- The Reds are -135 favorites vs the Rockies
- Reds vs Rockies Over / Under today: 10.5 Runs
- Reds / Rockies TV Channel: BSOH | ROTV
The Cincinnati Reds (-130) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (+110) on Tuesday, June 4, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:40pm EDT in Denver, CO.
This season, the Reds are 27-33 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 31-28 ATS.
Reds vs Rockies Starting Pitchers Today:
- Reds starting pitcher: Frankie Montas 2-4, 4.63 ERA
- Rockies starting pitcher: Ty Blach 2-2, 4.16 ERA
Reds vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Reds | -1.5 +120 | O 10.5 +100 | -130 |
| Rockies | +1.5 -145 | U 10.5 -120 | +110 |
Reds vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Reds will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 57.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:
- Elly De La Cruz has hit the Hits Under in 26 of his last 46 games (+16.15 Units / 32% ROI)
- Stuart Fairchild has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 11 games (+13.00 Units / 118% ROI)
- Jeimer Candelario has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 23 games (+12.10 Units / 40% ROI)
- Elly De La Cruz has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 29 games (+11.20 Units / 31% ROI)
- Elly De La Cruz has hit the Stolen Bases Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+10.45 Units / 31% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Ryan McMahon has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 16 games (+22.50 Units / 141% ROI)
- Brenton Doyle has hit the RBIs Under in 21 of his last 24 games at home (+14.55 Units / 27% ROI)
- Ryan McMahon has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 21 games (+13.75 Units / 64% ROI)
- Brendan Rodgers has hit the Singles Over in 24 of his last 33 games (+11.00 Units / 23% ROI)
- Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 23 games (+9.75 Units / 34% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 26 of their last 42 games (+9.15 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 18 of their last 27 away games (+8.30 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 44 games (+7.40 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 27 of their last 45 games (+6.55 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games (+5.00 Units / 44% ROI)
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 23 games (+11.45 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 14 of their last 23 games (+11.15 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 13 of their last 17 games (+9.60 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 18 of their last 29 games (+7.75 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 23 games (+5.60 Units / 19% ROI)
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Reds are 34-26 against the Run Line (+5.3 Units / 6.58% ROI).
- 27-33 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.25 Units / -8.97% ROI
- 28-29 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.45 Units / -6.7% ROI
- 29-28 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.95 Units / -2.96% ROI
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 31-28 against the Run Line (-2.05 Units / -2.83% ROI).
- 21-38 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.45 Units / -5.93% ROI
- 29-28 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.55 Units / -2.44% ROI
- 28-29 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.85 Units / -6.02% ROI
Rockies vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan McMahon (COL) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| Tyler Stephenson (CIN) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Jeimer Candelario (CIN) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| Elehuris Montero (COL) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
Rockies vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan McMahon (COL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Elehuris Montero (COL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Stuart Fairchild (CIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Brenton Doyle (COL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Jake Cave (COL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Rockies vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 -125 | 0.5 -105 |
| Tyler Stephenson (CIN) | 0.5 -115 | 0.5 -110 |
| Jeimer Candelario (CIN) | 0.5 +100 | 0.5 -130 |
| Elias Diaz (COL) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
Rockies vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Frankie Montas (CIN) | 4.5 -125 | 4.5 -105 |
| Ty Blach (COL) | 3.5 +140 | 3.5 -185 |
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .412 (7-for-17) against Frankie Montas when going through the lineup the first time in a game — 3rd highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .229 — third Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .412 (7-for-17) against Frankie Montas when going through the lineup the first time in a game over the last 14 days — 2nd highest among NL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: .225 — fourth Percentile.
Frankie Montas has walked 11 of 84 batters (13%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 22 total IP; League Avg: 8% — fourth Percentile.
Frankie Montas has a strikeout rate of just 11% (2 SO in 18 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game over the last 14 days — tied for lowest among NL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 27% — eighth Percentile.
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .355 (77-for-217) against Ty Blach when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 87 total IP; League Avg: .241 — 0 Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 11% (21/188) against Ty Blach this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 22 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 0 Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting .341 (117-for-343) against Ty Blach since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 87 total IP; League Avg: .249 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .339 (120-for-354) against Ty Blach when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 152 total IP; League Avg: .237 — 0 Percentile.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Reds are just 49-52 (.485) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .636.
The Reds are just 59-43 (.578) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .699.
The Reds are just 24-28 (.462) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .586.
The Reds are just 35-45 (.438) after a home win since the 2022 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .534.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Rockies are just 43-29 (.597) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .796.
The Rockies are just 17-59 (.224) after a road loss since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .473.
The Rockies are just 20-18 (.526) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .791.
The Rockies are just 57-26 (.687) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .855.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
The Reds are batting just .132 with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .168.
The Reds are batting just .112 on pitches out of the zone this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .154.
Reds hitters have an OBP of just .293 (1,478 PA’s) against RHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .310.
The Reds are batting just .131 on pitches out of the zone since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .152.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies have won just 45% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.
The Rockies have won just 47% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.
The Rockies have an average HR distance of 411.3 feet since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 398.3.
The Rockies have won just 49% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 38% against Reds pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The average home run distance against the Reds pitchers this season is 384.5 feet — best in MLB; League Avg: 395.9
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .294 against Reds pitchers with runners on base since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .254.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 36% with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 34% with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Rockies vs. Reds Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- German Marquez (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Lucas Gilbreath (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Antonio Senzatela (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Daniel Bard (Colorado Rockies): Knee, 15-Day IL
- Austin Wynns (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Sam Moll (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Noelvi Marte (Cincinnati Reds): Suspension, Suspension
- Matt McLain (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Joey Votto (Cincinnati Reds): Ankle, Out
- Nick Lodolo (Cincinnati Reds): Calf, 15-Day IL
- TJ Friedl (Cincinnati Reds): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Reiver Sanmartin (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, Out
- Alex Young (Cincinnati Reds): Back, 15-Day IL
- Ian Gibaut (Cincinnati Reds): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Brandon Williamson (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Connor Overton (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, Out
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