- The Nationals are -150 favorites vs the Rockies
- Rockies vs Nationals Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Rockies / Nationals TV Channel: ROTV | MAS2
The Colorado Rockies (+130) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (-155) on Tuesday, August 20, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:45pm EDT in Washington, DC.
This season, the Rockies are 46-79 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 70-55 ATS.
Rockies vs Nationals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rockies starting pitcher: Austin Gomber 3-8, 4.88 ERA
- Nationals starting pitcher: Davidjohn Herz 2-5, 4.23 ERA
Rockies vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rockies | +1.5 -175 | O 8 -110 | +130 |
| Nationals | -1.5 +145 | U 8 -110 | -155 |
Rockies vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Nationals will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 56.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Michael Toglia has hit the Home Runs Over in 9 of his last 25 away games (+29.85 Units / 119% ROI)
- Ryan McMahon has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 19 games (+12.50 Units / 54% ROI)
- Ryan McMahon has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 18 games (+12.45 Units / 69% ROI)
- Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Runs Over in 19 of his last 31 games (+11.10 Units / 34% ROI)
- Ryan McMahon has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 18 games (+10.80 Units / 40% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Luis Garcia has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 18 games at home (+20.50 Units / 114% ROI)
- Alex Call has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 23 games (+16.20 Units / 52% ROI)
- Luis Garcia has hit the Hits Over in 26 of his last 38 games (+12.20 Units / 17% ROI)
- Jacob Young has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 24 games at home (+10.45 Units / 44% ROI)
- Alex Call has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 23 games (+10.00 Units / 38% ROI)
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 26 of their last 43 games (+6.45 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 22 away games (+6.35 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 38 of their last 89 games (+6.25 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Over in 26 of their last 44 away games (+5.65 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 9 of their last 13 away games (+5.05 Units / 34% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 31 of their last 51 games (+11.45 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 67 of their last 117 games (+10.15 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 31 of their last 51 games at home (+8.20 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 54 of their last 117 games (+6.30 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Team Total Over in 6 of their last 9 games at home (+3.00 Units / 30% ROI)
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 64-61 against the Run Line (-9.3 Units / -6.04% ROI).
- 46-79 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.65 Units / -6.94% ROI
- 62-60 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.9 Units / -2.86% ROI
- 60-62 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.25 Units / -6.03% ROI
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 70-55 against the Run Line (+6.23 Units / 3.78% ROI).
- 56-69 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.05 Units / 2.33% ROI
- 62-57 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.1 Units / -0.07% ROI
- 57-62 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.07 Units / -8.7% ROI
Nationals vs Rockies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Michael Toglia (COL) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Ezequiel Tovar (COL) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
| Brenton Doyle (COL) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Juan Yepez (WAS) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -750 |
| Andrés Chaparro (WAS) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
Nationals vs Rockies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Call (WAS) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| James Wood (WAS) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Brendan Rodgers (COL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Keibert Ruiz (WAS) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Juan Yepez (WAS) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Nationals vs Rockies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Juan Yepez (WAS) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Michael Toglia (COL) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Alex Call (WAS) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| James Wood (WAS) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Keibert Ruiz (WAS) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Nationals vs Rockies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Gomber (COL) | 3.5 -135 | 3.5 +105 |
| DJ Herz (WAS) | 6.5 +115 | 6.5 -150 |
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Austin Gomber has allowed a slugging percentage of .808 (42 Total Bases / 52 ABs) on low fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .406 — first Percentile.
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 17% (66/384) against Austin Gomber this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — third Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 19% (146/763) against Austin Gomber this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — third Percentile.
Austin Gomber has allowed a slugging percentage of .524 (100 Total Bases / 191 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .389 — third Percentile.
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Davidjohn Herz has a strikeout rate of 28% (68 SO in 240 PAs) this season — 14th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 49 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 91st Percentile.
Davidjohn Herz has thrown his changeup 30% of the time (222/728) against right-handed batters this season — 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 49 total CH; League Avg: 14% — 94th Percentile.
Davidjohn Herz has recorded 14 of his 49 strikeouts (29%) against right-handed batters with his changeup this season — tied for 14th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 49 total IP; League Avg: 11% — 88th Percentile.
Davidjohn Herz has allowed an OBP of just .118 (34 PA’s) with two-strikes this month (3 games) — 7th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: .245 — 95th Percentile.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Rockies are just 27-25 (.519) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .797.
The Rockies are just 50-36 (.581) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .799.
The Rockies are just 11-31 (.256) after a road loss this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .478.
The Rockies are just 79-20 (.790) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .897.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Nationals are 9-2 (.818) after a loss as favorites since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .576.
The Nationals are just 88-134 (.396) at home since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .526.
The Nationals are just 55-220 (.200) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .279.
The Nationals are just 175-229 (.433) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .536.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies have a winning percentage of just 27% on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
The Rockies won just 53% of games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 75%.
Rockies hitters have an OBP of just .299 (3,047 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .320.
The Rockies won just 47% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 73%.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
Nationals hitters have just 2,299 strikeouts in 11,552 PA’s (20%) against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Nationals hitters have just 1,475 strikeouts in 7,501 PA’s (20%) against RHP since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Nationals hitters have put 38% of their swings in play on pitches 95 mph or greater since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 34%.
The Nationals have scored first in just 39% of their road games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 56%.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Rockies pitchers since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Rockies pitchers have an ERA of 5.79 (1300.0 IP) at home since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.12.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Nationals pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 63% of their games this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Nationals vs. Rockies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jake Alu (Washington Nationals): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Joey Gallo (Washington Nationals): Hamstring, 10-Day IL
- Josiah Gray (Washington Nationals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Mason Thompson (Washington Nationals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Trevor Williams (Washington Nationals): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Nolan Jones (Colorado Rockies): Back, 10-Day IL
- German Marquez (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Antonio Senzatela (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Daniel Bard (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 60-Day IL
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