- The Braves are -225 favorites vs the Rays
- Rays vs Braves Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Rays / Braves TV Channel: BSSE | BSUN
The Tampa Bay Rays (+180) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-225) on Friday, June 14, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:20pm EDT in Atlanta, GA.
This season, the Rays are 33-36 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 31-35 ATS.
Rays vs Braves Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rays starting pitcher: Zack Littell 2-4, 3.65 ERA
- Braves starting pitcher: Chris Sale 8-2, 3.03 ERA
Rays vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rays | +1.5 -110 | O 8.5 -115 | +180 |
| Braves | -1.5 -110 | U 8.5 -105 | -225 |
Rays vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Friday‘s MLB game with 66.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Yandy Diaz has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 away games (+13.95 Units / 44% ROI)
- Josh Lowe has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 12 games (+10.75 Units / 73% ROI)
- Jose Caballero has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 7 games (+10.50 Units / 150% ROI)
- Yandy Diaz has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 24 away games (+10.30 Units / 43% ROI)
- Alex Jackson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 13 of his last 16 games (+9.70 Units / 52% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Michael Harris II has hit the Hits Under in 27 of his last 41 games (+20.20 Units / 32% ROI)
- Austin Riley has hit the RBIs Under in 33 of his last 41 games (+19.15 Units / 27% ROI)
- Austin Riley has hit the Total Bases Under in 28 of his last 36 games (+18.35 Units / 40% ROI)
- Austin Riley has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 27 of his last 37 games (+17.30 Units / 39% ROI)
- Ozzie Albies has hit the Runs Under in 29 of his last 40 games (+16.00 Units / 33% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 45 of their last 66 games (+23.45 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 35 of their last 60 games (+7.60 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 12 away games (+6.15 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 away games (+4.80 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 33 games (+4.65 Units / 13% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 37 of their last 52 games (+22.50 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 16 of their last 21 games (+10.09 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 25 games at home (+1.00 Units / 4% ROI)
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rays are 29-40 against the Run Line (-12.9 Units / -14.5% ROI).
- 33-36 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.45 Units / -14.03% ROI
- 34-34 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.2 Units / -4.24% ROI
- 34-34 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.55 Units / -4.66% ROI
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Braves are 31-35 against the Run Line (-5.25 Units / -6.83% ROI).
- 36-30 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.15 Units / -10.47% ROI
- 23-40 when betting on the total runs Over for -20.35 Units / -28.3% ROI
- 40-23 when betting on the total runs Under for +14.65 Units / 19.96% ROI
Braves vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -300 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -375 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -400 |
| Adam Duvall (ATL) | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -450 |
| Randy Arozarena (TB) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -550 |
Braves vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Randy Arozarena (TB) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Sean Murphy (ATL) | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +135 |
Braves vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Adam Duvall (ATL) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -225 |
| Ozzie Albies (ATL) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Braves vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Chris Sale (ATL) | 7.5 +105 | 7.5 -135 |
| Zack Littell (TB) | 4.5 +120 | 4.5 -155 |
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Zack Littell has thrown his slider 51% of the time (161/314) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.
Zack Littell has walked 1 of 117 batters (1%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 100th Percentile.
Zack Littell has walked 2 of 226 batters (1%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 91 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
7 of Zack Littell’s 21 breaking pitch strikeouts (33%) have been backdoor this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 14% — 100th Percentile.
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
15 of Chris Sale’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor this season — most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of 49% (271/555) against Chris Sale with two-strikes since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 91 total IP; League Avg: 39% — 99th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .491 (26-for-53) against Chris Sale on low fastballs since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 91 total IP; League Avg: .269 — 0 Percentile.
Chris Sale has a strikeout rate of 31% (33 SO in 108 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 8th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 91st Percentile.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Rays are just 16-36 (.308) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .411.
The Rays are 14-149 (.086) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .051.
The Rays are 104-60 (.634) after a win as favorites since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .589.
The Rays are 66-10 (.868) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .794.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Braves are just 2-7 (.222) after a loss as underdogs since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .425.
The Braves are 30-17 (.638) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .428.
The Braves are 5-2 (.714) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .418.
The Braves are 17-72 (.191) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .104.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rays scored first in 64% of their games in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Rays scored first in 71% of their games against division opponents in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays hitters are slugging just .342 against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .387.
26% of Rays hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters are slugging .471 since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .407.
Braves hitters have an OPS of .800 (6,565 PA’s) against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .721.
The Braves are batting .312 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .267.
Braves hitters are slugging .483 against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .411.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 38% against Rays pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Rays pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Rays pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in just 29% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays pitchers have walked 631 of 8,647 batters (7%) since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
The Braves pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.3 MPH this season (1,563 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.9
The Braves pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 27% of their games on the road in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
The Braves pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Braves pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.3 MPH (1,563 batted balls) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.9.
Braves vs. Rays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Evan White (Atlanta Braves): Hip, Day-To-Day
- Angel Perdomo (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Ian Anderson (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, Out
- Sean Murphy (Atlanta Braves): Oblique, 10-Day IL
- Taylor Walls (Tampa Bay Rays): Hip, 10-Day IL
- Jonny DeLuca (Tampa Bay Rays): Hand, 10-Day IL
- Jeffrey Springs (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Shane Baz (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Jonathan Aranda (Tampa Bay Rays): Finger, 10-Day IL
- Taj Bradley (Tampa Bay Rays): Pectoral, 15-Day IL
- Josh Lowe (Tampa Bay Rays): Oblique, 10-Day IL
- Junior Caminero (Tampa Bay Rays): Quadriceps, Day-To-Day
- Garrett Acton (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, Out
- Drew Rasmussen (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Shane McClanahan (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Wander Franco (Tampa Bay Rays): Personal, Suspension
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