- The Braves are -150 favorites vs the Reds
- Reds vs Braves Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Reds / Braves TV Channel: BSSO | BSOH
The Cincinnati Reds () visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves () on Tuesday, July 23, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:20pm EDT in Atlanta, GA.
This season, the Reds are 48-53 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 44-55 ATS.
Reds vs Braves Starting Pitchers Today:
- Reds starting pitcher: Undecided 0-0, 0.00 ERA
- Braves starting pitcher: Chris Sale 13-3, 2.71 ERA
Reds vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Reds | O | ||
| Braves | U |
Reds vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 66.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:
- Elly De La Cruz has hit the Hits Under in 28 of his last 47 games (+18.60 Units / 35% ROI)
- Santiago Espinal has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 7 away games (+17.00 Units / 243% ROI)
- Jeimer Candelario has hit the Total Bases Over in 25 of his last 41 games (+11.60 Units / 23% ROI)
- Will Benson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 12 of his last 14 games (+11.25 Units / 74% ROI)
- Jake Fraley has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 22 games (+10.45 Units / 45% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Orlando Arcia has hit the Runs Under in 26 of his last 30 games (+19.10 Units / 34% ROI)
- Jarred Kelenic has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 37 games (+18.20 Units / 49% ROI)
- Orlando Arcia has hit the Singles Under in 35 of his last 50 games (+16.30 Units / 25% ROI)
- Austin Riley has hit the RBIs Under in 38 of his last 50 games (+16.05 Units / 18% ROI)
- Adam Duvall has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 23 games (+15.25 Units / 49% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 48 of their last 85 games (+11.60 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 32 of their last 51 games (+10.80 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 29 of their last 46 away games (+10.20 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 48 of their last 83 games (+10.20 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 21 away games (+8.70 Units / 38% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 57 of their last 85 games (+30.30 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 34 of their last 54 games (+10.89 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 20 games at home (+0.40 Units / 1% ROI)
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Reds are 56-45 against the Run Line (+6.35 Units / 4.8% ROI).
- 48-53 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.55 Units / -5.38% ROI
- 45-52 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.25 Units / -11.85% ROI
- 52-45 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.25 Units / 2.04% ROI
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Braves are 44-55 against the Run Line (-11.85 Units / -10.3% ROI).
- 54-45 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.25 Units / -9.31% ROI
- 34-60 when betting on the total runs Over for -31.4 Units / -29.02% ROI
- 60-34 when betting on the total runs Under for +22.45 Units / 20.46% ROI
Braves vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -400 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -650 |
| Adam Duvall (ATL) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
| Jarred Kelenic (ATL) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -750 |
Braves vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jonathan India (CIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Tyler Stephenson (CIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Braves vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
| Jeimer Candelario (CIN) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Tyler Stephenson (CIN) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Braves vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Hunter Greene (CIN) | 6.5 -120 | 6.5 -110 |
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Frankie Montas has allowed a slugging percentage of .811 (30 Total Bases / 37 ABs) vs left-handed batters this month (3 games) — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .404 — first Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 25% (7/28) against Frankie Montas this month (3 games) — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 42% — third Percentile.
Frankie Montas has walked 4 of 27 batters (15%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (3 games) — tied for 2nd highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 8% — sixth Percentile.
Frankie Montas has allowed an OPS of 1.382 (18 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game in his last two starts — 4th highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .719 — third Percentile.
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
20 of Chris Sale’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor this season — most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan — 100th Percentile.
Chris Sale has allowed a slugging percentage of just .208 (51 Total Bases / 245 ABs) on non-fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .352 — 100th Percentile.
Chris Sale has allowed a slugging percentage of just .216 (32 Total Bases / 148 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .374 — 98th Percentile.
Chris Sale has a strikeout rate of 35% (56 SO in 162 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — tied for 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 98th Percentile.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Reds are just 9-21 (.300) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Reds are just 1-10 (.091) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Reds are just 2-12 (.143) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Reds are just 28-33 (.459) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .586.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Braves are just 3-7 (.300) after a loss as underdogs since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .429.
The Braves are 34-70 (.327) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .212.
The Braves are 30-17 (.638) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .428.
The Braves are 65-46 (.586) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .420.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
The Reds are batting just .110 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .153.
Reds hitters are slugging just .147 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.
Reds hitters have 49 extra-base hits out of 89 total hits (55%) against RHP this month (17 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Reds hitters have an OBP of just .297 (2,527 PA’s) against RHP this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .311.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters are slugging .486 against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .411.
Braves hitters are slugging .465 since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .408.
Braves hitters have an OBP of .373 (1,212 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .329.
Braves hitters have an OPS of .824 (2,390 PA’s) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .731.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Reds pitchers since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Reds pitchers have walked 1,542 of 16,307 batters (10%) since the 2022 season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Reds pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
Braves pitchers won 46% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
The Braves pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Braves pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.6 MPH this season (2,335 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.9
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Braves pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Braves vs. Reds Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Evan White (Atlanta Braves): Hip, Day-To-Day
- Angel Perdomo (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Ian Anderson (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, Out
- Sean Murphy (Atlanta Braves): Oblique, 10-Day IL
- Austin Wynns (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Sam Moll (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Noelvi Marte (Cincinnati Reds): Suspension, Suspension
- Matt McLain (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Joey Votto (Cincinnati Reds): Ankle, Out
- Nick Lodolo (Cincinnati Reds): Calf, 15-Day IL
- TJ Friedl (Cincinnati Reds): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Reiver Sanmartin (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, Out
- Alex Young (Cincinnati Reds): Back, 15-Day IL
- Ian Gibaut (Cincinnati Reds): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Brandon Williamson (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Connor Overton (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, Out
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