Rangers vs Orioles Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 27

(AP Photo/Nick Wass)
  • The Orioles are -225 favorites vs the Rangers
  • Rangers vs Orioles Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
  • Rangers / Orioles TV Channel: MASN | BSSW

The Texas Rangers (+180) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-225) on Thursday, June 27, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:35pm EDT in Baltimore, MD.

This season, the Rangers are 37-43 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 46-34 ATS.

Rangers vs Orioles Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Rangers starting pitcher: Jon Gray 3-3, 3.05 ERA
  • Orioles starting pitcher: Corbin Burnes 8-3, 2.35 ERA

Rangers vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Rangers+1.5 -110O 7.5 -105+180
Orioles -1.5 -110U 7.5 -115-225

Rangers vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 65.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Josh H. Smith has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games (+16.10 Units / 201% ROI)
  • Marcus Semien has hit the Hits Under in 22 of his last 36 games (+15.45 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Adolis Garcia has hit the Total Bases Under in 21 of his last 26 games (+14.75 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Adolis Garcia has hit the RBIs Under in 22 of his last 26 games (+14.05 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Leody Taveras has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 26 of his last 38 games (+12.35 Units / 26% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Anthony Santander has hit the Home Runs Over in 13 of his last 32 games (+30.25 Units / 95% ROI)
  • Gunnar Henderson has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 17 games at home (+17.55 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Gunnar Henderson has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 27 games (+13.80 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Anthony Santander has hit the RBIs Over in 15 of his last 25 games (+13.05 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Cedric Mullins has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 16 games (+11.00 Units / 69% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 46 of their last 76 games (+17.80 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 10 of their last 15 away games (+4.95 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 27 games (+4.75 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 14 of their last 28 games (+3.45 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 28 games (+1.95 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 42 of their last 71 games (+19.45 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 41 of their last 65 games (+13.05 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 33 games (+7.75 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 21 of their last 33 games at home (+7.70 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 22 of their last 35 games at home (+7.50 Units / 18% ROI)

Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 36-44 against the Run Line (-12.95 Units / -12.6% ROI).

  • 37-43 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.15 Units / -13.03% ROI
  • 29-47 when betting on the total runs Over for -22.8 Units / -25.76% ROI
  • 47-29 when betting on the total runs Under for +15.55 Units / 17.77% ROI

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 46-34 against the Run Line (+19.3 Units / 20.79% ROI).

  • 50-30 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.6 Units / 8.45% ROI
  • 40-29 when betting on the total runs Over for +8.45 Units / 9.75% ROI
  • 29-40 when betting on the total runs Under for -15.1 Units / -17.33% ROI

Orioles vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Gunnar Henderson (BAL) 0.5 +375 0.5 -550
Anthony Santander (BAL) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550
Adolis Garcia (TEX) 0.5 +450 0.5 -650
Corey Seager (TEX) 0.5 +575 0.5 -800
Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) 0.5 +575 0.5 -900

Orioles vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Corey Seager (TEX) 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Wyatt Langford (TEX) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
Anthony Santander (BAL) 0.5 -225 0.5 +160
Adolis Garcia (TEX) 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Cedric Mullins (BAL) 0.5 -200 0.5 +150

Orioles vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) 0.5 +130 0.5 -165
Ryan O'Hearn (BAL) 0.5 +130 0.5 -165
Anthony Santander (BAL) 0.5 +135 0.5 -185
Gunnar Henderson (BAL) 0.5 +140 0.5 -190
Adley Rutschman (BAL) 0.5 +140 0.5 -190

Orioles vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Corbin Burnes (BAL) 5.5 -110 5.5 -115

Opponents are hitting .440 (70-for-159) against Jon Gray on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 160 total IP; League Avg: .342 — second Percentile.

Jon Gray has not allowed a walk in his last 120 PAs against a RHH dating back to April 16th — this is the longest active streak among active MLB players.

Jon Gray has allowed an OBP of just .100 (20 PA’s) over the past seven days (1 games) — best among AL Starters over the last week; League Avg: .281 — 100th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a chase rate of 38% (313/822) against Jon Gray since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 95 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 99th Percentile.

Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Corbin Burnes has allowed an OPS of just .440 (161 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .701 — 100th Percentile.

Corbin Burnes has had second base stolen on him 21 times this season — most in MLB — 100th Percentile.

Corbin Burnes has located his fastballs down 66% of the time (255/385) since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% — 100th Percentile.

Corbin Burnes has located his fastball inside 72% of the time (89/123) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 100th Percentile.

Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

The Rangers are just 3-179 (.016) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.

The Rangers are just 2-29 (.065) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .146.

The Rangers are just 9-162 (.053) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .096.

The Rangers are just 5-87 (.054) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .103.

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers

The Orioles are 19-7 (.731) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Orioles are 50-27 (.649) after a road win since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .480.

The Orioles are 56-43 (.566) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .413.

The Orioles are 101-67 (.601) after a loss since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .489.

Rangers hitters have an OBP of .333 (2,524 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .320.

13% of Rangers’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (2,003/15,321 PA’s) since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 11%.

14% of Rangers’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (426/2,986 PA’s) this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 12%.

Rangers hitters have an OPS of .799 (4,520 PA’s) at home since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .736.

Orioles hitters are slugging .282 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .211.

Orioles hitters are slugging .460 against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .392.

Orioles hitters are slugging .461 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .393.

Orioles hitters are slugging .465 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .394.

Rangers pitchers have walked 291 of 2,983 batters (10%) this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Rangers pitchers this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 44% against Rangers pitchers since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Rangers pitchers have won only 11% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.

The Orioles have won 48% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.

Orioles pitchers have walked 44 of 722 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

The Orioles won 53% of road games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Orioles pitchers this month (25 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Orioles vs. Rangers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Felix Bautista (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Terrin Vavra (Baltimore Orioles): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
  • John Means (Baltimore Orioles): Forearm, 15-Day IL
  • Kyle Bradish (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Cionel Perez (Baltimore Orioles): Oblique, 15-Day IL
  • Max Scherzer (Texas Rangers): Back, 15-Day IL
  • Jacob deGrom (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Brett Martin (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, Out
  • Tyler Mahle (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Jonathan Hernandez (Texas Rangers): Lat, 15-Day IL
  • Carson Coleman (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Nathaniel Lowe (Texas Rangers): Oblique, 10-Day IL

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About the Author

Shane Jackson

Read More @Sjacksonmgm

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.