- The Yankees are -200 favorites vs the Reds
- Reds vs Yankees Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Reds / Yankees TV Channel: YES | BSOH
The Cincinnati Reds (+165) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-200) on Tuesday, July 2, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in New York City, NY.
This season, the Reds are 39-45 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 48-38 ATS.
Reds vs Yankees Starting Pitchers Today:
- Reds starting pitcher: Graham Ashcraft 4-4, 5.54 ERA
- Yankees starting pitcher: Luis Gil 9-3, 3.15 ERA
Reds vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Reds | +1.5 -115 | O 8.5 -105 | +165 |
| Yankees | -1.5 -105 | U 8.5 -115 | -200 |
Reds vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 64.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:
- Elly De La Cruz has hit the Hits Under in 28 of his last 47 games (+18.60 Units / 35% ROI)
- Santiago Espinal has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 7 away games (+17.00 Units / 243% ROI)
- Jeimer Candelario has hit the Total Bases Over in 25 of his last 41 games (+11.60 Units / 23% ROI)
- Will Benson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 12 of his last 14 games (+11.25 Units / 74% ROI)
- Jake Fraley has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 22 games (+10.45 Units / 45% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Aaron Judge has hit the Home Runs Over in 22 of his last 45 games (+23.90 Units / 53% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Runs Over in 37 of his last 47 games (+22.30 Units / 34% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Over in 35 of his last 47 games (+18.15 Units / 19% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 33 of his last 47 games (+17.95 Units / 33% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Total Bases Over in 30 of his last 46 games (+13.55 Units / 26% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 41 of their last 68 games (+14.45 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 42 of their last 69 games (+11.00 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 66 games (+9.95 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 24 of their last 39 away games (+7.35 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 34 games (+4.95 Units / 13% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 33 of their last 52 games (+18.95 Units / 31% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 34 of their last 52 games (+14.90 Units / 24% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 22 of their last 29 games (+14.10 Units / 44% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 39 of their last 63 games (+12.19 Units / 16% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 33 of their last 55 games (+9.75 Units / 12% ROI)
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Reds are 47-37 against the Run Line (+6.1 Units / 5.41% ROI).
- 39-45 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.3 Units / -6.45% ROI
- 36-45 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.1 Units / -15.21% ROI
- 45-36 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.1 Units / 5.53% ROI
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 48-38 against the Run Line (+15.25 Units / 14.93% ROI).
- 54-32 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.35 Units / 7.49% ROI
- 45-39 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.95 Units / 2.06% ROI
- 39-45 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.5 Units / -11.09% ROI
Yankees vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -250 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
| Jeimer Candelario (CIN) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -800 |
| Ben Rice (NYY) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
Yankees vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Anthony Volpe (NYY) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Gleyber Torres (NYY) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
| Jonathan India (CIN) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Alex Verdugo (NYY) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
Yankees vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 -105 | 0.5 -120 |
| Alex Verdugo (NYY) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Gleyber Torres (NYY) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Jeimer Candelario (CIN) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
Yankees vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Graham Ashcraft (CIN) | 3.5 -160 | 3.5 +120 |
| Luis Gil (NYY) | 6.5 -105 | 6.5 -125 |
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Graham Ashcraft has an ERA of 7.43 (105.1 IP) against division opponents since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 162 total IP; League Avg: 3.97 — 0 Percentile.
Division opponents are hitting .317 (138-for-436) against Graham Ashcraft since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 162 total IP; League Avg: .246 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .339 (43-for-127) against Graham Ashcraft’s elevated fastball since last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 97 total IP; League Avg: .227 — second Percentile.
Graham Ashcraft has thrown inside pitches 48% of the time (265/547) vs left-handed batters this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 32 total IP; League Avg: 32% — 97th Percentile.
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Luis Gil has walked 22 of 194 right-handed batters (11%) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — first Percentile.
Luis Gil has walked 45 of 353 batters (13%) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.
Luis Gil has walked 20 of 144 batters (14%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — second Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .169 (51-for-302) against Luis Gil this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .235 — 100th Percentile.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Reds are just 1-7 (.125) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Reds are just 2-10 (.167) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Reds are just 26-30 (.464) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .587.
The Reds are just 54-56 (.491) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .637.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Yankees are 24-20 (.545) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .412.
The Yankees are 10-13 (.435) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
The Yankees are 57-59 (.491) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .363.
The Yankees are 53-23 (.697) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .533.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
The Reds are batting just .115 on pitches out of the zone this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .153.
Reds hitters are slugging just .155 on pitches out of the zone this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.
Reds hitters have drawn 96 walks in 953 PA’s (10%) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Reds are batting just .176 on breaking pitches this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .219.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters are slugging .448 against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .392.
The Yankees are batting just .219 with two outs since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .236.
Yankees hitters have a groundball batting average of just .220 since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Yankees hitters have drawn 374 walks in 3,600 PA’s (10%) against LHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .290 against Reds pitchers with runners on base since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .254.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Reds pitchers since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Yankees pitchers have won 58% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
The Yankees have won 47% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .200 against Yankees pitchers with the shift since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .233.
Yankees pitchers have an ERA of 6.69 (105.0 IP) over the last 14 days — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.20.
Yankees vs. Reds Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Anthony Volpe (New York Yankees): Illness, Day-To-Day
- Lou Trivino (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Scott Effross (New York Yankees): Back, 60-Day IL
- Jasson Dominguez (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Gerrit Cole (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- McKinley Moore (New York Yankees): Knee, 15-Day IL
- Ryan Weber (New York Yankees): Forearm, Out
- DJ LeMahieu (New York Yankees): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Oscar Gonzalez (New York Yankees): Orbital, Out
- Jorbit Vivas (New York Yankees): Orbital, Out
- Tommy Kahnle (New York Yankees): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Oswald Peraza (New York Yankees): Shoulder, 10-Day IL
- Austin Wynns (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Sam Moll (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Noelvi Marte (Cincinnati Reds): Suspension, Suspension
- Matt McLain (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Joey Votto (Cincinnati Reds): Ankle, Out
- Nick Lodolo (Cincinnati Reds): Calf, 15-Day IL
- TJ Friedl (Cincinnati Reds): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Reiver Sanmartin (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, Out
- Alex Young (Cincinnati Reds): Back, 15-Day IL
- Ian Gibaut (Cincinnati Reds): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Brandon Williamson (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Connor Overton (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, Out
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