- The Reds are -115 favorites vs the Pirates
- Reds vs Pirates Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Reds / Pirates TV Channel: BSOH | SNPT
The Cincinnati Reds (-115) visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (-105) on Saturday, August 24, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Pittsburgh, PA.
This season, the Reds are 62-67 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 72-56 ATS.
Reds vs Pirates Starting Pitchers Today:
- Reds starting pitcher: Julian Aguiar 0-0, 4.50 ERA
- Pirates starting pitcher: Jake Woodford 0-5, 6.59 ERA
Reds vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Reds | -1.5 +145 | O 9 -115 | -115 |
| Pirates | +1.5 -175 | U 9 -105 | -105 |
Reds vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Reds will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 52.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Reds vs Pirates and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:
- TJ Friedl has hit the Home Runs Over in 9 of his last 41 games (+32.80 Units / 80% ROI)
- Santiago Espinal has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 20 games (+15.75 Units / 42% ROI)
- Santiago Espinal has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+15.10 Units / 46% ROI)
- Jonathan India has hit the Singles Under in 30 of his last 45 games (+13.65 Units / 26% ROI)
- Elly De La Cruz has hit the Runs Under in 27 of his last 39 games (+13.25 Units / 28% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Joey Bart has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 19 games (+21.90 Units / 115% ROI)
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Singles Over in 31 of his last 48 games (+11.25 Units / 20% ROI)
- Joey Bart has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 23 games (+10.10 Units / 38% ROI)
- Joey Bart has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 23 games (+10.10 Units / 28% ROI)
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Runs Under in 30 of his last 44 games (+10.00 Units / 15% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 64 of their last 111 games (+11.80 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Over in 22 of their last 38 games (+7.75 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 64 of their last 114 games (+7.10 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 39 away games (+6.15 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 5 of their last 8 games (+1.95 Units / 21% ROI)
Pirates Best Bets Today:
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 54 of their last 89 games (+19.00 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Over in 31 of their last 51 games (+9.45 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 27 of their last 46 games at home (+8.05 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Under in 37 of their last 66 games (+6.25 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 35 of their last 84 games (+4.00 Units / 4% ROI)
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Reds are 72-57 against the Run Line (+7.95 Units / 4.62% ROI).
- 62-67 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.6 Units / -4.92% ROI
- 60-62 when betting on the total runs Over for -9 Units / -6.32% ROI
- 62-60 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.45 Units / -3.14% ROI
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 72-56 against the Run Line (+13.91 Units / 8.42% ROI).
- 61-67 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.9 Units / -4.68% ROI
- 60-63 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.35 Units / -6.59% ROI
- 63-60 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.32 Units / -1.66% ROI
Pirates vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Oneil Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Bryan Reynolds (PIT) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Joey Bart (PIT) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Bryan De La Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
Pirates vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| TJ Friedl (CIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Tyler Stephenson (CIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Oneil Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Jonathan India (CIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Santiago Espinal (CIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
Pirates vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Oneil Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| TJ Friedl (CIN) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Bryan Reynolds (PIT) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Joey Bart (PIT) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
Pirates vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Julian Aguiar (CIN) | 3.5 -105 | 3.5 -125 |
| Jake Woodford (CWS) | 3.5 +135 | 3.5 -175 |
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Julian Aguiar has limited playing time.
Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jake Woodford has walked 1 of 59 batters (2%) this month (4 games) — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 13% (13/101) against Jake Woodford this month (4 games) — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: 25% — first Percentile.
Jake Woodford has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 45% (18/40) of opposing batters this month (4 games) — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 0 Percentile.
Jake Woodford has walked 1 of 38 left-handed batters (3%) this month (4 games) — tied for 7th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 93rd Percentile.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates
The Reds are just 32-36 (.471) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .586.
The Reds are just 3-49 (.058) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .145.
The Reds are just 3-11 (.214) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Reds are just 56-70 (.444) after a home loss since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .521.
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Pirates are just 82-114 (.418) after a win since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .510.
The Pirates are just 6-12 (.333) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Pirates are just 47-62 (.431) after a home win since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .532.
The Pirates are just 17-29 (.370) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
The Reds are batting just .112 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .152.
Reds hitters are slugging just .144 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .209.
The Reds are batting just .126 on pitches out of the zone since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .151.
Reds hitters are slugging just .170 on pitches out of the zone since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends
Pirates hitters have 47 extra-base hits out of 182 total hits (just 26%) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Pirates hitters have 1,303 strikeouts in 5,126 PA’s (25%) against LHP since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Pirates hitters have 437 strikeouts in 1,297 PA’s (34%) in lefty-lefty matchups since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Pirates hitters have 118 extra-base hits out of 400 total hits (just 29%) on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .295 against Reds pitchers with runners on base since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .255.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Reds pitchers since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Reds pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .294 against Reds pitchers with runners on base this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: .262.
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends
Pirates pitchers have walked 1,568 of 17,344 batters (9%) since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 35% against Pirates pitchers over the last 14 days — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 37% against Pirates pitchers this month (20 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Pirates pitchers have a strikeout rate of 30% over the past seven days (7 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Pirates vs. Reds Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Pittsburgh Pirates – No Injuries Reported
- Cincinnati Reds – No Injuries Reported
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