- The Yankees are + favorites vs the Rays
- Rays vs Yankees Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Rays / Yankees TV Channel: YES | BSUN
The Tampa Bay Rays (+) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (+) on Friday, July 19, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in New York City, NY.
This season, the Rays are 48-48 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 52-46 ATS.
Rays vs Yankees Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rays starting pitcher: Zach Eflin 5-6, 3.99 ERA
- Yankees starting pitcher: Gerrit Cole 2-1, 5.48 ERA
Rays vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Rays | +1.5 -140 | O 8 -110 | + |
Yankees | -1.5 +115 | U 8 -110 | + |
Rays vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Friday‘s MLB game with 56.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ben Rortvedt has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 games (+20.00 Units / 286% ROI)
- Yandy Diaz has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 23 games (+12.75 Units / 53% ROI)
- Yandy Diaz has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 18 games (+12.60 Units / 56% ROI)
- Jonny Deluca has hit the Runs Under in his last 12 games (+12.00 Units / 45% ROI)
- Yandy Diaz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 19 games (+10.10 Units / 39% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Aaron Judge has hit the Home Runs Over in 22 of his last 45 games (+23.90 Units / 53% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Runs Over in 37 of his last 47 games (+22.30 Units / 34% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Over in 35 of his last 47 games (+18.15 Units / 19% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 33 of his last 47 games (+17.95 Units / 33% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Total Bases Over in 30 of his last 46 games (+13.55 Units / 26% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 60 of their last 93 games (+24.80 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 51 of their last 87 games (+11.45 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 25 games (+8.50 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 20 games (+7.75 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 25 games (+5.50 Units / 17% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 37 of their last 64 games (+15.30 Units / 20% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 41 games (+13.35 Units / 29% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 39 of their last 64 games (+11.95 Units / 15% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 45 of their last 75 games (+11.64 Units / 13% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 26 games (+6.90 Units / 23% ROI)
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rays are 46-50 against the Run Line (-7.25 Units / -5.7% ROI).
- 48-48 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.45 Units / -7.88% ROI
- 45-48 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.5 Units / -7.11% ROI
- 48-45 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.2 Units / -1.14% ROI
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 52-46 against the Run Line (+11.6 Units / 10% ROI).
- 58-40 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.5 Units / 1.06% ROI
- 50-44 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.2 Units / 1.11% ROI
- 44-50 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.85 Units / -10.09% ROI
Yankees vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Gerrit Cole (NYY) | 6.5 -155 | 6.5 +115 |
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Zach Eflin has not walked any of the 153 batters that he has faced when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
Zach Eflin has walked 4 of 230 right-handed batters (2%) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 100th Percentile.
Zach Eflin has walked 9 of 412 batters (2%) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
Zach Eflin has walked 10 of 432 batters (2%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Gerrit Cole has allowed an OPS of just .547 (628 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .679 — 100th Percentile.
Gerrit Cole has a strikeout rate of 30% (188 SO in 628 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Gerrit Cole has allowed an OBP of just .247 (627 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .293 — 100th Percentile.
Gerrit Cole has allowed an OPS of just .543 (340 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 102 total IP; League Avg: .724 — 100th Percentile.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Rays are just 20-41 (.328) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .413.
The Rays are 11-97 (.102) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .053.
The Rays are 43-19 (.694) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2023 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .560.
The Rays are 108-5 (.956) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .898.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Yankees are 25-20 (.556) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .413.
The Yankees are 35-22 (.614) after a win this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .488.
The Yankees are 40-32 (.556) after a road win since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .479.
The Yankees are 11-13 (.458) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rays are batting .267 against LHP since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .252.
The Rays are batting .263 against LHP since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Rays hitters have put just 32% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
The Rays are batting .264 against LHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have drawn 115 walks in 996 PA’s (12%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters have a groundball batting average of just .217 since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Yankees hitters have drawn 387 walks in 3,732 PA’s (10%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters have come to the plate with runners in scoring position in just 2,224 of their 9,705 plate appearances (23%) since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
The Rays pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 38% against Rays pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rays pitchers have walked 1,092 of 15,571 batters (7%) since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Rays pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in just 29% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
The Yankees have won 45% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 29% this month (12 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .209 against Yankees pitchers with the shift since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .242.
Yankees pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 32% of their games this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Yankees vs. Rays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Anthony Volpe (New York Yankees): Illness, Day-To-Day
- Lou Trivino (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Scott Effross (New York Yankees): Back, 60-Day IL
- Jasson Dominguez (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Gerrit Cole (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- McKinley Moore (New York Yankees): Knee, 15-Day IL
- Ryan Weber (New York Yankees): Forearm, Out
- DJ LeMahieu (New York Yankees): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Oscar Gonzalez (New York Yankees): Orbital, Out
- Jorbit Vivas (New York Yankees): Orbital, Out
- Tommy Kahnle (New York Yankees): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Oswald Peraza (New York Yankees): Shoulder, 10-Day IL
- Taylor Walls (Tampa Bay Rays): Hip, 10-Day IL
- Jonny DeLuca (Tampa Bay Rays): Hand, 10-Day IL
- Jeffrey Springs (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Shane Baz (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Jonathan Aranda (Tampa Bay Rays): Finger, 10-Day IL
- Taj Bradley (Tampa Bay Rays): Pectoral, 15-Day IL
- Josh Lowe (Tampa Bay Rays): Oblique, 10-Day IL
- Junior Caminero (Tampa Bay Rays): Quadriceps, Day-To-Day
- Garrett Acton (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, Out
- Drew Rasmussen (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Shane McClanahan (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Wander Franco (Tampa Bay Rays): Personal, Suspension
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