- The Braves are -165 favorites vs the Reds
- Reds vs Braves Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Reds / Braves TV Channel: BSSO | BSOH
The Cincinnati Reds (+135) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-160) on Monday, September 9, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Atlanta, GA.
This season, the Reds are 69-75 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 66-77 ATS.
Reds vs Braves Starting Pitchers Today:
- Reds starting pitcher: Nick Martinez 7-6, 3.67 ERA
- Braves starting pitcher: Charlie Morton 8-7, 4.30 ERA
Reds vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Reds | +1.5 -155 | O 8.5 -105 | +135 |
| Braves | -1.5 +125 | U 8.5 -115 | -160 |
Reds vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Monday‘s MLB game with 53.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:
- TJ Friedl has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 13 away games (+27.50 Units / 212% ROI)
- Jonathan India has hit the Hits Under in 24 of his last 41 games (+18.50 Units / 41% ROI)
- Santiago Espinal has hit the Total Bases Over in 23 of his last 33 games (+13.15 Units / 26% ROI)
- Jonathan India has hit the Singles Under in 28 of his last 41 games (+12.75 Units / 26% ROI)
- TJ Friedl has hit the Runs Under in 30 of his last 41 games (+12.65 Units / 19% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Ramon Laureano has hit the Hits Over in 24 of his last 29 games (+16.50 Units / 34% ROI)
- Marcell Ozuna has hit the RBIs Under in 23 of his last 27 games (+16.10 Units / 34% ROI)
- Marcell Ozuna has hit the Singles Over in 21 of his last 27 games (+15.40 Units / 52% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Total Bases Under in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+13.70 Units / 38% ROI)
- Marcell Ozuna has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+12.75 Units / 42% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 72 of their last 126 games (+12.35 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 73 of their last 129 games (+9.55 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 53 games (+7.00 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 44 away games (+5.80 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 23 games (+1.75 Units / 6% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 83 of their last 129 games (+36.40 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 21 games (+7.00 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 26 games (+4.60 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+4.40 Units / 39% ROI)
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Reds are 80-64 against the Run Line (+8.5 Units / 4.47% ROI).
- 69-75 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.7 Units / -4.51% ROI
- 67-69 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.75 Units / -6.13% ROI
- 69-67 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.05 Units / -3.2% ROI
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Braves are 66-77 against the Run Line (-14.45 Units / -8.35% ROI).
- 78-65 when betting on the Moneyline for -20.5 Units / -8.78% ROI
- 52-86 when betting on the total runs Over for -41.55 Units / -26.63% ROI
- 86-52 when betting on the total runs Under for +28.55 Units / 17.98% ROI
Braves vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Jorge Soler (ATL) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Jarred Kelenic (ATL) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Michael Harris (ATL) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -800 |
Braves vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jonathan India (CIN) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Tyler Stephenson (CIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Ty France (CIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Jorge Soler (ATL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Santiago Espinal (CIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
Braves vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Tyler Stephenson (CIN) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Jorge Soler (ATL) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Braves vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Martinez (CIN) | 3.5 -175 | 3.5 +130 |
| Charlie Morton (ATL) | 5.5 -105 | 5.5 -125 |
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Nick Martinez has walked 23 of 419 left-handed batters (6%) since last season — 15th best among among 143 qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 10% — 90th Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 35% of Nick Martinez’s breaking pitches (336/946) since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 47% — second Percentile.
Nick Martinez has located his fastball inside 49% of the time (344/704) this season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: 34% — 97th Percentile.
Nick Martinez has located his fastball inside 47% of the time (957/2,028) since the 2022 season — 2nd highest among NL Relievers; League Avg: 35% — 98th Percentile.
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Charlie Morton has thrown his curveball 46% of the time (1,289/2,784) vs left-handed batters since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 121 total CB; League Avg: 17% — 100th Percentile.
Charlie Morton has allowed an OBP of .349 (767 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .295 — fourth Percentile.
Charlie Morton has walked 77 of 769 batters (10%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — eighth Percentile.
Charlie Morton has thrown his curveball 43% of the time (2,246/5,262) since last season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 121 total CB; League Avg: 16% — 99th Percentile.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Reds are just 34-37 (.479) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .588.
The Reds are just 6-15 (.286) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Reds are just 13-25 (.342) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Reds are just 2-66 (.029) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .053.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Braves are 30-17 (.638) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .428.
The Braves are 38-36 (.514) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .375.
The Braves are just 2-7 (.222) after a win as underdogs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .406.
The Braves are 282-183 (.606) since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
The Reds are batting just .115 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .151.
The Reds are batting just .126 on pitches out of the zone since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .151.
Reds hitters are slugging just .148 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .208.
The Reds are batting just .228 against LHP this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
The Braves have barrels in 8% of PA’s in the 2023 season (512/6,249) — best in MLB; League Avg: 5%.
The Braves have barrels in 7% of PA’s since last season (858/11,593) — best in MLB; League Avg: 5%.
Braves hitters are slugging .477 against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .409.
Braves hitters are slugging .673 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .573.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Reds pitchers since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .294 against Reds pitchers with runners on base since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .256.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Reds pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The longest HR allowed by the Reds pitchers this season traveled 480.0 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 461.2
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Braves pitchers won 46% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
The Braves pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Braves pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Braves vs. Reds Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Atlanta Braves – No Injuries Reported
- Cincinnati Reds – No Injuries Reported
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