Reds vs Pirates Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 25

Pittsburgh Pirates' Jack Suwinski hits a home run off Chicago Cubs starting pitcher Jameson Taillon during the first inning of a baseball game Tuesday, June 13, 2023, in Chicago.
(AP Photo/Charles Rex Arbogast)
  • The Reds are -115 favorites vs the Pirates
  • Reds vs Pirates Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
  • Reds / Pirates TV Channel: BSOH | SNPT

The Cincinnati Reds (-115) visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (-105) on Sunday, August 25, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35pm EDT in Pittsburgh, PA.

This season, the Reds are 0-0 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 0-0 ATS.

Reds vs Pirates Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Reds starting pitcher: Nick Martinez 6-6, 3.64 ERA
  • Pirates starting pitcher: Luis Ortiz 0-0, 26.99 ERA

Reds vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Reds-1.5 +145O 9 -105-115
Pirates +1.5 -175U 9 -115-105

Reds vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Reds will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


Bet now on Reds vs Pirates and all games with BetMGM


We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:

  • TJ Friedl has hit the Home Runs Over in 9 of his last 41 games (+32.80 Units / 80% ROI)
  • Santiago Espinal has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 20 games (+15.75 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Santiago Espinal has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+15.10 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Jonathan India has hit the Singles Under in 30 of his last 45 games (+13.65 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Elly De La Cruz has hit the Runs Under in 27 of his last 39 games (+13.25 Units / 28% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Joey Bart has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 19 games (+21.90 Units / 115% ROI)
  • Bryan Reynolds has hit the Singles Over in 31 of his last 48 games (+11.25 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Joey Bart has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 23 games (+10.10 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Joey Bart has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 23 games (+10.10 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Bryan Reynolds has hit the Runs Under in 30 of his last 44 games (+10.00 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 64 of their last 111 games (+11.80 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Over in 22 of their last 38 games (+7.75 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 64 of their last 114 games (+7.10 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 39 away games (+6.15 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 5 of their last 8 games (+1.95 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 54 of their last 89 games (+19.00 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Over in 31 of their last 51 games (+9.45 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 27 of their last 46 games at home (+8.05 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Under in 37 of their last 66 games (+6.25 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 35 of their last 84 games (+4.00 Units / 4% ROI)

Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Reds are 0-0 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 0-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
  • 0-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
  • 0-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI

Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 0-0 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 0-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
  • 0-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
  • 0-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI

Pirates vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Oneil Cruz (PIT) 0.5 +340 0.5 -450
Elly De La Cruz (CIN) 0.5 +450 0.5 -650
Bryan Reynolds (PIT) 0.5 +475 0.5 -650
Joey Bart (PIT) 0.5 +550 0.5 -800
Bryan De La Cruz (PIT) 0.5 +575 0.5 -900

Pirates vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Elly De La Cruz (CIN) 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Bryan Reynolds (PIT) 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Isiah Kiner-Falefa (PIT) 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Tyler Stephenson (CIN) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Santiago Espinal (CIN) 0.5 -250 0.5 +190

Pirates vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
TJ Friedl (CIN) 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
Tyler Stephenson (CIN) 0.5 +160 0.5 -210
Oneil Cruz (PIT) 0.5 +160 0.5 -210
Elly De La Cruz (CIN) 0.5 +165 0.5 -225
Joey Bart (PIT) 0.5 +165 0.5 -225

Pirates vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Nick Martinez (CIN) 3.5 -135 3.5 +100
Luis Ortiz (PIT) 4.5 +100 4.5 -135

Nick Martinez has walked 13 of 415 batters (3%) this season — tied for 3rd best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 9% — 99th Percentile.

Nick Martinez has walked 13 of 415 batters (3%) this season — 2nd best among NL Relievers; League Avg: 8% — 98th Percentile.

Nick Martinez has walked 3 of 107 batters (3%) with runners in scoring position this season — tied for best among NL Relievers; League Avg: 11% — 100th Percentile.

Nick Martinez has walked 7 of 212 right-handed batters (3%) this season — 5th best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 8% — 96th Percentile.

Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Luis Ortiz has allowed an OPS of 1.357 (36 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (4 games) — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .668 — first Percentile.

Luis Ortiz has allowed a slugging percentage of .968 (30 Total Bases / 31 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (4 games) — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .378 — first Percentile.

Luis Ortiz has allowed an OPS of 1.357 (36 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (4 games) — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: .714 — first Percentile.

Luis Ortiz has allowed a slugging percentage of .968 (30 Total Bases / 31 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (4 games) — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: .409 — first Percentile.

Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates

The Reds are just 32-36 (.471) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .586.

The Reds are just 3-49 (.058) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .145.

The Reds are just 14-17 (.452) after a home loss this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .534.

The Reds are just 3-52 (.055) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .104.

Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Reds

The Pirates are just 6-12 (.333) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Pirates are just 103-22 (.824) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .857.

The Pirates are just 47-62 (.431) after a home win since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .532.

The Pirates are just 6-35 (.146) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .244.

The Reds are batting just .111 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .152.

The Reds are batting just .125 on pitches out of the zone since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .151.

Reds hitters are slugging just .143 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .209.

Reds hitters are slugging just .169 on pitches out of the zone since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.

Pirates hitters have 437 strikeouts in 1,297 PA’s (34%) in lefty-lefty matchups since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

Pirates hitters have 47 extra-base hits out of 182 total hits (just 26%) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

The Pirates are batting just .236 against LHP since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.

The Pirates are batting just .190 in lefty-lefty matchups since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .234.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Reds pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .294 against Reds pitchers with runners on base since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .255.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Reds pitchers since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .291 against Reds pitchers with runners on base since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .260.

Pirates pitchers have walked 1,571 of 17,384 batters (9%) since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 36% against Pirates pitchers over the last 14 days — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .287 against Pirates pitchers with the shift this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: .249.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 38% against Pirates pitchers this month (21 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Pirates vs. Reds Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Pittsburgh Pirates – No Injuries Reported
  • Cincinnati Reds – No Injuries Reported

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About the Author

Shane Jackson

Read More @Sjacksonmgm

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.