- The Reds are +100 favorites vs the Pirates
- Reds vs Pirates Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Reds / Pirates TV Channel: ATV+
The Cincinnati Reds (-105) visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (-115) on Friday, August 23, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Pittsburgh, PA.
This season, the Reds are 62-66 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 72-55 ATS.
Reds vs Pirates Starting Pitchers Today:
- Reds starting pitcher: Andrew Abbott 10-10, 3.73 ERA
- Pirates starting pitcher: Bailey Falter 6-7, 4.04 ERA
Reds vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Reds | -1.5 +155 | O 8.5 -105 | -105 |
| Pirates | +1.5 -190 | U 8.5 -115 | -115 |
Reds vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Reds will win Friday‘s MLB game with 52.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:
- TJ Friedl has hit the Home Runs Over in 9 of his last 41 games (+32.80 Units / 80% ROI)
- Santiago Espinal has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 19 games (+14.75 Units / 42% ROI)
- Amed Rosario has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 26 games (+14.55 Units / 30% ROI)
- Santiago Espinal has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 19 games (+13.50 Units / 43% ROI)
- Jonathan India has hit the Singles Under in 29 of his last 44 games (+12.65 Units / 25% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Joey Bart has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 18 games (+22.90 Units / 127% ROI)
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Singles Over in 30 of his last 47 games (+10.25 Units / 19% ROI)
- Isiah Kiner-Falefa has hit the Hits Over in 34 of his last 50 games (+9.25 Units / 10% ROI)
- Joey Bart has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 22 games (+9.10 Units / 36% ROI)
- Joey Bart has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 22 games (+9.10 Units / 27% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 63 of their last 110 games (+10.80 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 64 of their last 113 games (+8.10 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 38 away games (+7.25 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 37 games (+6.75 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.95 Units / 35% ROI)
Pirates Best Bets Today:
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 54 of their last 88 games (+20.00 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Over in 30 of their last 50 games (+8.20 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Under in 37 of their last 65 games (+7.35 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 26 of their last 45 games at home (+6.80 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 35 of their last 83 games (+5.20 Units / 5% ROI)
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Reds are 71-57 against the Run Line (+6.95 Units / 4.08% ROI).
- 62-66 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.5 Units / -4.24% ROI
- 59-62 when betting on the total runs Over for -10 Units / -7.08% ROI
- 62-59 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.35 Units / -2.38% ROI
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 72-55 against the Run Line (+14.91 Units / 9.07% ROI).
- 60-67 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.9 Units / -5.4% ROI
- 59-63 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.35 Units / -7.36% ROI
- 63-59 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.22 Units / -0.88% ROI
Pirates vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Stephenson (CIN) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Bryan Reynolds (PIT) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -800 |
| Oneil Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
| Joey Bart (PIT) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
| Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
Pirates vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Bryan De La Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Ty France (CIN) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Jonathan India (CIN) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Santiago Espinal (CIN) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Pirates vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Tyler Stephenson (CIN) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Bryan De La Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Bryan Reynolds (PIT) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Ty France (CIN) | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
Pirates vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew Abbott (CIN) | 5.5 -105 | 5.5 -120 |
| Bailey Falter (PIT) | 4.5 +130 | 4.5 -165 |
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Andrew Abbott has walked 26 of 225 batters (12%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 22% (52/236) against Andrew Abbott’s curve and slider since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 180 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 0 Percentile.
Andrew Abbott has walked 45 of 453 right-handed batters (10%) this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — third Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 35% (68/194) against Andrew Abbott on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 95th Percentile.
Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a line drive rate of 32% (50/158) against Bailey Falter with runners in scoring position since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 180 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 15% (38/247) against Bailey Falter on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 115 total IP; League Avg: 26% — first Percentile.
Bailey Falter has thrown inside pitches 43% of the time (343/789) on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 115 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 99th Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 32% (37/115) against Bailey Falter with runners in scoring position since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 115 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 0 Percentile.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates
The Reds are just 32-35 (.478) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .586.
The Reds are just 3-48 (.059) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .144.
The Reds are just 5-13 (.278) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Reds are just 3-11 (.214) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Pirates are just 13-19 (.406) after a home win this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .520.
The Pirates are just 50-5 (.909) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .946.
The Pirates are just 46-62 (.426) after a home win since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .532.
The Pirates are just 17-29 (.370) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
The Reds are batting just .112 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .152.
The Reds are batting just .126 on pitches out of the zone since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .151.
Reds hitters are slugging just .170 on pitches out of the zone since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.
Reds hitters are slugging just .144 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .209.
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends
Pirates hitters are slugging just .493 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .572.
Pirates hitters have 47 extra-base hits out of 181 total hits (just 26%) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Pirates hitters have an OPS of just .659 (3,483 PA’s) against RHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .712.
Pirates hitters are slugging just .374 against RHP since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .402.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Reds pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .294 against Reds pitchers with runners on base since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .255.
Reds pitchers have walked 356 of 3,999 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Reds pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 35% against Pirates pitchers over the last 14 days — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Pirates pitchers have walked 1,564 of 17,306 batters (9%) since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 37% against Pirates pitchers this month (19 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
The Pirates have won 36% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Pirates vs. Reds Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Bryan Reynolds (Pittsburgh Pirates): Back, Day-To-Day
- Johan Oviedo (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Dauri Moreta (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Endy Rodriguez (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Bailey Falter (Pittsburgh Pirates): Triceps, 15-Day IL
- Ryan Borucki (Pittsburgh Pirates): Wrist, 60-Day IL
- Graham Ashcraft (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Nick Martini (Cincinnati Reds): Thumb, 60-Day IL
- Carson Spiers (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Christian Encarnacion-Strand (Cincinnati Reds): Wrist, 60-Day IL
- Tejay Antone (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Luke Maile (Cincinnati Reds): Back, 10-Day IL
- Matt McLain (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Joey Votto (Cincinnati Reds): Ankle, Day-To-Day
- TJ Friedl (Cincinnati Reds): Hamstring, 10-Day IL
- Brent Suter (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Reiver Sanmartin (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, Out
- Ian Gibaut (Cincinnati Reds): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Brandon Williamson (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Emilio Pagan (Cincinnati Reds): Lat, 60-Day IL
- Connor Overton (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, 7-Day IL
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