- The Rays are +100 favorites vs the Braves
- Rays vs Braves Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Rays / Braves TV Channel: BSSE | BSUN | MLBN
The Tampa Bay Rays (+105) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-125) on Sunday, June 16, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35pm EDT in Atlanta, GA.
This season, the Rays are 33-38 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 33-35 ATS.
Rays vs Braves Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rays starting pitcher: Zach Eflin 3-4, 4.07 ERA
- Braves starting pitcher: Hurston Waldrep 0-1, 17.19 ERA
Rays vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rays | +1.5 -190 | O 9 -105 | +105 |
| Braves | -1.5 +155 | U 9 -115 | -125 |
Rays vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 51.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Yandy Diaz has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 27 games (+13.00 Units / 36% ROI)
- Josh Lowe has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+12.10 Units / 77% ROI)
- Alex Jackson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 14 of his last 17 games (+10.70 Units / 54% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Total Bases Over in 24 of his last 36 games (+10.25 Units / 20% ROI)
- Josh Lowe has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 16 games (+9.70 Units / 49% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Adam Duvall has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 26 of his last 36 games (+15.50 Units / 37% ROI)
- Austin Riley has hit the Total Bases Under in 28 of his last 38 games (+15.50 Units / 32% ROI)
- Austin Riley has hit the RBIs Under in 33 of his last 43 games (+15.35 Units / 20% ROI)
- Orlando Arcia has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 22 games (+14.20 Units / 36% ROI)
- Austin Riley has hit the Hits Under in 25 of his last 39 games (+13.85 Units / 20% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 47 of their last 68 games (+25.45 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 37 of their last 62 games (+9.60 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.95 Units / 59% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 14 away games (+3.30 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 away games (+2.80 Units / 22% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 37 of their last 54 games (+20.40 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 16 of their last 23 games (+7.59 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 27 games at home (+3.55 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+0.85 Units / 7% ROI)
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rays are 29-42 against the Run Line (-15.75 Units / -17.16% ROI).
- 33-38 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.45 Units / -15.92% ROI
- 36-34 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.2 Units / -1.54% ROI
- 34-36 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.65 Units / -7.21% ROI
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Braves are 33-35 against the Run Line (-2.7 Units / -3.42% ROI).
- 38-30 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.15 Units / -8.49% ROI
- 25-40 when betting on the total runs Over for -18.35 Units / -24.73% ROI
- 40-25 when betting on the total runs Under for +12.55 Units / 16.62% ROI
Braves vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -350 |
| Brandon Lowe (TB) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Adam Duvall (ATL) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
Braves vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Lowe (TB) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Josh Lowe (TB) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Ozzie Albies (ATL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Isaac Paredes (TB) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
Braves vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
| Brandon Lowe (TB) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
| Josh Lowe (TB) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Randy Arozarena (TB) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
Braves vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Hurston Waldrep (ATL) | 3.5 -155 | 3.5 +120 |
| Zach Eflin (TB) | 4.5 +100 | 4.5 -130 |
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Zach Eflin has a strikeout rate of just 13% (14 SO in 105 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.
Zach Eflin has walked 4 of 285 batters (1%) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
Zach Eflin has walked 12 of 381 batters (3%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — tied for 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 96th Percentile.
Zach Eflin’s K:BB ratio is 12.5 (50/4) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 3.3 — 100th Percentile.
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Hurston Waldrep has limited playing time.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Rays are just 16-37 (.302) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .410.
The Rays are just 9-23 (.281) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .417.
The Rays are 20-10 (.667) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rays are 11-88 (.111) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .053.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Braves are just 2-7 (.222) after a loss as underdogs since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .426.
The Braves are 5-2 (.714) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .417.
The Braves are 50-50 (.500) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .301.
The Braves are 17-72 (.191) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .103.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters are slugging just .341 against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .388.
Rays hitters have 178 strikeouts in 548 PA’s (33%) in lefty-lefty matchups since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Rays hitters have an OPS of just .650 (1,525 PA’s) at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .707.
Rays hitters have put just 32% of their swings in play in lefty-lefty matchups since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
The Braves are batting .314 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .267.
Braves hitters are slugging .485 against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .410.
The Braves are batting .277 against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .252.
Braves hitters are slugging .472 since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .407.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
The Rays pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 38% against Rays pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rays pitchers have walked 198 of 2,732 batters (7%) this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Rays pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in just 29% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
Braves pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.4 MPH (1,605 batted balls) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.9.
The Braves pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Braves pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 27% of their games on the road in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
The Braves pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.4 MPH this season (1,605 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.9
Braves vs. Rays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Evan White (Atlanta Braves): Hip, Day-To-Day
- Angel Perdomo (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Ian Anderson (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, Out
- Sean Murphy (Atlanta Braves): Oblique, 10-Day IL
- Taylor Walls (Tampa Bay Rays): Hip, 10-Day IL
- Jonny DeLuca (Tampa Bay Rays): Hand, 10-Day IL
- Jeffrey Springs (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Shane Baz (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Jonathan Aranda (Tampa Bay Rays): Finger, 10-Day IL
- Taj Bradley (Tampa Bay Rays): Pectoral, 15-Day IL
- Josh Lowe (Tampa Bay Rays): Oblique, 10-Day IL
- Junior Caminero (Tampa Bay Rays): Quadriceps, Day-To-Day
- Garrett Acton (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, Out
- Drew Rasmussen (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Shane McClanahan (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Wander Franco (Tampa Bay Rays): Personal, Suspension
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