA
Pirates vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Pirates | +1.5 -120 | O 8 -115 | +170 |
| Dodgers | -1.5 +100 | U 8 -105 | -210 |
Pirates vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Friday‘s MLB game with 58.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Bets Today:
- Isiah Kiner-Falefa has hit the Hits Over in 32 of his last 41 games (+19.95 Units / 25% ROI)
- Joey Bart has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 games (+14.80 Units / 247% ROI)
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Singles Over in 28 of his last 43 games (+10.60 Units / 20% ROI)
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 25 away games (+9.80 Units / 29% ROI)
- Isiah Kiner-Falefa has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 26 of his last 41 games (+9.35 Units / 20% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jason Heyward has hit the Singles Under in 30 of his last 39 games (+15.25 Units / 24% ROI)
- Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 16 games (+15.00 Units / 94% ROI)
- Jack Flaherty has hit the Strikeouts Over in 16 of his last 19 games (+13.05 Units / 58% ROI)
- Gavin Lux has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 15 games (+12.80 Units / 49% ROI)
- Amed Rosario has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 24 games (+12.55 Units / 29% ROI)
Pirates Best Bets Today:
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 46 of their last 75 games (+16.70 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Over in 24 of their last 37 games (+10.45 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 16 of their last 33 away games (+8.30 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Under in 31 of their last 52 games (+8.05 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 17 away games (+7.40 Units / 40% ROI)
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Under in 30 of their last 48 games at home (+11.00 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 33 games (+8.00 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.75 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 13 games at home (+3.25 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.10 Units / 26% ROI)
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 64-50 against the Run Line (+11.61 Units / 7.85% ROI).
- 56-58 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.25 Units / -2.45% ROI
- 53-57 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.8 Units / -7.75% ROI
- 57-53 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.52 Units / -0.42% ROI
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 55-60 against the Run Line (-11.45 Units / -8.23% ROI).
- 66-49 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.15 Units / -7.51% ROI
- 60-54 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.65 Units / 0.51% ROI
- 54-60 when betting on the total runs Under for -12 Units / -9.46% ROI
Dodgers vs Pirates Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
| Oneil Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Freddie Freeman (LAD) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Bryan Reynolds (PIT) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Will Smith (LAD) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
Dodgers vs Pirates Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Will Smith (LAD) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Freddie Freeman (LAD) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Miguel Rojas (LAD) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Gavin Lux (LAD) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Dodgers vs Pirates RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Will Smith (LAD) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Freddie Freeman (LAD) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Gavin Lux (LAD) | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -250 |
Dodgers vs Pirates Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Mitch Keller (PIT) | 4.5 -160 | 4.5 +120 |
Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Mitch Keller has allowed a slugging percentage of just .287 (50 Total Bases / 174 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — tied for 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .390 — 94th Percentile.
Mitch Keller has allowed an OBP of .334 (763 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .288 — eighth Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 27% (106/391) against Mitch Keller this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — fifth Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% (201/967) against Mitch Keller this season — tied for 9th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 14th Percentile.
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of 32% (42/131) against Jack Flaherty this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 45 total IP; League Avg: 24% — first Percentile.
Jack Flaherty has a strikeout rate of 32% (140 SO in 440 PAs) this season — 6th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 45 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 96th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .417 (10-for-24) against Jack Flaherty in close and late situations since last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 110 total IP; League Avg: .231 — third Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .468 (22-for-47) against Jack Flaherty on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 45 total IP; League Avg: .330 — second Percentile.
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Pirates are just 17-28 (.378) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Pirates are just 6-32 (.158) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .239.
The Pirates are just 15-192 (.072) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .096.
The Pirates are just 98-22 (.817) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .858.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates
The Dodgers are 245-46 (.842) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .722.
The Dodgers are 54-27 (.667) after a road loss since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .463.
The Dodgers are 22-38 (.367) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .269.
The Dodgers are 70-126 (.357) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .278.
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends
Pirates hitters are slugging just .494 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .572.
The Pirates are batting just .185 in lefty-lefty matchups since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .234.
Pirates hitters have 296 strikeouts in 1,173 PA’s (25%) against LHP this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Pirates hitters are slugging just .497 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .580.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters are slugging .708 with the pitcher behind in the count this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .597.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of 1.218 (2,142 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.089.
Dodgers hitters have 421 extra-base hits out of 1,068 total hits (39%) against LHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .338 (7,724 PA’s) against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends
The Pirates have won 43% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Pirates pitchers have walked 1,533 of 16,849 batters (9%) since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Pirates pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% over the last 14 days — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Pirates pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 16% over the past seven days (6 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
The Dodgers pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Dodgers pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in just 31% of their games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 3.41 (1998.0 IP) at home since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.02.
The Dodgers pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 32% of their games on the road in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Dodgers vs. Pirates Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Brusdar Graterol (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Tony Gonsolin (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Tyler Glasnow (Los Angeles Dodgers): Back, 15-Day IL
- Miguel Rojas (Los Angeles Dodgers): Forearm, Day-To-Day
- Ryan Brasier (Los Angeles Dodgers): Calf, 60-Day IL
- Connor Brogdon (Los Angeles Dodgers): Foot, 60-Day IL
- Mookie Betts (Los Angeles Dodgers): Hand, 10-Day IL
- Emmet Sheehan (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Max Muncy (Los Angeles Dodgers): Oblique, 60-Day IL
- Clayton Kershaw (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Dustin May (Los Angeles Dodgers): Neck, 60-Day IL
- Walker Buehler (Los Angeles Dodgers): Hip, 15-Day IL
- Michael Grove (Los Angeles Dodgers): Ribs, 15-Day IL
- Bryan Reynolds (Pittsburgh Pirates): Back, Day-To-Day
- Johan Oviedo (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Dauri Moreta (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Endy Rodriguez (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Bailey Falter (Pittsburgh Pirates): Triceps, 15-Day IL
- Ryan Borucki (Pittsburgh Pirates): Wrist, 60-Day IL
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