- The Reds are -115 favorites vs the Pirates
- Reds vs Pirates Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Reds / Pirates TV Channel: BSOH | SNPT
The Cincinnati Reds (-115) visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (-105) on Sunday, August 25, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35pm EDT in Pittsburgh, PA.
This season, the Reds are 0-0 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 0-0 ATS.
Reds vs Pirates Starting Pitchers Today:
- Reds starting pitcher: Nick Martinez 6-6, 3.64 ERA
- Pirates starting pitcher: Luis Ortiz 0-0, 26.99 ERA
Reds vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Reds | -1.5 +145 | O 9 -105 | -115 |
Pirates | +1.5 -175 | U 9 -115 | -105 |
Reds vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Reds will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:
- TJ Friedl has hit the Home Runs Over in 9 of his last 41 games (+32.80 Units / 80% ROI)
- Santiago Espinal has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 20 games (+15.75 Units / 42% ROI)
- Santiago Espinal has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+15.10 Units / 46% ROI)
- Jonathan India has hit the Singles Under in 30 of his last 45 games (+13.65 Units / 26% ROI)
- Elly De La Cruz has hit the Runs Under in 27 of his last 39 games (+13.25 Units / 28% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Joey Bart has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 19 games (+21.90 Units / 115% ROI)
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Singles Over in 31 of his last 48 games (+11.25 Units / 20% ROI)
- Joey Bart has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 23 games (+10.10 Units / 38% ROI)
- Joey Bart has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 23 games (+10.10 Units / 28% ROI)
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Runs Under in 30 of his last 44 games (+10.00 Units / 15% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 64 of their last 111 games (+11.80 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Over in 22 of their last 38 games (+7.75 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 64 of their last 114 games (+7.10 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 39 away games (+6.15 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 5 of their last 8 games (+1.95 Units / 21% ROI)
Pirates Best Bets Today:
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 54 of their last 89 games (+19.00 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Over in 31 of their last 51 games (+9.45 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 27 of their last 46 games at home (+8.05 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Under in 37 of their last 66 games (+6.25 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 35 of their last 84 games (+4.00 Units / 4% ROI)
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Reds are 0-0 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).
- 0-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 0-0 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).
- 0-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI
Pirates vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Oneil Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
Bryan Reynolds (PIT) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
Joey Bart (PIT) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
Bryan De La Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
Pirates vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
Bryan Reynolds (PIT) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
Isiah Kiner-Falefa (PIT) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
Tyler Stephenson (CIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
Santiago Espinal (CIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
Pirates vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
TJ Friedl (CIN) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
Tyler Stephenson (CIN) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Oneil Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Joey Bart (PIT) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Pirates vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Nick Martinez (CIN) | 3.5 -135 | 3.5 +100 |
Luis Ortiz (PIT) | 4.5 +100 | 4.5 -135 |
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Nick Martinez has walked 13 of 415 batters (3%) this season — tied for 3rd best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 9% — 99th Percentile.
Nick Martinez has walked 13 of 415 batters (3%) this season — 2nd best among NL Relievers; League Avg: 8% — 98th Percentile.
Nick Martinez has walked 3 of 107 batters (3%) with runners in scoring position this season — tied for best among NL Relievers; League Avg: 11% — 100th Percentile.
Nick Martinez has walked 7 of 212 right-handed batters (3%) this season — 5th best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 8% — 96th Percentile.
Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Luis Ortiz has allowed an OPS of 1.357 (36 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (4 games) — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .668 — first Percentile.
Luis Ortiz has allowed a slugging percentage of .968 (30 Total Bases / 31 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (4 games) — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .378 — first Percentile.
Luis Ortiz has allowed an OPS of 1.357 (36 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (4 games) — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: .714 — first Percentile.
Luis Ortiz has allowed a slugging percentage of .968 (30 Total Bases / 31 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (4 games) — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: .409 — first Percentile.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates
The Reds are just 32-36 (.471) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .586.
The Reds are just 3-49 (.058) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .145.
The Reds are just 14-17 (.452) after a home loss this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .534.
The Reds are just 3-52 (.055) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .104.
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Pirates are just 6-12 (.333) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Pirates are just 103-22 (.824) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .857.
The Pirates are just 47-62 (.431) after a home win since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .532.
The Pirates are just 6-35 (.146) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .244.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
The Reds are batting just .111 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .152.
The Reds are batting just .125 on pitches out of the zone since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .151.
Reds hitters are slugging just .143 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .209.
Reds hitters are slugging just .169 on pitches out of the zone since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends
Pirates hitters have 437 strikeouts in 1,297 PA’s (34%) in lefty-lefty matchups since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Pirates hitters have 47 extra-base hits out of 182 total hits (just 26%) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
The Pirates are batting just .236 against LHP since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
The Pirates are batting just .190 in lefty-lefty matchups since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .234.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Reds pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .294 against Reds pitchers with runners on base since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .255.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Reds pitchers since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .291 against Reds pitchers with runners on base since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .260.
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends
Pirates pitchers have walked 1,571 of 17,384 batters (9%) since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 36% against Pirates pitchers over the last 14 days — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .287 against Pirates pitchers with the shift this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 38% against Pirates pitchers this month (21 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Pirates vs. Reds Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Pittsburgh Pirates – No Injuries Reported
- Cincinnati Reds – No Injuries Reported
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