- The Braves are -150 favorites vs the Reds
- Reds vs Braves Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Reds / Braves TV Channel: BSSO | BSOH | MLBN
The Cincinnati Reds (+125) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-150) on Monday, July 22, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:20pm EDT in Atlanta, GA.
This season, the Reds are 47-53 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 44-54 ATS.
Reds vs Braves Starting Pitchers Today:
- Reds starting pitcher: Hunter Greene 6-4, 3.35 ERA
- Braves starting pitcher: Reynaldo Lopez 7-3, 1.89 ERA
Reds vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Reds | +1.5 -165 | O 8 -115 | +125 |
| Braves | -1.5 +135 | U 8 -105 | -150 |
Reds vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Monday‘s MLB game with 55.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:
- Elly De La Cruz has hit the Hits Under in 28 of his last 47 games (+18.60 Units / 35% ROI)
- Santiago Espinal has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 7 away games (+17.00 Units / 243% ROI)
- Jeimer Candelario has hit the Total Bases Over in 25 of his last 41 games (+11.60 Units / 23% ROI)
- Will Benson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 12 of his last 14 games (+11.25 Units / 74% ROI)
- Jake Fraley has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 22 games (+10.45 Units / 45% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Orlando Arcia has hit the Runs Under in 26 of his last 30 games (+19.10 Units / 34% ROI)
- Jarred Kelenic has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 37 games (+18.20 Units / 49% ROI)
- Orlando Arcia has hit the Singles Under in 35 of his last 50 games (+16.30 Units / 25% ROI)
- Austin Riley has hit the RBIs Under in 38 of his last 50 games (+16.05 Units / 18% ROI)
- Adam Duvall has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 23 games (+15.25 Units / 49% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 47 of their last 84 games (+10.60 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 31 of their last 50 games (+9.80 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 28 of their last 45 away games (+9.20 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 47 of their last 82 games (+9.20 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 49 of their last 85 games (+8.35 Units / 8% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 56 of their last 84 games (+29.30 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 33 of their last 53 games (+9.74 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 19 games at home (+1.80 Units / 6% ROI)
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Reds are 55-45 against the Run Line (+5.35 Units / 4.09% ROI).
- 47-53 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.75 Units / -6.41% ROI
- 45-51 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.05 Units / -10.89% ROI
- 51-45 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.25 Units / 1.14% ROI
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Braves are 44-54 against the Run Line (-10.85 Units / -9.51% ROI).
- 54-44 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.85 Units / -8.53% ROI
- 34-59 when betting on the total runs Over for -30.2 Units / -28.22% ROI
- 59-34 when betting on the total runs Under for +21.45 Units / 19.72% ROI
Braves vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -400 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -650 |
| Adam Duvall (ATL) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
| Jarred Kelenic (ATL) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -750 |
Braves vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jonathan India (CIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Tyler Stephenson (CIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Braves vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
| Jeimer Candelario (CIN) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Tyler Stephenson (CIN) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Braves vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Hunter Greene (CIN) | 6.5 -120 | 6.5 -110 |
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Hunter Greene has walked 22 of 171 batters (13%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — tied for 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — fourth Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .119 (5-for-42) against Hunter Greene on low fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .262 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 40% (66/167) against Hunter Greene on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.
59% of Hunter Greene’s strikeouts have come on 97+ MPH fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 9% — 100th Percentile.
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Reynaldo Lopez has allowed an OBP of just .256 (473 PA’s) against right-handed batters since the 2022 season — 4th best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .300 — 96th Percentile.
Reynaldo Lopez has an ERA of 1.61 (64.1 IP) at home since the 2022 season — 5th best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 3.50 — 97th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .097 (7-for-72) against Reynaldo Lopez with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 39 total IP; League Avg: .252 — 100th Percentile.
Reynaldo Lopez has walked 23 of 475 right-handed batters (5%) since the 2022 season — 7th best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 8% — 93rd Percentile.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Reds are just 1-8 (.111) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Reds are just 2-11 (.154) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Reds are just 9-19 (.321) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Reds are 31-15 (.674) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .571.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Braves are just 3-7 (.300) after a loss as underdogs since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .429.
The Braves are 34-68 (.333) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .212.
The Braves are 52-24 (.684) after a home loss since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .523.
The Braves are 135-72 (.652) at home since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .528.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
Reds hitters are slugging just .143 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.
The Reds are batting just .107 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .152.
The Reds are 16-6 (.727) against the run line (34.6% ROI) after a road loss this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .523.
Reds hitters have 100 extra-base hits out of 247 total hits (41%) with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters are slugging .469 against LHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .406.
Braves hitters are slugging .466 since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .408.
Braves hitters are slugging .684 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .574.
Braves hitters have an OBP of .375 (1,203 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .329.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Reds pitchers since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Reds pitchers have walked 1,537 of 16,271 batters (9%) since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Braves pitchers since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Braves pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.6 MPH (2,309 batted balls) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.9.
The Braves pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.6 MPH this season (2,309 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.9
The Braves pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Braves vs. Reds Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Evan White (Atlanta Braves): Hip, Day-To-Day
- Angel Perdomo (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Ian Anderson (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, Out
- Sean Murphy (Atlanta Braves): Oblique, 10-Day IL
- Austin Wynns (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Sam Moll (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Noelvi Marte (Cincinnati Reds): Suspension, Suspension
- Matt McLain (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Joey Votto (Cincinnati Reds): Ankle, Out
- Nick Lodolo (Cincinnati Reds): Calf, 15-Day IL
- TJ Friedl (Cincinnati Reds): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Reiver Sanmartin (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, Out
- Alex Young (Cincinnati Reds): Back, 15-Day IL
- Ian Gibaut (Cincinnati Reds): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Brandon Williamson (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Connor Overton (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, Out
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