- The Twins are -165 favorites vs the Reds
- Reds vs Twins Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Reds / Twins TV Channel: Roku
The Cincinnati Reds (+145) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (-175) on Sunday, September 15, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:05pm EDT in Minneapolis, MN.
This season, the Reds are 72-77 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 67-80 ATS.
Reds vs Twins Starting Pitchers Today:
- Reds starting pitcher: Rhett Lowder 1-1, 0.59 ERA
- Twins starting pitcher: David Festa 2-6, 5.09 ERA
Reds vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Reds | +1.5 -145 | O 8.5 +100 | +145 |
| Twins | -1.5 +120 | U 8.5 -120 | -175 |
Reds vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 55.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:
- Rece Hinds has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 games (+13.20 Units / 132% ROI)
- Amed Rosario has hit the Runs Under in 30 of his last 39 games (+12.65 Units / 17% ROI)
- Amed Rosario has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 18 games (+11.80 Units / 40% ROI)
- Amed Rosario has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 18 games (+11.50 Units / 47% ROI)
- Amed Rosario has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 20 games (+6.80 Units / 33% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jose Miranda has hit the RBIs Under in 30 of his last 34 games (+21.90 Units / 30% ROI)
- Christian Vazquez has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 32 games (+18.50 Units / 58% ROI)
- Jose Miranda has hit the Runs Under in 28 of his last 34 games (+18.05 Units / 30% ROI)
- Jose Miranda has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 23 of his last 34 games (+12.50 Units / 34% ROI)
- Manuel Margot has hit the Singles Over in 21 of his last 32 games (+8.35 Units / 21% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- team high – away
Twins Best Bets Today:
- team high – home
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Reds are 84-65 against the Run Line (+10.8 Units / 5.44% ROI).
- 72-77 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.95 Units / -3.38% ROI
- 68-73 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.1 Units / -7.96% ROI
- 73-68 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.05 Units / -1.25% ROI
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Twins are 67-80 against the Run Line (-17.45 Units / -9.36% ROI).
- 78-69 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.6 Units / -4.12% ROI
- 74-65 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.8 Units / 1.75% ROI
- 65-74 when betting on the total runs Under for -16.8 Units / -10.42% ROI
Twins vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Wallner (MIN) | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
| Royce Lewis (MIN) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Trevor Larnach (MIN) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -650 |
| Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Carlos Santana (MIN) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
Twins vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ty France (CIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Jonathan India (CIN) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Santiago Espinal (CIN) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Ryan Jeffers (MIN) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Tyler Stephenson (CIN) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Twins vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Royce Lewis (MIN) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Matt Wallner (MIN) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Trevor Larnach (MIN) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -225 |
| Ryan Jeffers (MIN) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Twins vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Rhett Lowder (CIN) | 3.5 -165 | 3.5 +130 |
| David Festa (MIN) | 5.5 +115 | 5.5 -150 |
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Rhett Lowder has struck out just 12% (3/25) of right-handed batters he faced this month (2 games) — 9th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 14th Percentile.
Rhett Lowder has pitched 11.2 straight innings without allowing an earned run — Raisel Iglesias has the longest active streak at 36.0.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 15% (12/79) against Rhett Lowder this month (2 games) — 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — sixth Percentile.
Rhett Lowder has an ERA of 0.00 (11.1 IP) this month (2 games) — tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 3.13 — 100th Percentile.
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
David Festa has thrown off-speed pitches 61% of the time (95/156) this month (2 games) — tied for 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total NonFB; League Avg: 44% — 97th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 53% (8/15) against David Festa this month (2 games) — tied for 11th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 41% — 91st Percentile.
David Festa has thrown his changeup 29% of the time (46/156) this month (2 games) — 10th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total CH; League Avg: 16% — 92nd Percentile.
David Festa has thrown off-speed pitches 56% of the time (61/108) against right-handed batters this month (2 games) — 15th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total NonFB; League Avg: 44% — 87th Percentile.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Reds are just 34-37 (.479) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .589.
The Reds are just 5-15 (.250) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Reds are just 21-31 (.404) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Reds are just 13-26 (.333) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Twins are just 33-35 (.485) after a loss this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .509.
The Twins are 136-2 (.986) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .948.
The Twins are just 8-14 (.364) after a loss as underdogs this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .434.
The Twins are 26-103 (.202) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .141.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
The Reds are batting just .127 on pitches out of the zone since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .151.
Reds hitters are slugging just .152 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .207.
The Reds are batting just .117 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .151.
The Reds are batting just .233 this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .244.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
Twins hitters have an OPS of .761 (3,714 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .700.
The Twins are batting just .111 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this month (12 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
The Twins are batting just .160 with two-strikes since last season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .170.
Twins hitters have an OPS of .751 (1,766 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .688.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Reds pitchers since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Reds pitchers since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .293 against Reds pitchers with runners on base since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .256.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Reds pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Twins pitchers have walked 9 of 53 batters (17%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the past seven days (6 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Twins pitchers have walked 825 of 11,522 batters (7%) since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Twins pitchers have walked 81 of 1,313 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Twins pitchers have walked 180 of 2,769 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Twins vs. Reds Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Minnesota Twins – No Injuries Reported
- Cincinnati Reds – No Injuries Reported
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