Rockies vs Astros Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 25

Houston Astros' Jose Altuve bats during the first inning of a baseball game against the Texas Rangers, Wednesday, July 26, 2023, in Houston.
(AP Photo/Kevin M. Cox)
  • The Astros are -275 favorites vs the Rockies
  • Rockies vs Astros Over / Under today: 8 Runs
  • Rockies / Astros TV Channel: SCHN | ROTV

The Colorado Rockies (+220) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-275) on Tuesday, June 25, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Houston, TX.

This season, the Rockies are 27-51 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 36-42 ATS.

Rockies vs Astros Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Rockies starting pitcher: Austin Gomber 1-4, 4.42 ERA
  • Astros starting pitcher: Hunter Brown 4-5, 4.79 ERA

Rockies vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Rockies+1.5 +110O 8 +100+220
Astros -1.5 -135U 8 -120-275

Rockies vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 67.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Ryan McMahon has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 22 away games (+26.80 Units / 122% ROI)
  • Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Total Bases Over in 26 of his last 41 games (+12.05 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Ryan McMahon has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 18 away games (+11.85 Units / 66% ROI)
  • Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 20 games (+9.10 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Ryan McMahon has hit the Hits Over in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 44% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Alex Bregman has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 23 games (+17.10 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Jeremy Pena has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+14.25 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Jeremy Pena has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 20 of his last 27 games (+13.95 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Jeremy Pena has hit the Total Bases Under in 21 of his last 26 games (+13.70 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Jose Altuve has hit the Singles Over in 32 of his last 49 games (+10.60 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 22 of their last 42 games (+12.45 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 19 away games (+8.60 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 15 of their last 23 away games (+7.85 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 42 games (+7.85 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 22 of their last 36 games (+7.25 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 39 of their last 61 games (+16.95 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 26 games at home (+7.80 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 19 games at home (+6.15 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in their last 5 games (+5.55 Units / 93% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 11 games at home (+4.65 Units / 36% ROI)

Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 38-40 against the Run Line (-9.75 Units / -10.19% ROI).

  • 27-51 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.05 Units / -9.1% ROI
  • 40-36 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.4 Units / 0.47% ROI
  • 36-40 when betting on the total runs Under for -8 Units / -9.43% ROI

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Astros are 36-42 against the Run Line (-5.35 Units / -5.72% ROI).

  • 38-40 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.45 Units / -13.17% ROI
  • 28-47 when betting on the total runs Over for -23.15 Units / -27.19% ROI
  • 47-28 when betting on the total runs Under for +16.1 Units / 18.6% ROI

Astros vs Rockies Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Yordan Alvarez (HOU) 0.5 +290 0.5 -375
Jose Altuve (HOU) 0.5 +450 0.5 -650
Alex Bregman (HOU) 0.5 +550 0.5 -800
Yainer Diaz (HOU) 0.5 +550 0.5 -800
Chas McCormick (HOU) 0.5 +575 0.5 -900

Astros vs Rockies Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Mauricio Dubon (HOU) 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Alex Bregman (HOU) 0.5 -250 0.5 +190
Jake Meyers (HOU) 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Brendan Rodgers (COL) 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Ezequiel Tovar (COL) 0.5 -200 0.5 +155

Astros vs Rockies RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Yordan Alvarez (HOU) 0.5 +125 0.5 -160
Yainer Diaz (HOU) 0.5 +140 0.5 -190
Jose Altuve (HOU) 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
Jeremy Pena (HOU) 0.5 +155 0.5 -200
Alex Bregman (HOU) 0.5 +165 0.5 -225

Astros vs Rockies Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Hunter Brown (HOU) 7.5 -110 7.5 -120
Austin Gomber (COL) 3.5 +110 3.5 -145

Austin Gomber has allowed a slugging percentage of .794 (27 Total Bases / 34 ABs) on low fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .370 — first Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .441 (15-for-34) against Austin Gomber on low fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .253 — first Percentile.

Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 17% (39/224) against Austin Gomber this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — first Percentile.

Austin Gomber has allowed a slugging percentage of .632 (312 Total Bases / 494 ABs) on fastballs since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 159 total IP; League Avg: .434 — 0 Percentile.

Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Hunter Brown has allowed a slugging percentage of .812 (26 Total Bases / 32 ABs) on fastballs away this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 30 total IP; League Avg: .364 — 0 Percentile.

Hunter Brown has a strikeout rate of 39% (14 SO in 36 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this month (4 games) — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 21% — 98th Percentile.

Hunter Brown has a first-pitch strike rate of just 46% (11/24) over the past seven days (1 games) — 2nd lowest among AL Starters over the last week; League Avg: 64% — fourth Percentile.

The last hit on a Hunter Brown changeup was June 25th, 2023. Hitters are 0 for their last 21 in ABs ending on his changeup. — this is the longest active streak among active MLB players.

Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Astros

The Rockies are just 45-33 (.577) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .797.

The Rockies are just 22-22 (.500) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .794.

The Rockies are just 74-12 (.860) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .946.

The Rockies are just 61-29 (.678) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .857.

Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies

The Astros are just 0-30 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .059.

The Astros are 35-23 (.603) after a road loss since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .470.

The Astros are just 9-36 (.200) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .282.

The Astros are 16-14 (.533) after a loss as underdogs since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .426.

The Rockies have an average HR distance of 411.3 feet since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 398.6.

The Rockies have an average HR distance of 411.4 feet since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 398.4.

The Rockies have won just 47% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.

The Rockies are batting .274 at home since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.

Astros hitters have just 783 strikeouts in 4,501 PA’s (17%) against LHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Astros hitters are averaging just 3.66 pitches per plate appearance this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.88.

Astros hitters have put 42% of balls in play to the left side of the field since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.

14% of Astros’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (1,275/9,194 PA’s) since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 11%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 36% with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 34% with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Astros pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

The Astros have allowed 3.75 runs per game (746/199) on the road since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.44.

Astros pitchers have an ERA of 3.53 (1739.0 IP) on the road since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.26.

Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Astros vs. Rockies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Grae Kessinger (Houston Astros): Hamstring, Day-To-Day
  • Justin Verlander (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Penn Murfee (Houston Astros): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Kendall Graveman (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Jose Abreu (Houston Astros): Hand, Day-To-Day
  • Jose Urquidy (Houston Astros): Forearm, 15-Day IL
  • Oliver Ortega (Houston Astros): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Lance McCullers (Houston Astros): Forearm, 60-Day IL
  • Bennett Sousa (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Forrest Whitley (Houston Astros): Finger, 7-Day IL
  • Shawn Dubin (Houston Astros): Forearm, 15-Day IL
  • German Marquez (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Lucas Gilbreath (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Antonio Senzatela (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Daniel Bard (Colorado Rockies): Knee, 15-Day IL

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About the Author

Shane Jackson

Read More @Sjacksonmgm

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.