- The Pirates are -200 favorites vs the White Sox
- Pirates vs White Sox Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Pirates / White Sox TV Channel: NSCH | SNPT
The Pittsburgh Pirates (-190) visit Guaranteed Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (+155) on Sunday, July 14, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Chicago, IL.
This season, the Pirates are 47-48 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 44-53 ATS.
Pirates vs White Sox Starting Pitchers Today:
- Pirates starting pitcher: Mitch Keller 10-5, 3.43 ERA
- White Sox starting pitcher: Jared Shuster 1-2, 3.52 ERA
Pirates vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Pirates | -1.5 -115 | O 9 -120 | -190 |
| White Sox | +1.5 -105 | U 9 +100 | +155 |
Pirates vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Pirates will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 63.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Bets Today:
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 31 games (+13.45 Units / 43% ROI)
- Nick Gonzales has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 away games (+12.65 Units / 35% ROI)
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Singles Over in 24 of his last 35 games (+11.75 Units / 28% ROI)
- Nick Gonzales has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 20 away games (+11.20 Units / 40% ROI)
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 21 games (+9.75 Units / 37% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Andrew Benintendi has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games (+17.00 Units / 170% ROI)
- Lenyn Sosa has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 15 games at home (+11.30 Units / 32% ROI)
- Luis Robert has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 18 games (+10.45 Units / 39% ROI)
- Tommy Pham has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+10.25 Units / 32% ROI)
- Tommy Pham has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 18 games (+10.15 Units / 40% ROI)
Pirates Best Bets Today:
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 51 of their last 84 games (+14.75 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 25 of their last 51 games (+12.60 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 32 of their last 51 games (+10.75 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 33 games (+10.25 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 33 of their last 56 games (+8.95 Units / 12% ROI)
White Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 31 games at home (+9.10 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 11 games at home (+2.50 Units / 21% ROI)
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 51-44 against the Run Line (+3.86 Units / 3.11% ROI).
- 47-48 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.25 Units / -2.04% ROI
- 43-48 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.45 Units / -8.97% ROI
- 48-43 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.68 Units / 1.62% ROI
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the White Sox are 44-53 against the Run Line (-14.3 Units / -12.23% ROI).
- 27-70 when betting on the Moneyline for -34.3 Units / -34.25% ROI
- 43-49 when betting on the total runs Over for -11 Units / -10.36% ROI
- 49-43 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.15 Units / 2.04% ROI
White Sox vs Pirates Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Luis Robert (CWS) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Bryan Reynolds (PIT) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Joey Bart (PIT) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Nick Gonzales (PIT) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Jack Suwinski (PIT) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
White Sox vs Pirates Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tommy Pham (CWS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Luis Robert (CWS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Eloy Jimenez (CWS) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Lenyn Sosa (CWS) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Andrew Benintendi (CWS) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
White Sox vs Pirates RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ke'Bryan Hayes (PIT) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Nick Gonzales (PIT) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Bryan Reynolds (PIT) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Luis Robert (CWS) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Eloy Jimenez (CWS) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -225 |
White Sox vs Pirates Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Mitch Keller (PIT) | 5.5 -135 | 5.5 +105 |
| Jared Shuster (CWS) | 2.5 +100 | 2.5 -130 |
Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Mitch Keller has allowed an OBP of .337 (727 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .287 — eighth Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 33% (50/154) against Mitch Keller this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 42% — eighth Percentile.
Mitch Keller has walked 11 of 234 left-handed batters (5%) this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — 92nd Percentile.
Mitch Keller has not walked any of the 18 batters that he has faced when going through the lineup the first time in a game over the last 14 days — tied for best among NL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jared Shuster has a strike rate of just 56% (251/446) against right-handed batters this season — lowest among AL Relievers; League Avg: 65% — 0 Percentile.
Jared Shuster has a strike rate of just 56% (251/446) against right-handed batters this season — lowest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.
Jared Shuster has a strikeout rate of just 32% (25 SO in 78 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 8th lowest among AL Relievers; League Avg: 44% — eighth Percentile.
Jared Shuster has struck out just 13% (8/61) of left-handed batters he faced this season — 7th lowest among AL Relievers; League Avg: 24% — seventh Percentile.
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Pirates are just 43-58 (.426) after a home win since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .533.
The Pirates are just 3-27 (.100) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .246.
The Pirates are 12-1 (.923) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .798.
The Pirates are just 75-107 (.412) after a win since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .510.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates
The White Sox are just 13-13 (.500) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .801.
The White Sox are just 67-29 (.698) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .860.
The White Sox are just 71-56 (.559) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .730.
The White Sox are just 23-23 (.500) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .725.
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends
Pirates hitters are slugging just .361 against RHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .396.
Pirates hitters have an OPS of just .657 (2,593 PA’s) against RHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .706.
The Pirates are batting just .221 with two outs since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .236.
Pirates hitters have an OPS of just .677 (10,783 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .715.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .287 (4,717 PA’s) at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .321.
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .276 (1,765 PA’s) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .288 (9,492 PA’s) since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .284 (7,301 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends
Pirates pitchers have walked 1,467 of 16,108 batters (9%) since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Pirates pitchers this month (12 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Pirates pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 55% of their games since the 2022 season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Pirates pitchers have 159 three-pitch strikeouts this season — 3rd most in MLB.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the White Sox have won just just 13% of the time since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
White Sox pitchers have won only 6% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The White Sox have won just 20% of games in which their opponents scored first since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the White Sox have won just just 2% of the time this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
White Sox vs. Pirates Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Eloy Jimenez (Chicago White Sox): Thigh, Day-To-Day
- Yasmani Grandal (Chicago White Sox): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Matt Foster (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jake Eder (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Jesse Scholtens (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Shane Drohan (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Liam Hendriks (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jimmy Lambert (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Edgar Navarro (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, Out
- Davis Martin (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, Out
- Max Stassi (Chicago White Sox): Hip, 10-Day IL
- Miguel Andujar (Pittsburgh Pirates): Knee, 10-Day IL
- Colin Holderman (Pittsburgh Pirates): Illness, 15-Day IL
- Johan Oviedo (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Dauri Moreta (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Carmen Mlodzinski (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Vince Velasquez (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, Out
- Mike Burrows (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, Out
- JT Brubaker (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Max Kranick (Pittsburgh Pirates): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Endy Rodriguez (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Ji Hwan Bae (Pittsburgh Pirates): Hip, 10-Day IL
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