- The Twins are -125 favorites vs the Rangers
- Rangers vs Twins Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Rangers / Twins TV Channel: BSNO | BSSW
The Texas Rangers (+115) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (-135) on Saturday, May 25, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Minneapolis, MN.
This season, the Rangers are 24-28 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 24-26 ATS.
Rangers vs Twins Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rangers starting pitcher: Michael Lorenzen 2-3, 3.67 ERA
- Twins starting pitcher: Chris Paddack 4-2, 4.47 ERA
Rangers vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rangers | +1.5 -175 | O 8.5 -105 | +115 |
| Twins | -1.5 +145 | U 8.5 -115 | -135 |
Rangers vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Leody Taveras has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 away games (+16.60 Units / 184% ROI)
- Travis Jankowski has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 14 games (+10.90 Units / 41% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 21 games (+10.15 Units / 40% ROI)
- Corey Seager has hit the Hits Under in 21 of his last 29 games (+9.90 Units / 17% ROI)
- Travis Jankowski has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 12 of his last 14 games (+9.00 Units / 48% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Max Kepler has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 21 games (+16.60 Units / 39% ROI)
- Alex Kirilloff has hit the Singles Under in 23 of his last 31 games (+13.95 Units / 37% ROI)
- Alex Kirilloff has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 21 games (+13.60 Units / 48% ROI)
- Alex Kirilloff has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 20 of his last 28 games (+10.85 Units / 32% ROI)
- Christian Vazquez has hit the Runs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 41% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 48 games (+10.30 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.65 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 25 away games (+0.45 Units / 2% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 15 of their last 22 games (+7.39 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 30 games (+7.10 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games (+6.10 Units / 55% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.75 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 20 games (+2.75 Units / 11% ROI)
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 20-32 against the Run Line (-16 Units / -24.32% ROI).
- 24-28 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.1 Units / -16.38% ROI
- 20-30 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.05 Units / -22.79% ROI
- 30-20 when betting on the total runs Under for +8.05 Units / 14.09% ROI
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Twins are 24-26 against the Run Line (-4.2 Units / -6.4% ROI).
- 27-23 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.85 Units / -2.78% ROI
- 23-24 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.4 Units / -6.28% ROI
- 24-23 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.3 Units / -2.42% ROI
Twins vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -350 |
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Max Kepler (MIN) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Alex Kirilloff (MIN) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
Twins vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Leody Taveras (TEX) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Marcus Semien (TEX) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Carlos Correa (MIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Max Kepler (MIN) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Twins vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -155 |
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Max Kepler (MIN) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Jonah Heim (TEX) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Twins vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Chris Paddack (MIN) | 4.5 -135 | 4.5 +100 |
| Michael Lorenzen (TEX) | 4.5 -110 | 4.5 -120 |
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Michael Lorenzen has walked 7 of 48 batters (15%) — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.
Michael Lorenzen has walked 7 of 48 batters (15%) over the last 14 days — highest in AL over the last two weeks; League Avg: 6% — second Percentile.
Michael Lorenzen allowed a batting average of .308 vs right-handed batters (13th worst)– ninth Percentile and just .091 vs left-handed batters this season (best among non-qualified SPs)– 100th Percentile.
Michael Lorenzen has allowed an OBP of .360 (50 PA’s) with two-strikes this month (4 games) — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .232 — third Percentile.
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Chris Paddack has allowed a slugging percentage of .554 (36 Total Bases / 65 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .300 — third Percentile.
Chris Paddack has a strikeout rate of just 15% (11 SO in 72 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — second Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .300 (63-for-210) against Chris Paddack this season — 2nd highest among in MLB; League Avg: .236 — fourth Percentile.
Chris Paddack has walked 3 of 104 right-handed batters (3%) this season — tied for 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 93rd Percentile.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Rangers are just 3-166 (.018) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Rangers are just 88-59 (.599) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .697.
The Rangers are just 2-85 (.023) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .053.
The Rangers are 36-22 (.621) after a home win since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .529.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Twins are just 17-30 (.362) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Twins are 21-68 (.236) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .144.
The Twins are 15-80 (.158) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .102.
The Twins are 161-4 (.976) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .950.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters are slugging just .186 with two-strikes this month (22 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .268.
Rangers hitters have an OPS of just .418 (422 PA’s) with two-strikes this month (22 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .513.
Rangers hitters are slugging .473 at home since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .416.
Rangers hitters have 31 extra-base hits out of 143 total hits (just 22%) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
The Twins are batting just .152 with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .171.
Twins hitters have an OPS of .766 (2,572 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .703.
Twins hitters have 517 extra-base hits out of 1,284 total hits (40%) against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Twins hitters have an OBP of just .294 (221 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .331.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Rangers pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Rangers pitchers have walked 51 of 468 batters (11%) over the last 14 days — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Rangers have allowed 1.75 runs per game (91/52) in late innings this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 1.30.
The Rangers pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in 51% of their games on the road in the 2023 season — tied for 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Twins pitchers have walked 126 of 1,860 batters (7%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 36% against Twins pitchers this month (21 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 10% with runners in scoring position over the last 14 days — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Twins vs. Rangers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Zack Weiss (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Jhoan Duran (Minnesota Twins): Oblique, 15-Day IL
- Anthony DeSclafani (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Matt Canterino (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 7-Day IL
- Trevor Larnach (Minnesota Twins): Toe, 7-Day IL
- Royce Lewis (Minnesota Twins): Quadriceps, 10-Day IL
- Max Kepler (Minnesota Twins): Leg, Day-To-Day
- Jovani Moran (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Josh Staumont (Minnesota Twins): Calf, 15-Day IL
- Caleb Thielbar (Minnesota Twins): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Justin Topa (Minnesota Twins): Kneecap, 15-Day IL
- Jose De Leon (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, Out
- Josh Winder (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Max Scherzer (Texas Rangers): Back, 15-Day IL
- Jacob deGrom (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Brett Martin (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, Out
- Tyler Mahle (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jonathan Hernandez (Texas Rangers): Lat, 15-Day IL
- Carson Coleman (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Nathaniel Lowe (Texas Rangers): Oblique, 10-Day IL
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