- The Yankees are -185 favorites vs the Pirates
- Pirates vs Yankees Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Pirates / Yankees TV Channel: YES | SNPT | ESPN+ | MLBN
The Pittsburgh Pirates (+145) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-175) on Friday, September 27, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in New York City, NY.
This season, the Pirates are 74-85 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 83-76 ATS.
Pirates vs Yankees Starting Pitchers Today:
- Pirates starting pitcher: Jared Jones 6-8, 4.15 ERA
- Yankees starting pitcher: Carlos Rodon 16-9, 3.88 ERA
Pirates vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Pirates | +1.5 -150 | O 8 -120 | +145 |
| Yankees | -1.5 +125 | U 8 +100 | -175 |
Pirates vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Friday‘s MLB game with 56.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Bets Today:
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Runs Under in 31 of his last 42 games (+15.70 Units / 26% ROI)
- Yasmani Grandal has hit the Walks Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+12.35 Units / 112% ROI)
- Billy Cook has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 away games (+12.30 Units / 308% ROI)
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Total Bases Under in 27 of his last 38 games (+10.50 Units / 18% ROI)
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 13 of his last 16 away games (+10.40 Units / 62% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Gleyber Torres has hit the Singles Over in 38 of his last 48 games (+25.10 Units / 40% ROI)
- Jose Trevino has hit the Hits Under in 22 of his last 34 games (+16.50 Units / 48% ROI)
- Jose Trevino has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 26 of his last 35 games (+16.10 Units / 35% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Home Runs Over in 11 of his last 20 games at home (+15.45 Units / 77% ROI)
- Jose Trevino has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 14 games at home (+15.00 Units / 98% ROI)
Pirates Best Bets Today:
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 14 games (+9.60 Units / 58% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Under in 40 of their last 71 away games (+8.50 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 19 away games (+7.20 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 65 of their last 120 games (+4.75 Units / 3% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 61 of their last 102 games (+19.75 Units / 17% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 68 of their last 125 games (+14.85 Units / 10% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 24 of their last 38 games (+7.80 Units / 17% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 28 of their last 47 games (+7.00 Units / 13% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 14 games (+4.10 Units / 19% ROI)
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 83-76 against the Run Line (-0.3 Units / -0.15% ROI).
- 74-85 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.4 Units / -6.72% ROI
- 75-79 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.25 Units / -6.93% ROI
- 79-75 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.3 Units / -1.33% ROI
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 83-76 against the Run Line (+11.2 Units / 5.85% ROI).
- 93-66 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.7 Units / -4.23% ROI
- 84-69 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.6 Units / 4.33% ROI
- 69-84 when betting on the total runs Under for -23.25 Units / -13.32% ROI
Yankees vs Pirates Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Austin Wells (NYY) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Joey Bart (PIT) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Jazz Chisholm Jr (NYY) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
Yankees vs Pirates Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gleyber Torres (NYY) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Isiah Kiner-Falefa (PIT) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Bryan Reynolds (PIT) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Nick Gonzales (PIT) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Yankees vs Pirates RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Austin Wells (NYY) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Jazz Chisholm Jr (NYY) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Nick Gonzales (PIT) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
Yankees vs Pirates Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Carlos Rodon (NYY) | 6.5 -155 | 6.5 +120 |
| Jared Jones (PIT) | 5.5 +105 | 5.5 -140 |
Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .375 (12-for-32) against Jared Jones when going through the lineup the second time in a game this month (4 games) — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .235 — fourth Percentile.
Jared Jones has averaged 97.3 MPH on fastballs this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 62 total IP; League Avg: 93.6 — 98th Percentile.
Jared Jones has allowed an OPS of 1.069 (36 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this month (4 games) — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .673 — second Percentile.
Jared Jones has a strikeout rate of just 11% (4 SO in 36 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this month (4 games) — tied for 6th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 10th Percentile.
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 33% (125/375) against Carlos Rodon this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — first Percentile.
Carlos Rodon has a first-pitch strike rate of just 58% (416/718) this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — third Percentile.
Carlos Rodon has an ERA of 6.48 (50.0 IP) against division opponents this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 3.59 — second Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 35% (161/462) against Carlos Rodon this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — sixth Percentile.
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Pirates are just 9-30 (.231) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .357.
The Pirates are just 6-44 (.120) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .250.
The Pirates are just 62-7 (.899) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The Pirates are just 7-37 (.159) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .290.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates
The Yankees are 27-20 (.574) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .412.
The Yankees are 6-3 (.667) after a win as underdogs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .405.
The Yankees are 78-23 (.772) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .627.
The Yankees are 31-16 (.660) after a road win this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .463.
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends
Pirates hitters have an OPS of just .684 (8,564 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .722.
Pirates hitters are slugging just .379 against RHP since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .407.
The Pirates are batting just .229 against division opponents since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Pirates hitters are slugging just .501 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .578.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have drawn 215 walks in 1,770 PA’s (12%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters have drawn 327 walks in 2,938 PA’s (11%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters have drawn 656 walks in 6,135 PA’s (11%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters have drawn 91 walks in 759 PA’s (12%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends
Pirates pitchers have walked 1,681 of 18,550 batters (9%) since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Pirates pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 55% of their games since last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The longest HR allowed by the Pirates pitchers in the 2023 season traveled 454.0 feet — — 2nd shortest in MLB; League Avg: 465.8
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .248 against Pirates pitchers with runners on base this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .262.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Yankees pitchers this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Yankees pitchers have an ERA of 3.76 (1413.1 IP) on the road since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 4.32.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .231 against Yankees pitchers with runners on base since the 2022 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .256.
Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% since the 2022 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Yankees vs. Pirates Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- New York Yankees – No Injuries Reported
- Pittsburgh Pirates – No Injuries Reported
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