- The Dodgers are -300 favorites vs the Reds
- Reds vs Dodgers Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Reds / Dodgers TV Channel: SNLA | BSOH | MLBN
The Cincinnati Reds (+240) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-300) on Thursday, May 16, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10pm EDT in Los Angeles, CA.
This season, the Reds are 18-25 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 24-21 ATS.
Reds vs Dodgers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Reds starting pitcher: Brent Suter 0-0, 3.81 ERA
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Tyler Glasnow 6-1, 2.53 ERA
Reds vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Reds | +2.5 -130 | O 7.5 -105 | +240 |
| Dodgers | -2.5 +110 | U 7.5 -115 | -300 |
Reds vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 74.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:
- Elly De La Cruz has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 33 games (+16.70 Units / 51% ROI)
- Jonathan India has hit the Runs Under in 23 of his last 30 games (+13.65 Units / 30% ROI)
- Jonathan India has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 33 games (+12.55 Units / 38% ROI)
- Jonathan India has hit the Total Bases Under in 21 of his last 33 games (+10.30 Units / 24% ROI)
- Stuart Fairchild has hit the Singles Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.40 Units / 43% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 21 games at home (+19.80 Units / 94% ROI)
- James Outman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 20 of his last 26 games (+13.70 Units / 39% ROI)
- Mookie Betts has hit the Singles Over in 25 of his last 38 games (+11.05 Units / 24% ROI)
- Gavin Lux has hit the Runs Over in 8 of his last 11 games at home (+9.70 Units / 88% ROI)
- Shohei Ohtani has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 19 games at home (+9.60 Units / 26% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 27 games (+8.40 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 25 of their last 40 games (+7.60 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 25 games (+7.40 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 28 games (+4.85 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 19 away games (+3.35 Units / 14% ROI)
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 22 games (+10.80 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 21 games at home (+7.70 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 22 games (+7.55 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 16 of their last 22 games at home (+6.65 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 22 games at home (+6.55 Units / 20% ROI)
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Reds are 24-19 against the Run Line (+3.55 Units / 6.09% ROI).
- 18-25 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.75 Units / -18.99% ROI
- 20-21 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.5 Units / -7.32% ROI
- 21-20 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.95 Units / -2.03% ROI
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 24-21 against the Run Line (+0.9 Units / 1.71% ROI).
- 29-16 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.3 Units / 0.35% ROI
- 23-21 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.25 Units / 0.51% ROI
- 21-23 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.35 Units / -8.67% ROI
Dodgers vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -375 |
| Max Muncy (LAD) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Mookie Betts (LAD) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Mike Ford (CIN) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
Dodgers vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Will Smith (LAD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Freddie Freeman (LAD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Mookie Betts (LAD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Dodgers vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Will Smith (LAD) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
| Max Muncy (LAD) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Freddie Freeman (LAD) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Dodgers vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Glasnow (LAD) | 8.5 -110 | 8.5 -120 |
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Brent Suter has an average fastball velocity of just 86.1 MPH this season — 3rd lowest among NL Relievers; League Avg: 94.4 — third Percentile.
Brent Suter has an average fastball velocity of just 86.1 MPH this season — 4th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 94.3 — first Percentile.
Brent Suter has an average fastball velocity of just 86.8 MPH since last season — 3rd lowest among NL Relievers; League Avg: 94.5 — third Percentile.
Brent Suter has an average fastball velocity of just 86.8 MPH since last season — tied for 2nd lowest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 94.7 — first Percentile.
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tyler Glasnow has a strikeout rate of 60% (30 SO in 50 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 33% — 100th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters are hitting just .000 (0-for-20) against Tyler Glasnow — best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .223 — 100th Percentile.
Tyler Glasnow has a strikeout rate of 34% (73 SO in 217 PAs) this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 98th Percentile.
Tyler Glasnow has allowed an OBP of just .138 (80 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .291 — 100th Percentile.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Reds are 22-9 (.710) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .575.
The Reds are just 32-43 (.427) after a home win since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .532.
The Reds are just 44-19 (.698) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .795.
The Reds are just 48-166 (.224) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .281.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Dodgers are 116-16 (.879) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .732.
The Dodgers are 48-16 (.750) after a road loss since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .463.
The Dodgers are 216-36 (.857) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .719.
The Dodgers are 31-9 (.775) after a road loss since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .477.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
The Reds are batting just .127 with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .167.
Reds hitters have an OBP of just .219 (837 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Reds hitters have put just 33% of their swings in play with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Reds hitters are slugging just .150 on pitches out of the zone this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .213.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .790 (10,209 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .715.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .787 (1,173 PA’s) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .695.
Dodgers hitters are slugging .453 against RHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .407.
Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .338 (14,346 PA’s) since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .315.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Reds pitchers since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .298 against Reds pitchers with runners on base since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .253.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 38% against Reds pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
The Dodgers pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in just 31% of their games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Dodgers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 39% of their games since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Dodgers pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Dodgers pitchers have picked-off 7 runners from first base this season — best in MLB.
Dodgers vs. Reds Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Brusdar Graterol (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Tony Gonsolin (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Diego Cartaya (Los Angeles Dodgers): Back, Day-To-Day
- Blake Treinen (Los Angeles Dodgers): Chest, 15-Day IL
- David Peralta (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, Out
- Emmet Sheehan (Los Angeles Dodgers): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Julio Urias (Los Angeles Dodgers): Personal, Out
- Clayton Kershaw (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Nick Frasso (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, Out
- Dustin May (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Walker Buehler (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Austin Wynns (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Sam Moll (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Noelvi Marte (Cincinnati Reds): Suspension, Suspension
- Matt McLain (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Joey Votto (Cincinnati Reds): Ankle, Out
- Nick Lodolo (Cincinnati Reds): Calf, 15-Day IL
- TJ Friedl (Cincinnati Reds): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Reiver Sanmartin (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, Out
- Alex Young (Cincinnati Reds): Back, 15-Day IL
- Ian Gibaut (Cincinnati Reds): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Brandon Williamson (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Connor Overton (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, Out
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