- The Braves are -300 favorites vs the Rockies
- Rockies vs Braves Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Rockies / Braves TV Channel: BSSO | ROTV
The Colorado Rockies (+230) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-300) on Thursday, September 5, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:20pm EDT in Atlanta, GA.
This season, the Rockies are 51-89 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 65-74 ATS.
Rockies vs Braves Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rockies starting pitcher: Austin Gomber 4-10, 4.75 ERA
- Braves starting pitcher: Reynaldo Lopez 8-4, 2.00 ERA
Rockies vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rockies | +1.5 +110 | O 8 -110 | +230 |
| Braves | -1.5 -135 | U 8 -110 | -300 |
Rockies vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 70.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Michael Toglia has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 25 away games (+18.80 Units / 75% ROI)
- Hunter Goodman has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 18 games (+13.05 Units / 69% ROI)
- Brenton Doyle has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 21 games (+11.60 Units / 51% ROI)
- Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 27 games (+10.70 Units / 35% ROI)
- Hunter Goodman has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 18 games (+10.45 Units / 50% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Orlando Arcia has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 36 games (+21.20 Units / 59% ROI)
- Marcell Ozuna has hit the Singles Over in 32 of his last 50 games (+15.75 Units / 30% ROI)
- Ramon Laureano has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 27 games (+14.50 Units / 32% ROI)
- Reynaldo Lopez has hit the Earned Runs Under in 18 of his last 22 games (+12.65 Units / 41% ROI)
- Marcell Ozuna has hit the RBIs Under in 19 of his last 23 games (+12.10 Units / 29% ROI)
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 13 away games (+6.95 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 21 away games (+6.85 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 43 games (+4.20 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 43 of their last 104 games (+2.70 Units / 3% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 40 of their last 104 games (+0.65 Units / 1% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 80 of their last 125 games (+34.50 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 17 games (+9.25 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 22 games (+6.95 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 22 of their last 38 games (+3.55 Units / 7% ROI)
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 68-72 against the Run Line (-16.85 Units / -9.87% ROI).
- 51-89 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.2 Units / -8.64% ROI
- 68-69 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.75 Units / -5.08% ROI
- 69-68 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.85 Units / -3.82% ROI
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Braves are 65-74 against the Run Line (-12.2 Units / -7.24% ROI).
- 76-63 when betting on the Moneyline for -18.15 Units / -8.07% ROI
- 51-83 when betting on the total runs Over for -39.3 Units / -25.91% ROI
- 83-51 when betting on the total runs Under for +26.65 Units / 17.27% ROI
Braves vs Rockies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jorge Soler (ATL) | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -350 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Sean Murphy (ATL) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Ramon Laureano (ATL) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
Braves vs Rockies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jorge Soler (ATL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Gio Urshela (ATL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Sean Murphy (ATL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Ramon Laureano (ATL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Braves vs Rockies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -140 |
| Jorge Soler (ATL) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Sean Murphy (ATL) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Ramon Laureano (ATL) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Braves vs Rockies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Reynaldo Lopez (ATL) | 7.5 +110 | 7.5 -145 |
| Austin Gomber (COL) | 4.5 +125 | 4.5 -160 |
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Austin Gomber has allowed a slugging percentage of .772 (44 Total Bases / 57 ABs) on low fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .390 — first Percentile.
Austin Gomber has a strikeout rate of just 17% (102 SO in 605 PAs) this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — third Percentile.
Austin Gomber has a strikeout rate of just 17% (39 SO in 231 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — seventh Percentile.
Austin Gomber has a strikeout rate of just 34% (102 SO in 301 PAs) with two-strikes this season — tied for 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — fifth Percentile.
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .147 (24-for-163) against Reynaldo Lopez with runners in scoring position since last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 120 total IP; League Avg: .252 — 99th Percentile.
Reynaldo Lopez has walked 57 of 397 left-handed batters (14%) since last season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 120 total IP; League Avg: 9% — third Percentile.
Reynaldo Lopez has allowed an OPS of just .356 (122 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 55 total IP; League Avg: .732 — 100th Percentile.
Reynaldo Lopez has allowed an OBP of just .250 (523 PA’s) against right-handed batters since the 2022 season — 7th best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .300 — 95th Percentile.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Rockies are just 28-27 (.509) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .795.
The Rockies are just 43-8 (.827) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .946.
The Rockies are just 78-32 (.703) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .858.
The Rockies are just 94-14 (.862) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .948.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Braves are 34-59 (.366) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .262.
The Braves are 19-101 (.158) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .101.
The Braves are 38-36 (.514) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .376.
The Braves are 17-11 (.607) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
team hitters – away
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
team hitters – home
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 36% with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 36% with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Braves pitchers since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Braves pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Braves pitchers since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Braves vs. Rockies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Atlanta Braves – No Injuries Reported
- Colorado Rockies – No Injuries Reported
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