- The Diamondbacks are -145 favorites vs the Reds
- Reds vs Diamondbacks Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Reds / Diamondbacks TV Channel: DBTV | BSOH
The Cincinnati Reds (+120) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-145) on Monday, May 13, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Phoenix, AZ.
This season, the Reds are 17-23 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 20-21 ATS.
Reds vs Diamondbacks Starting Pitchers Today:
- Reds starting pitcher: Graham Ashcraft 3-2, 3.86 ERA
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Jordan Montgomery 2-2, 4.77 ERA
Reds vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Reds | +1.5 -165 | O 8.5 -105 | +120 |
| Diamondbacks | -1.5 +140 | U 8.5 -115 | -145 |
Reds vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Monday‘s MLB game with 57.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Reds vs Diamondbacks and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:
- Elly De La Cruz has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 31 games (+18.70 Units / 60% ROI)
- Jonathan India has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 31 games (+12.05 Units / 39% ROI)
- Jonathan India has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 28 games (+11.65 Units / 27% ROI)
- Jonathan India has hit the Total Bases Under in 20 of his last 31 games (+10.35 Units / 25% ROI)
- Stuart Fairchild has hit the Singles Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.40 Units / 41% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Corbin Carroll has hit the Total Bases Under in 21 of his last 26 games (+14.20 Units / 36% ROI)
- Corbin Carroll has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 23 games (+14.05 Units / 55% ROI)
- Corbin Carroll has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+13.95 Units / 41% ROI)
- Ketel Marte has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 7 games (+13.70 Units / 196% ROI)
- Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 14 games at home (+12.05 Units / 40% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 38 of their last 61 away games (+21.95 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 70 of their last 114 games (+17.90 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 45 of their last 72 games (+16.80 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Over in 38 of their last 60 away games (+13.55 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 18 away games (+4.93 Units / 22% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 56 of their last 99 games (+14.00 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 63 games (+11.20 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 54 of their last 93 games (+10.82 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 61 games (+9.29 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 29 games at home (+7.50 Units / 21% ROI)
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Reds are 21-19 against the Run Line (+0.55 Units / 1.03% ROI).
- 17-23 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.75 Units / -18.12% ROI
- 19-19 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.3 Units / -5.18% ROI
- 19-19 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.95 Units / -4.47% ROI
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 20-21 against the Run Line (-4.05 Units / -7.4% ROI).
- 19-22 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.65 Units / -11.21% ROI
- 17-22 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.5 Units / -16.39% ROI
- 22-17 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.65 Units / 8.2% ROI
Diamondbacks vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christian Walker (ARI) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Joc Pederson (ARI) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Tyler Stephenson (CIN) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Eugenio Suarez (ARI) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
Diamondbacks vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (ARI) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Ketel Marte (ARI) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Tyler Stephenson (CIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Jonathan India (CIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Gabriel Moreno (ARI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
Diamondbacks vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Tyler Stephenson (CIN) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Christian Walker (ARI) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (ARI) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Joc Pederson (ARI) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Diamondbacks vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Graham Ashcraft (CIN) | 4.5 +100 | 4.5 -130 |
| Jordan Montgomery (ARI) | 4.5 +105 | 4.5 -140 |
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Graham Ashcraft has allowed a just .266 SLG vs right-handed batters (10th best)– 89th Percentile and .500 vs left-handed batters this season (tied for 10th worst among qualified SPs)– 16th Percentile.
Graham Ashcraft has an ERA of 7.36 (95.1 IP) against division opponents since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 144 total IP; League Avg: 3.98 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 16% (12/76) against Graham Ashcraft with runners in scoring position this season — 6th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — sixth Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 15% (23/158) against Graham Ashcraft this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — fourth Percentile.
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jordan Montgomery has walked 31 of 612 batters (5%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 86th Percentile.
Jordan Montgomery has a strikeout rate of just 10% (10 SO in 95 PAs) this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 14 total IP; League Avg: 22% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 35% (71/200) against Jordan Montgomery on elevated fastballs since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 144 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 0 Percentile.
Jordan Montgomery has a strikeout rate of just 17% (54 SO in 322 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 11th Percentile.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Reds are just 56-42 (.571) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .698.
The Reds are just 44-19 (.698) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .796.
The Reds are just 23-27 (.460) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .587.
The Reds are 22-9 (.710) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .574.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Diamondbacks are just 150-15 (.909) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The Diamondbacks are just 132-24 (.846) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .906.
The Diamondbacks are 22-140 (.136) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .094.
The Diamondbacks are just 75-12 (.862) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .899.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
team hitters – away
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
team hitters – home
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
team pitchers – away
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
team pitchers – home
Diamondbacks vs. Reds Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jordan Lawlar (Arizona Diamondbacks): Thumb, 60-Day IL
- Alek Thomas (Arizona Diamondbacks): Hamstring, Day-To-Day
- Eduardo Rodriguez (Arizona Diamondbacks): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Paul Sewald (Arizona Diamondbacks): Oblique, 15-Day IL
- Jose Castillo (Arizona Diamondbacks): Hand, 7-Day IL
- Drey Jameson (Arizona Diamondbacks): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Austin Wynns (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Sam Moll (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Noelvi Marte (Cincinnati Reds): Suspension, Suspension
- Matt McLain (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Joey Votto (Cincinnati Reds): Ankle, Out
- Nick Lodolo (Cincinnati Reds): Calf, 15-Day IL
- TJ Friedl (Cincinnati Reds): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Reiver Sanmartin (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, Out
- Alex Young (Cincinnati Reds): Back, 15-Day IL
- Ian Gibaut (Cincinnati Reds): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Brandon Williamson (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Connor Overton (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, Out
Bet now on Reds vs Diamondbacks and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
