- The Brewers are -275 favorites vs the Rockies
- Rockies vs Brewers Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Rockies / Brewers TV Channel: ROTV | BSWI
The Colorado Rockies (+230) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-275) on Sunday, September 8, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Milwaukee, WI.
This season, the Rockies are 53-90 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 74-68 ATS.
Rockies vs Brewers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rockies starting pitcher: Kyle Freeland 4-7, 5.34 ERA
- Brewers starting pitcher: Freddy Peralta 10-7, 3.77 ERA
Rockies vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rockies | +1.5 +105 | O 7.5 -105 | +230 |
| Brewers | -1.5 -130 | U 7.5 -115 | -275 |
Rockies vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 69.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Michael Toglia has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 25 away games (+20.10 Units / 80% ROI)
- Hunter Goodman has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 19 games (+14.10 Units / 71% ROI)
- Hunter Goodman has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 19 games (+11.50 Units / 52% ROI)
- Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Singles Under in 21 of his last 30 games (+11.50 Units / 33% ROI)
- Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Runs Over in 26 of his last 48 games (+9.55 Units / 19% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Willy Adames has hit the Home Runs Over in 16 of his last 50 games (+29.30 Units / 59% ROI)
- Jackson Chourio has hit the Total Bases Over in 28 of his last 43 games (+18.90 Units / 40% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the Singles Under in 34 of his last 50 games (+18.80 Units / 34% ROI)
- Rhys Hoskins has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 21 games (+14.75 Units / 66% ROI)
- Willy Adames has hit the Runs Over in 19 of his last 31 games (+11.00 Units / 35% ROI)
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 17 of their last 24 away games (+9.85 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 46 games (+7.20 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 45 of their last 107 games (+6.05 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 16 away games (+6.00 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 19 away games (+0.45 Units / 2% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 74 of their last 138 games (+14.40 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 82 of their last 142 games (+12.15 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 80 of their last 142 games (+12.10 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 33 of their last 58 games at home (+11.65 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 14 of their last 23 games (+9.20 Units / 29% ROI)
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 70-73 against the Run Line (-15.7 Units / -9.03% ROI).
- 53-90 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.85 Units / -6.14% ROI
- 68-72 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.1 Units / -7.12% ROI
- 72-68 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.85 Units / -1.82% ROI
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 74-68 against the Run Line (+3.45 Units / 1.85% ROI).
- 82-60 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.15 Units / 6.68% ROI
- 75-58 when betting on the total runs Over for +12.2 Units / 7.87% ROI
- 58-75 when betting on the total runs Under for -24.8 Units / -15.76% ROI
Brewers vs Rockies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Rhys Hoskins (MIL) | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -400 |
| Gary Sanchez (MIL) | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
| Willy Adames (MIL) | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -450 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Brewer Hicklen (MIL) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
Brewers vs Rockies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Blake Perkins (MIL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Willy Adames (MIL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Ezequiel Tovar (COL) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Gary Sanchez (MIL) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Brendan Rodgers (COL) | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
Brewers vs Rockies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Willy Adames (MIL) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
| Gary Sanchez (MIL) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Rhys Hoskins (MIL) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Jackson Chourio (MIL) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
Brewers vs Rockies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Freddy Peralta (MIL) | 7.5 -120 | 7.5 -105 |
| Kyle Freeland (COL) | 4.5 +120 | 4.5 -155 |
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .480 (12-for-25) against Kyle Freeland in close and late situations since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 121 total IP; League Avg: .233 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .396 (84-for-212) against Kyle Freeland’s changeup since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 186 total IP; League Avg: .236 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .424 (28-for-66) against Kyle Freeland in late innings since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 186 total IP; League Avg: .246 — first Percentile.
Kyle Freeland has allowed a slugging percentage of .667 (70 Total Bases / 105 ABs) on changeups since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 121 total IP; League Avg: .375 — first Percentile.
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Freddy Peralta has a strikeout rate of 30% (157 SO in 521 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Freddy Peralta has a strike rate of just 62% (836/1,354) against right-handed batters this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — fifth Percentile.
Freddy Peralta has a strike rate of just 59% (524/894) in two strike counts this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — fifth Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .210 (99-for-472) against Freddy Peralta when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .239 — 100th Percentile.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Rockies are just 28-27 (.509) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .795.
The Rockies are just 43-8 (.827) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .946.
The Rockies are just 94-14 (.862) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .948.
The Rockies are just 78-32 (.703) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .858.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Brewers are 44-37 (.543) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .420.
The Brewers are 35-77 (.312) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .211.
The Brewers are 121-22 (.846) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .789.
The Brewers are 63-39 (.618) after a home loss since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .520.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
Rockies hitters have an OBP of just .297 (3,278 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.
The Rockies have a winning percentage of just 28% on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
The Rockies have an average HR distance of 409.4 feet since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 398.5.
Rockies hitters have an OPS of just .636 (8,725 PA’s) on the road since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .708.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
Brewers hitters are averaging 4.03 pitches per plate appearance against RHP since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Brewers hitters have chased 11% of pitches out of the zone on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 16%.
Brewers hitters have a swing rate of just 27% on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
Brewers hitters have a groundball batting average of .308 with runners on base this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .263.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 36% with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 36% with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Brewers pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 38% of their games since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Brewers pitchers have an ERA of 3.20 (907.1 IP) against division opponents since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.23.
Brewers pitchers have an ERA of 3.58 (1268.1 IP) this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.11.
The Brewers pitchers have allowed 293 barreled balls in the 2023 season — 4th fewest in MLB.
Brewers vs. Rockies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Milwaukee Brewers – No Injuries Reported
- Colorado Rockies – No Injuries Reported
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