The Cincinnati Reds (+100) visit Scottsdale Stadium to take on the San Francisco Giants (-120) on Wednesday, March 13, 2024. First pitch is for this Spring Training game is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in Scottsdale, AZ.
This season, the Reds are 4-4 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 5-7 ATS.
Reds vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Moneyline | |
| Reds | +100 |
| Giants | -120 |
Reds vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 53.8% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:
- Elly De La Cruz has hit the Stolen Bases Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 36% ROI)
- Spencer Steer has hit the Hits Over in his last 2 games (+2.85 Units / 76% ROI)
- Curt Casali has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 40% ROI)
- Christian Encarnacio has hit the Hits Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 40% ROI)
- Jonathan India has hit the Hits Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 38% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- LaMonte Wade Jr has hit the Singles Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.60 Units / 47% ROI)
- Wade Meckler has hit the Singles Over in 6 of his last 9 games (+4.50 Units / 50% ROI)
- Tyler Fitzgerald has hit the Singles Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.40 Units / 31% ROI)
- David Villar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 58% ROI)
- Marco Luciano has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 38% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 41 of their last 67 away games (+23.65 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 96 of their last 161 games (+20.80 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 45 of their last 72 games (+16.80 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Over in 41 of their last 65 away games (+14.05 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 18 away games (+4.93 Units / 22% ROI)
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 73 of their last 115 games (+27.02 Units / 20% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 55 of their last 85 games (+22.17 Units / 22% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 86 of their last 148 games (+22.10 Units / 14% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 47 games at home (+5.40 Units / 8% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 36 of their last 73 games at home (+1.15 Units / 1% ROI)
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the Reds are 5-5 against the Run Line (-0.9 Units / -6.92% ROI).
- 4-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.35 Units / -2.75% ROI
- 5-5 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.7 Units / -6.35% ROI
- 5-5 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.68 Units / -6.19% ROI
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the Giants are 5-7 against the Run Line (-2.04 Units / -13.94% ROI).
- 3-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.94 Units / -38.87% ROI
- 8-4 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.68 Units / 28.35% ROI
- 4-8 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.94 Units / -36.81% ROI
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Frankie Montas has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 86.1 MPH on the first pitch of at-bats since last season (82 balls in play) — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 89.8
The average home run distance against Frankie Montas vs left-handed batters since the 2021 season is 406.8 feet — 8th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 194 total IP; League Avg: 398.1
Frankie Montas’ highest spin rate on fastballs since the 2021 season is 2659.0 RPM — 8th fewest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 194 total IP; League Avg: 2974.6
Frankie Montas has averaged 88.5 MPH on sliders since the 2021 season — tied for 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 194 total IP; League Avg: 85.1 — 94th Percentile.
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Mason Black is making his MLB debut today.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Reds are just 48-38 (.558) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .697.
The Reds are 24-10 (.706) after a win as favorites since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .593.
The Reds are just 40-46 (.465) when they’ve scored in the first inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .637.
The Reds are just 17-24 (.415) after a loss as favorites since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .584.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Giants are just 32-59 (.352) after a road loss since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .455.
The Giants were just 16-35 (.314) when their opponents score in the first inning in the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .389.
The Giants were 65-1 (.985) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .948.
The Giants were just 16-31 (.340) after a road loss in the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .464.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
The Reds have won just 57% of games in which they have scored first at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.
The Reds have a winning percentage of just 44% at home since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
The Reds have an average HR distance of 394.2 feet since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 398.7.
The Reds are just 48-38 (.558) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .697.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
Giants hitters slugged just .376 against LHP in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .419.
Giants hitters had an OBP of just .307 (1,790 PA’s) against LHP in the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .323.
Giants hitters had an OPS of just .475 (3,303 PA’s) with two-strikes in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .523.
The Giants batted just .151 with two-strikes in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .172.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 40% against Reds pitchers in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Reds pitchers walked 613 of 6,310 batters (10%) in the 2023 season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Reds pitchers walked 140 of 1,443 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2023 season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Reds pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in 59% of their games since last season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of 50% against Giants pitchers in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants pitchers walked 403 of 6,039 batters (7%) in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents had a miss rate of just 24% against Giants pitchers in the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Giants pitchers walked 87 of 1,439 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Giants vs. Reds Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Alex Cobb (San Francisco Giants): Hip, Out
- Jung Hoo Lee (San Francisco Giants): Side, Day-To-Day
- Cole Waites (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, Out
- Mike Yastrzemski (San Francisco Giants): Shoulder, Out
- Robbie Ray (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Marco Luciano (San Francisco Giants): Hamstring, Day-To-Day
- Keaton Winn (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, Out
- Mark Mathias (San Francisco Giants): Shoulder, Out
- Kai-Wei Teng (San Francisco Giants): Oblique, Out
- Thomas Szapucki (San Francisco Giants): Shoulder, Out
- Sam Moll (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Noelvi Marte (Cincinnati Reds): Hamstring, Out
- Jonathan India (Cincinnati Reds): Foot, Day-To-Day
- Matt McLain (Cincinnati Reds): Oblique, Out
- Nick Lodolo (Cincinnati Reds): Lower Leg, Day-To-Day
- Reiver Sanmartin (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, Out
- Alex Young (Cincinnati Reds): Back, Day-To-Day
- Emilio Pagan (Cincinnati Reds): Abdomen, Out
- Connor Overton (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, Out
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