- The Cardinals are -135 favorites vs the Reds
- Reds vs Cardinals Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Reds / Cardinals TV Channel: BSOH | BSMW
The Cincinnati Reds (+115) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (-135) on Thursday, June 27, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:45pm EDT in St. Louis, MO.
This season, the Reds are 37-43 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 41-38 ATS.
Reds vs Cardinals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Reds starting pitcher: Andrew Abbott 6-6, 3.42 ERA
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Miles Mikolas 6-6, 4.70 ERA
Reds vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Reds | +1.5 -185 | O 8 -105 | +115 |
| Cardinals | -1.5 +150 | U 8 -115 | -135 |
Reds vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 51.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Reds vs Cardinals and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:
- Elly De La Cruz has hit the Hits Under in 28 of his last 47 games (+18.60 Units / 35% ROI)
- Santiago Espinal has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 7 away games (+17.00 Units / 243% ROI)
- Jeimer Candelario has hit the Total Bases Over in 25 of his last 41 games (+11.60 Units / 23% ROI)
- Will Benson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 12 of his last 14 games (+11.25 Units / 74% ROI)
- Jake Fraley has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 22 games (+10.45 Units / 45% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Brendan Donovan has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 13 games (+19.50 Units / 150% ROI)
- Brendan Donovan has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 20 games (+15.35 Units / 37% ROI)
- Nolan Gorman has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+12.40 Units / 64% ROI)
- Willson Contreras has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 17 games (+10.30 Units / 46% ROI)
- Nolan Gorman has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 17 games (+8.95 Units / 31% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 39 of their last 64 games (+14.65 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 40 of their last 65 games (+11.50 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 36 of their last 62 games (+9.00 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 22 of their last 35 away games (+7.80 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 18 of their last 30 games (+5.20 Units / 15% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 21 games at home (+10.40 Units / 38% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 16 games (+9.95 Units / 51% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Over in 25 of their last 40 games (+8.65 Units / 18% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 11 of their last 14 games at home (+8.50 Units / 53% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 16 games (+8.00 Units / 40% ROI)
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Reds are 44-36 against the Run Line (+5.15 Units / 4.86% ROI).
- 37-43 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.2 Units / -7.68% ROI
- 34-43 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.8 Units / -15.65% ROI
- 43-34 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.3 Units / 6.02% ROI
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 41-38 against the Run Line (-0.15 Units / -0.14% ROI).
- 41-38 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.5 Units / -3.65% ROI
- 33-41 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.15 Units / -14.15% ROI
- 41-33 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.8 Units / 5.59% ROI
Cardinals vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Willson Contreras (STL) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (STL) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
Cardinals vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Jonathan India (CIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Masyn Winn (STL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Willson Contreras (STL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (STL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Cardinals vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
| Willson Contreras (STL) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Tyler Stephenson (CIN) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (STL) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
Cardinals vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew Abbott (CIN) | 4.5 -110 | 4.5 -120 |
| Miles Mikolas (STL) | 4.5 +110 | 4.5 -145 |
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 18% (18/102) against Andrew Abbott on sliders since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 95 total IP; League Avg: 41% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 20% (17/83) against Andrew Abbott’s curve and slider this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — second Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 33% (62/190) against Andrew Abbott this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — second Percentile.
Andrew Abbott has walked 5 of 135 batters (4%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 9th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 89th Percentile.
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Miles Mikolas has allowed a slugging percentage of .517 (93 Total Bases / 180 ABs) on non-fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .348 — first Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 15% (50/337) against Miles Mikolas this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — first Percentile.
Miles Mikolas has a strikeout rate of just 16% (69 SO in 441 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — third Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .294 (53-for-180) against Miles Mikolas’ non-fastballs this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .216 — third Percentile.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Reds are just 1-7 (.125) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Reds are just 2-10 (.167) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Reds are just 9-18 (.333) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Reds are just 49-20 (.710) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .797.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Cardinals are just 3-19 (.136) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .363.
The Cardinals are 32-15 (.681) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are just 21-58 (.266) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .380.
The Cardinals are 37-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .943.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
The Reds are batting just .173 on breaking pitches this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .219.
The Reds are batting just .114 on pitches out of the zone this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .153.
Reds hitters are slugging just .154 on pitches out of the zone this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .211.
The Reds are batting just .220 at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .243.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of just .606 (866 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .709.
Cardinals hitters have an OBP of .323 (11,545 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Cardinals hitters are slugging just .373 against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .411.
The Cardinals are batting just .234 against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .252.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Reds pitchers have walked 331 of 3,577 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .290 against Reds pitchers with runners on base since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .254.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Cardinals pitchers this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cardinals vs. Reds Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Dylan Carlson (St. Louis Cardinals): Shoulder, 10-Day IL
- Keynan Middleton (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Lars Nootbaar (St. Louis Cardinals): Ribs, 10-Day IL
- Drew Rom (St. Louis Cardinals): Biceps, 15-Day IL
- Sonny Gray (St. Louis Cardinals): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Riley O’Brien (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Tommy Edman (St. Louis Cardinals): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Packy Naughton (St. Louis Cardinals): Elbow, Out
- Austin Wynns (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Sam Moll (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Noelvi Marte (Cincinnati Reds): Suspension, Suspension
- Matt McLain (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Joey Votto (Cincinnati Reds): Ankle, Out
- Nick Lodolo (Cincinnati Reds): Calf, 15-Day IL
- TJ Friedl (Cincinnati Reds): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Reiver Sanmartin (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, Out
- Alex Young (Cincinnati Reds): Back, 15-Day IL
- Ian Gibaut (Cincinnati Reds): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Brandon Williamson (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Connor Overton (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, Out
Bet now on Reds vs Cardinals and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
