- The Orioles are -225 favorites vs the Rangers
- Rangers vs Orioles Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Rangers / Orioles TV Channel: MASN | BSSW
The Texas Rangers (+180) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-225) on Thursday, June 27, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:35pm EDT in Baltimore, MD.
This season, the Rangers are 37-43 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 46-34 ATS.
Rangers vs Orioles Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rangers starting pitcher: Jon Gray 3-3, 3.05 ERA
- Orioles starting pitcher: Corbin Burnes 8-3, 2.35 ERA
Rangers vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rangers | +1.5 -110 | O 7.5 -105 | +180 |
| Orioles | -1.5 -110 | U 7.5 -115 | -225 |
Rangers vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 65.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Josh H. Smith has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games (+16.10 Units / 201% ROI)
- Marcus Semien has hit the Hits Under in 22 of his last 36 games (+15.45 Units / 29% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Total Bases Under in 21 of his last 26 games (+14.75 Units / 38% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the RBIs Under in 22 of his last 26 games (+14.05 Units / 29% ROI)
- Leody Taveras has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 26 of his last 38 games (+12.35 Units / 26% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Anthony Santander has hit the Home Runs Over in 13 of his last 32 games (+30.25 Units / 95% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 17 games at home (+17.55 Units / 56% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 27 games (+13.80 Units / 45% ROI)
- Anthony Santander has hit the RBIs Over in 15 of his last 25 games (+13.05 Units / 52% ROI)
- Cedric Mullins has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 16 games (+11.00 Units / 69% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 46 of their last 76 games (+17.80 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 10 of their last 15 away games (+4.95 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 27 games (+4.75 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 14 of their last 28 games (+3.45 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 28 games (+1.95 Units / 6% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 42 of their last 71 games (+19.45 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 41 of their last 65 games (+13.05 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 33 games (+7.75 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 21 of their last 33 games at home (+7.70 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 22 of their last 35 games at home (+7.50 Units / 18% ROI)
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 36-44 against the Run Line (-12.95 Units / -12.6% ROI).
- 37-43 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.15 Units / -13.03% ROI
- 29-47 when betting on the total runs Over for -22.8 Units / -25.76% ROI
- 47-29 when betting on the total runs Under for +15.55 Units / 17.77% ROI
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 46-34 against the Run Line (+19.3 Units / 20.79% ROI).
- 50-30 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.6 Units / 8.45% ROI
- 40-29 when betting on the total runs Over for +8.45 Units / 9.75% ROI
- 29-40 when betting on the total runs Under for -15.1 Units / -17.33% ROI
Orioles vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -800 |
| Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
Orioles vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Wyatt Langford (TEX) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Cedric Mullins (BAL) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Orioles vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Ryan O'Hearn (BAL) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Adley Rutschman (BAL) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
Orioles vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Corbin Burnes (BAL) | 5.5 -110 | 5.5 -115 |
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .440 (70-for-159) against Jon Gray on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 160 total IP; League Avg: .342 — second Percentile.
Jon Gray has not allowed a walk in his last 120 PAs against a RHH dating back to April 16th — this is the longest active streak among active MLB players.
Jon Gray has allowed an OBP of just .100 (20 PA’s) over the past seven days (1 games) — best among AL Starters over the last week; League Avg: .281 — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a chase rate of 38% (313/822) against Jon Gray since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 95 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 99th Percentile.
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Corbin Burnes has allowed an OPS of just .440 (161 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .701 — 100th Percentile.
Corbin Burnes has had second base stolen on him 21 times this season — most in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Corbin Burnes has located his fastballs down 66% of the time (255/385) since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% — 100th Percentile.
Corbin Burnes has located his fastball inside 72% of the time (89/123) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 100th Percentile.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Rangers are just 3-179 (.016) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Rangers are just 2-29 (.065) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .146.
The Rangers are just 9-162 (.053) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .096.
The Rangers are just 5-87 (.054) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .103.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Orioles are 19-7 (.731) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Orioles are 50-27 (.649) after a road win since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .480.
The Orioles are 56-43 (.566) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .413.
The Orioles are 101-67 (.601) after a loss since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .489.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters have an OBP of .333 (2,524 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .320.
13% of Rangers’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (2,003/15,321 PA’s) since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 11%.
14% of Rangers’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (426/2,986 PA’s) this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 12%.
Rangers hitters have an OPS of .799 (4,520 PA’s) at home since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .736.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters are slugging .282 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .211.
Orioles hitters are slugging .460 against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .392.
Orioles hitters are slugging .461 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .393.
Orioles hitters are slugging .465 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .394.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Rangers pitchers have walked 291 of 2,983 batters (10%) this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Rangers pitchers this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 44% against Rangers pitchers since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rangers pitchers have won only 11% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
The Orioles have won 48% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Orioles pitchers have walked 44 of 722 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
The Orioles won 53% of road games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Orioles pitchers this month (25 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Orioles vs. Rangers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Felix Bautista (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Terrin Vavra (Baltimore Orioles): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- John Means (Baltimore Orioles): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Kyle Bradish (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Cionel Perez (Baltimore Orioles): Oblique, 15-Day IL
- Max Scherzer (Texas Rangers): Back, 15-Day IL
- Jacob deGrom (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Brett Martin (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, Out
- Tyler Mahle (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jonathan Hernandez (Texas Rangers): Lat, 15-Day IL
- Carson Coleman (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Nathaniel Lowe (Texas Rangers): Oblique, 10-Day IL
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