- The Twins are -135 favorites vs the Rangers
- Rangers vs Twins Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Rangers / Twins TV Channel: BSNO | BSSW
The Texas Rangers () visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins () on Sunday, May 26, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Minneapolis, MN.
This season, the Rangers are 24-29 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 25-26 ATS.
Rangers vs Twins Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rangers starting pitcher: Undecided 0-0, 0.00 ERA
- Twins starting pitcher: Pablo Lopez 4-4, 4.75 ERA
Rangers vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rangers | O | ||
| Twins | U |
Rangers vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 52.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Leody Taveras has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 away games (+15.60 Units / 156% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 22 games (+11.35 Units / 45% ROI)
- Corey Seager has hit the Hits Under in 22 of his last 30 games (+10.90 Units / 18% ROI)
- Jonah Heim has hit the RBIs Under in 12 of his last 13 games (+10.00 Units / 37% ROI)
- Leody Taveras has hit the Total Bases Over in 11 of his last 14 away games (+9.45 Units / 48% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Carlos Santana has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 25 games (+20.20 Units / 81% ROI)
- Max Kepler has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 22 games (+17.60 Units / 40% ROI)
- Alex Kirilloff has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 22 games (+12.60 Units / 43% ROI)
- Alex Kirilloff has hit the Singles Under in 23 of his last 32 games (+12.35 Units / 31% ROI)
- Christian Vazquez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 21 games (+9.60 Units / 32% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 30 of their last 49 games (+11.30 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 26 away games (+1.45 Units / 5% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 16 of their last 23 games (+8.39 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 31 games (+8.10 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.75 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.80 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 29 games (+3.85 Units / 10% ROI)
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 20-33 against the Run Line (-17.7 Units / -26.22% ROI).
- 24-29 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.1 Units / -17.6% ROI
- 20-31 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.25 Units / -24.38% ROI
- 31-20 when betting on the total runs Under for +9.05 Units / 15.56% ROI
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Twins are 25-26 against the Run Line (-2.75 Units / -4.13% ROI).
- 28-23 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.85 Units / -1.25% ROI
- 23-25 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.6 Units / -8.31% ROI
- 25-23 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.3 Units / -0.55% ROI
Twins vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -350 |
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Max Kepler (MIN) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Alex Kirilloff (MIN) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
Twins vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Leody Taveras (TEX) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Marcus Semien (TEX) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Carlos Correa (MIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Max Kepler (MIN) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Twins vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -155 |
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Max Kepler (MIN) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Jonah Heim (TEX) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Twins vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Chris Paddack (MIN) | 4.5 -135 | 4.5 +100 |
| Michael Lorenzen (TEX) | 4.5 -110 | 4.5 -120 |
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a chase rate of 42% (90/216) against Jon Gray this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 29% — 100th Percentile.
Jon Gray has thrown breaking pitches 53% of the time (469/886) on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.
Jon Gray has walked 5 of 28 left-handed batters (18%) — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 6% — first Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a chase rate of 38% (483/1,273) against Jon Gray since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 149 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 99th Percentile.
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Pablo Lopez has not walked any of the 90 batters that he has faced when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
Opposing hitters have a chase rate of 37% (199/534) against Pablo Lopez when he’s behind in the count since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 149 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Opposing hitters have a chase rate of 37% (99/267) against Pablo Lopez when he’s behind in the count since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 84 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Pablo Lopez has walked 9 of 226 batters (4%) this season — 8th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 92nd Percentile.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Rangers are just 10-16 (.385) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rangers are just 88-59 (.599) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .697.
The Rangers are just 154-25 (.860) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .904.
The Rangers are just 9-151 (.056) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .096.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Twins are 22-68 (.244) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .144.
The Twins are just 17-30 (.362) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Twins are 44-15 (.746) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .616.
The Twins are 162-4 (.976) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .950.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters have an OPS of .814 (4,024 PA’s) at home since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .737.
Rangers hitters are slugging just .187 with two-strikes this month (23 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .267.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of .341 (4,024 PA’s) at home since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .322.
Rangers hitters have an OPS of just .416 (436 PA’s) with two-strikes this month (23 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .513.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
The Twins are batting just .152 with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .171.
The Twins are batting just .244 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .267.
Twins hitters have an OPS of .769 (2,585 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .703.
Twins hitters have 1,616 strikeouts in 6,148 PA’s (26%) against RHP since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Rangers pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Rangers pitchers have walked 95 of 886 batters (11%) this month (23 games) — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rangers pitchers have walked 56 of 465 batters (12%) over the last 14 days — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .213 against Rangers pitchers this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .243.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 36% against Twins pitchers this month (22 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 38% against Twins pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Twins vs. Rangers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Zack Weiss (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Jhoan Duran (Minnesota Twins): Oblique, 15-Day IL
- Anthony DeSclafani (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Matt Canterino (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 7-Day IL
- Trevor Larnach (Minnesota Twins): Toe, 7-Day IL
- Royce Lewis (Minnesota Twins): Quadriceps, 10-Day IL
- Max Kepler (Minnesota Twins): Leg, Day-To-Day
- Jovani Moran (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Josh Staumont (Minnesota Twins): Calf, 15-Day IL
- Caleb Thielbar (Minnesota Twins): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Justin Topa (Minnesota Twins): Kneecap, 15-Day IL
- Jose De Leon (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, Out
- Josh Winder (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Max Scherzer (Texas Rangers): Back, 15-Day IL
- Jacob deGrom (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Brett Martin (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, Out
- Tyler Mahle (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jonathan Hernandez (Texas Rangers): Lat, 15-Day IL
- Carson Coleman (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Nathaniel Lowe (Texas Rangers): Oblique, 10-Day IL
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