- The Twins are -155 favorites vs the Rangers
- Rangers vs Twins Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Rangers / Twins TV Channel: BSNO | BSSW | MLBN
The Texas Rangers (+125) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (-155) on Friday, May 24, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Minneapolis, MN.
This season, the Rangers are 24-27 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 24-25 ATS.
Rangers vs Twins Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rangers starting pitcher: Jose Urena 1-3, 3.29 ERA
- Twins starting pitcher: Bailey Ober 4-2, 4.41 ERA
Rangers vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rangers | +1.5 -155 | O 8.5 +100 | +125 |
| Twins | -1.5 +125 | U 8.5 -120 | -155 |
Rangers vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Friday‘s MLB game with 56.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Leody Taveras has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 away games (+17.60 Units / 220% ROI)
- Corey Seager has hit the Runs Under in 24 of his last 34 games (+12.40 Units / 31% ROI)
- Leody Taveras has hit the Total Bases Over in 10 of his last 12 away games (+9.20 Units / 52% ROI)
- Corey Seager has hit the Hits Under in 20 of his last 28 games (+8.90 Units / 16% ROI)
- Travis Jankowski has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+8.00 Units / 47% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Max Kepler has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 20 games (+17.60 Units / 43% ROI)
- Alex Kirilloff has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+15.35 Units / 57% ROI)
- Alex Kirilloff has hit the Singles Under in 22 of his last 30 games (+12.95 Units / 35% ROI)
- Alex Kirilloff has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 20 of his last 27 games (+12.00 Units / 37% ROI)
- Jose Miranda has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+8.70 Units / 217% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 47 games (+9.30 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.65 Units / 52% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 24 away games (+1.55 Units / 6% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 15 of their last 21 games (+8.59 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 29 games (+6.10 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games (+5.10 Units / 51% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.75 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 27 games (+3.40 Units / 10% ROI)
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 19-32 against the Run Line (-17 Units / -26.46% ROI).
- 24-27 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.1 Units / -15.13% ROI
- 20-29 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.9 Units / -21.21% ROI
- 29-20 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.05 Units / 12.57% ROI
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Twins are 24-25 against the Run Line (-3.2 Units / -4.95% ROI).
- 26-23 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.85 Units / -4.39% ROI
- 23-23 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.25 Units / -4.25% ROI
- 23-23 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.3 Units / -4.36% ROI
Twins vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -350 |
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -350 |
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Max Kepler (MIN) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Trevor Larnach (MIN) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
Twins vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Trevor Larnach (MIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Nate Lowe (TEX) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +175 |
| Jonah Heim (TEX) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Marcus Semien (TEX) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Willi Castro (MIN) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Twins vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Max Kepler (MIN) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Carlos Correa (MIN) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Twins vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bailey Ober (MIN) | 5.5 +115 | 5.5 -150 |
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
4 of Jose Urena’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor this season — tied for 3rd most among AL Relievers; League Avg: nan — 96th Percentile.
Jose Urena has a strikeout rate of just 34% (24 SO in 70 PAs) with two-strikes this season — tied for 10th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 43% — 10th Percentile.
Jose Urena has a strike rate of just 59% (196/332) against right-handed batters this season — 9th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 64% — eighth Percentile.
Jose Urena has located his fastballs down 52% of the time (816/1,581) since the 2022 season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 148 total IP; League Avg: 28% — 98th Percentile.
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a line drive rate of 38% (21/55) against Bailey Ober this month (4 games) — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 0 Percentile.
Bailey Ober has thrown fastballs up 77% of the time (1,036/1,355) since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 83 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 26% (13/50) against Bailey Ober in two-strike counts this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 18 total IP; League Avg: 45% — first Percentile.
Bailey Ober has thrown fastballs up 87% of the time (496/573) with two-strikes since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 148 total IP; League Avg: 55% — 100th Percentile.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Rangers are just 3-165 (.018) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Rangers are just 10-16 (.385) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rangers are just 2-84 (.023) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .053.
The Rangers are 36-22 (.621) after a home win since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .530.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Twins are 15-80 (.158) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .102.
The Twins are just 17-30 (.362) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Twins are 21-68 (.236) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .144.
The Twins are 43-15 (.741) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .616.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters are slugging .443 against RHP since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .407.
Rangers hitters have an OPS of .814 (4,024 PA’s) at home since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .738.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of .341 (4,024 PA’s) at home since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .322.
Rangers hitters have 31 extra-base hits out of 143 total hits (just 22%) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
The Twins are batting just .153 with two-strikes since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .171.
Twins hitters have 23 extra-base hits out of 45 total hits (51%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 34%.
Twins hitters are slugging .441 against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .387.
Twins hitters have an OBP of just .285 (783 PA’s) at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .315.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Rangers pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
The Rangers have allowed 1.78 runs per game (91/51) in late innings this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 1.30.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .207 against Rangers pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .243.
Rangers pitchers have walked 191 of 1,924 batters (10%) this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Twins pitchers have walked 122 of 1,823 batters (7%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Twins pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Twins vs. Rangers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Zack Weiss (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Jhoan Duran (Minnesota Twins): Oblique, 15-Day IL
- Anthony DeSclafani (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Matt Canterino (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 7-Day IL
- Trevor Larnach (Minnesota Twins): Toe, 7-Day IL
- Royce Lewis (Minnesota Twins): Quadriceps, 10-Day IL
- Max Kepler (Minnesota Twins): Leg, Day-To-Day
- Jovani Moran (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Josh Staumont (Minnesota Twins): Calf, 15-Day IL
- Caleb Thielbar (Minnesota Twins): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Justin Topa (Minnesota Twins): Kneecap, 15-Day IL
- Jose De Leon (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, Out
- Josh Winder (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Max Scherzer (Texas Rangers): Back, 15-Day IL
- Jacob deGrom (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Brett Martin (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, Out
- Tyler Mahle (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jonathan Hernandez (Texas Rangers): Lat, 15-Day IL
- Carson Coleman (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Nathaniel Lowe (Texas Rangers): Oblique, 10-Day IL
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