- The Rangers are -175 favorites vs the Rockies
- Rangers vs Rockies Over / Under today: 10.5 Runs
- Rangers / Rockies TV Channel: ROTV | BSSW
The Texas Rangers (-165) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (+140) on Saturday, May 11, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Denver, CO.
This season, the Rangers are 22-18 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 18-20 ATS.
Rangers vs Rockies Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rangers starting pitcher: Andrew Heaney 0-4, 4.50 ERA
- Rockies starting pitcher: Ryan Feltner 1-3, 5.54 ERA
Rangers vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rangers | -1.5 -110 | O 10 -105 | -165 |
| Rockies | +1.5 -110 | U 10 -115 | +140 |
Rangers vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 65.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Josh H. Smith has hit the Hits Over in 25 of his last 30 games (+16.35 Units / 31% ROI)
- Marcus Semien has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 16 away games (+13.10 Units / 82% ROI)
- Corey Seager has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 24 games (+10.70 Units / 37% ROI)
- Davis Wendzel has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 9 games (+9.70 Units / 89% ROI)
- Davis Wendzel has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 9 games (+9.55 Units / 95% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jacob Stallings has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+17.50 Units / 438% ROI)
- Elias Diaz has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 27 games (+14.70 Units / 35% ROI)
- Brendan Rodgers has hit the RBIs Under in 15 of his last 16 games at home (+12.90 Units / 39% ROI)
- Elias Diaz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 27 games (+10.70 Units / 32% ROI)
- Ryan McMahon has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+10.35 Units / 46% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 38 games (+18.40 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 76 of their last 143 games (+15.18 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 39 games (+14.10 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 54 games (+13.05 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 19 of their last 25 away games (+12.15 Units / 38% ROI)
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 40 of their last 72 games (+11.15 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 63 games at home (+9.15 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Over in 24 of their last 43 games (+4.30 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.20 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 2 of their last 5 games (+0.27 Units / 5% ROI)
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 18-22 against the Run Line (-6 Units / -11.71% ROI).
- 22-18 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.4 Units / -0.77% ROI
- 16-22 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.2 Units / -18.68% ROI
- 22-16 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.35 Units / 9.86% ROI
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 18-20 against the Run Line (-5.65 Units / -12.44% ROI).
- 10-28 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.15 Units / -32.75% ROI
- 17-20 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.8 Units / -11.84% ROI
- 20-17 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.35 Units / 3.3% ROI
Rockies vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -350 |
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
| Elias Diaz (COL) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Sean Bouchard (COL) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
| Elehuris Montero (COL) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -750 |
Rockies vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nate Lowe (TEX) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Brenton Doyle (COL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Leody Taveras (TEX) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Ezequiel Tovar (COL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Travis Jankowski (TEX) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Rockies vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -135 |
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
| Elias Diaz (COL) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Jonah Heim (TEX) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Marcus Semien (TEX) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
Rockies vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Feltner (COL) | 4.5 +125 | 4.5 -165 |
| Andrew Heaney (TEX) | 5.5 +125 | 5.5 -160 |
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Andrew Heaney has walked 1 of 63 batters (2%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — tied for best among among AL Starters; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .286 (20-for-70) against Andrew Heaney’s non-fastballs this season — 10th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .217 — 13th Percentile.
Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of 59% (17/29) against Andrew Heaney on breaking pitches this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 35% — first Percentile.
Andrew Heaney has walked 1 of 63 batters (2%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .356 (31-for-87) against Ryan Feltner’s non-fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .217 — first Percentile.
Ryan Feltner has a strikeout rate of just 11% (7 SO in 63 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — third Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .375 (21-for-56) against Ryan Feltner when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 2nd highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: .239 — fourth Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a swing rate of 56% (182/323) against Ryan Feltner this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 46% — 98th Percentile.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Rangers are 36-20 (.643) after a home win since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .528.
The Rangers are just 3-155 (.019) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Rangers are just 8-142 (.053) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .094.
The Rangers are just 4-67 (.056) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .102.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Rockies are just 19-16 (.543) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .789.
The Rockies are just 48-23 (.676) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .857.
The Rockies are just 16-55 (.225) after a road loss since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .473.
The Rockies are just 52-15 (.776) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .898.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters are slugging .481 at home since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .416.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of .345 (3,799 PA’s) at home since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .322.
Rangers hitters have an OPS of just .436 (97 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .704.
Rangers hitters are slugging .421 since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .403.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies have a winning percentage of just 16% on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
The Rockies have won just 44% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.
The Rockies have won just 45% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.
The Rockies won only 27% of their road games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Rangers pitchers this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Rangers pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 40% of their games since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
The Rangers won 54% of home games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Rangers pitchers have won 40% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 34% with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Rockies vs. Rangers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- German Marquez (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Lucas Gilbreath (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Antonio Senzatela (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Daniel Bard (Colorado Rockies): Knee, 15-Day IL
- Max Scherzer (Texas Rangers): Back, 15-Day IL
- Jacob deGrom (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Brett Martin (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, Out
- Tyler Mahle (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jonathan Hernandez (Texas Rangers): Lat, 15-Day IL
- Carson Coleman (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Nathaniel Lowe (Texas Rangers): Oblique, 10-Day IL
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