- The Tigers are -160 favorites vs the Rays
- Rays vs Tigers Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Rays / Tigers TV Channel: BSDT | BSUN | MLBN
The Tampa Bay Rays (+135) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (-160) on Thursday, September 26, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10pm EDT in Detroit, MI.
This season, the Rays are 78-80 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 86-72 ATS.
Rays vs Tigers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rays starting pitcher: Tyler Alexander 6-5, 5.35 ERA
- Tigers starting pitcher: Reese Olson 4-8, 3.49 ERA
Rays vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rays | +1.5 -160 | O 8 -115 | +135 |
| Tigers | -1.5 +135 | U 8 -105 | -160 |
Rays vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 57.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jonathan Aranda has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 11 games (+24.85 Units / 226% ROI)
- Junior Caminero has hit the Runs Under in 29 of his last 38 games (+12.40 Units / 17% ROI)
- Jonathan Aranda has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 13 of his last 18 games (+10.50 Units / 51% ROI)
- Jonathan Aranda has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 18 games (+8.95 Units / 30% ROI)
- Jonathan Aranda has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 18 games (+8.60 Units / 32% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Parker Meadows has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games at home (+16.70 Units / 209% ROI)
- Parker Meadows has hit the Singles Over in 24 of his last 41 games (+12.55 Units / 29% ROI)
- Riley Greene has hit the Walks Under in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+12.05 Units / 32% ROI)
- Parker Meadows has hit the Hits Over in 29 of his last 41 games (+10.35 Units / 14% ROI)
- Spencer Torkelson has hit the Runs Over in 18 of his last 34 games (+8.15 Units / 24% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 94 of their last 155 games (+28.41 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 50 of their last 82 games (+20.55 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 87 of their last 149 games (+19.20 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 52 of their last 87 games (+9.80 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 44 of their last 85 games (+5.30 Units / 6% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 48 of their last 71 games (+23.95 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 46 of their last 73 games (+21.35 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 19 games at home (+11.80 Units / 56% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 10 games at home (+8.05 Units / 59% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 18 of their last 28 games at home (+7.05 Units / 21% ROI)
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rays are 81-77 against the Run Line (-5.95 Units / -2.77% ROI).
- 78-80 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.15 Units / -4.87% ROI
- 67-85 when betting on the total runs Over for -25.45 Units / -14.7% ROI
- 85-67 when betting on the total runs Under for +11.6 Units / 6.65% ROI
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 86-72 against the Run Line (+6.8 Units / 3.18% ROI).
- 84-74 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.2 Units / 4.42% ROI
- 76-73 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.2 Units / -2.47% ROI
- 73-76 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.65 Units / -6.23% ROI
Tigers vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Spencer Torkelson (DET) | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -450 |
| Jake Rogers (DET) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Andy Ibanez (DET) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Christopher Morel (TB) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Junior Caminero (TB) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -800 |
Tigers vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andy Ibanez (DET) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Wenceel Perez (DET) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Junior Caminero (TB) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Spencer Torkelson (DET) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Tigers vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Spencer Torkelson (DET) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Matt Vierling (DET) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jake Rogers (DET) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Junior Caminero (TB) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Tigers vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Alexander (TB) | 3.5 +100 | 3.5 -135 |
| Reese Olson (DET) | 4.5 +105 | 4.5 -140 |
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 14% (27/195) against Tyler Alexander on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 2nd lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 29% — second Percentile.
Tyler Alexander has a strike rate of 74% (279/379) vs left-handed batters this season — highest among AL Relievers; League Avg: 64% — 100th Percentile.
Tyler Alexander has a strikeout rate of just 18% (35 SO in 194 PAs) on low non-fastballs since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 38% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 14% (27/195) against Tyler Alexander on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 2nd lowest among AL Relievers; League Avg: 29% — second Percentile.
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opposing hitters have a chase rate of 37% (59/158) against Reese Olson when he’s behind in the count this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 62 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Opposing hitters have a chase rate of 35% (110/312) against Reese Olson when he’s behind in the count since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 127 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 99th Percentile.
The average home run distance against Reese Olson in the 2023 season was 416.8 feet — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 399.3
Reese Olson has a strike rate of just 59% (315/538) in two strike counts this season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 62 total IP; League Avg: 65% — fourth Percentile.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Rays are 133-5 (.964) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .900.
The Rays are 36-64 (.360) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .261.
The Rays are 29-113 (.204) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .142.
The Rays are just 20-38 (.345) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .418.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Tigers are 11-53 (.172) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .099.
The Tigers are 36-5 (.878) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .710.
The Tigers are 40-24 (.625) after a win as favorites since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .584.
The Tigers are 16-52 (.235) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .143.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters have put just 31% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
The Rays scored first in 71% of their games against division opponents in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays hitters have put just 32% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
The Rays won 65% of their home games in the 2023 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 52%.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .301 (9,253 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .315.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .661 (13,591 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .716.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .294 (13,591 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
The Tigers are batting just .313 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .339.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
The Rays pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays pitchers have walked 1,261 of 17,810 batters (7%) since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays pitchers have walked 438 of 5,886 batters (7%) this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Rays pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 50% against Tigers pitchers this month (21 games) — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 409 of 5,823 batters (7%) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 885 of 11,896 batters (7%) since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 352 of 4,287 batters (8%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — tied for 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers vs. Rays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Detroit Tigers – No Injuries Reported
- Tampa Bay Rays – No Injuries Reported
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