- The Nationals are -165 favorites vs the Rockies
- Rockies vs Nationals Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Rockies / Nationals TV Channel: MASN | ROTV
The Colorado Rockies (+135) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (-165) on Wednesday, August 21, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:45pm EDT in Washington, DC.
This season, the Rockies are 47-79 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 70-56 ATS.
Rockies vs Nationals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rockies starting pitcher: Tanner Gordon 0-4, 7.01 ERA
- Nationals starting pitcher: Mitchell Parker 6-7, 4.45 ERA
Rockies vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rockies | +1.5 -155 | O 8.5 -120 | +135 |
| Nationals | -1.5 +125 | U 8.5 +100 | -165 |
Rockies vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Nationals will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 53.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Michael Toglia has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 24 away games (+23.45 Units / 98% ROI)
- Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Runs Over in 20 of his last 32 games (+12.55 Units / 38% ROI)
- Ryan McMahon has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+11.50 Units / 48% ROI)
- Ryan McMahon has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 19 games (+11.45 Units / 60% ROI)
- Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 22 of his last 33 games (+10.35 Units / 27% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Luis Garcia has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 19 games at home (+19.50 Units / 103% ROI)
- Alex Call has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 24 games (+17.45 Units / 55% ROI)
- Luis Garcia has hit the Hits Over in 27 of his last 39 games (+13.20 Units / 17% ROI)
- CJ Abrams has hit the Singles Under in 26 of his last 38 games (+10.90 Units / 24% ROI)
- Jacob Young has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 25 games at home (+9.45 Units / 38% ROI)
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 39 of their last 90 games (+7.65 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 44 games (+7.45 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 14 away games (+6.05 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 37 of their last 90 games (+6.00 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 23 away games (+5.25 Units / 21% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 31 of their last 52 games (+10.35 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 32 of their last 52 games at home (+9.20 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 67 of their last 118 games (+9.15 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 54 of their last 118 games (+4.65 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Team Total Under in 33 of their last 58 games at home (+3.75 Units / 5% ROI)
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 65-61 against the Run Line (-8.3 Units / -5.34% ROI).
- 47-79 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.25 Units / -5.77% ROI
- 62-61 when betting on the total runs Over for -5 Units / -3.64% ROI
- 61-62 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.25 Units / -5.26% ROI
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 70-56 against the Run Line (+5.23 Units / 3.16% ROI).
- 56-70 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.4 Units / 1.06% ROI
- 62-58 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.2 Units / -0.87% ROI
- 58-62 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.07 Units / -7.92% ROI
Nationals vs Rockies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Michael Toglia (COL) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Joey Gallo (WAS) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Brenton Doyle (COL) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Ezequiel Tovar (COL) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| CJ Abrams (WAS) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
Nationals vs Rockies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Luis Garcia (WAS) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Brenton Doyle (COL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Alex Call (WAS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Brendan Rodgers (COL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Ezequiel Tovar (COL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
Nationals vs Rockies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Keibert Ruiz (WAS) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Michael Toglia (COL) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Brenton Doyle (COL) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| James Wood (WAS) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| CJ Abrams (WAS) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Nationals vs Rockies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tanner Gordon (COL) | 3.5 -155 | 3.5 +115 |
| Mitchell Parker (WAS) | 5.5 -130 | 5.5 +100 |
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tanner Gordon has thrown breaking pitches 48% of the time (65/136) against right-handed batters this month (3 games) — 9th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 92nd Percentile.
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Mitchell Parker has a strike rate of 68% (491/720) when ahead in the count this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 50 total IP; League Avg: 61% — 97th Percentile.
Mitchell Parker has 32 three-pitch strikeouts this season — tied for 6th most among pitchers in MLB — 99th Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 65% of Mitchell Parker’s pitches (349/534) with two-strikes this season — 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 50 total IP; League Avg: 60% — 95th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 21% (11/52) against Mitchell Parker this month (3 games) — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 41% — first Percentile.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Rockies are just 75-31 (.701) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .857.
The Rockies are just 11-31 (.256) after a road loss this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .479.
The Rockies are just 39-7 (.830) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .946.
The Rockies are just 50-36 (.581) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .799.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Nationals are 9-2 (.818) after a loss as favorites since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .575.
The Nationals are just 88-135 (.395) at home since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .526.
The Nationals are just 33-54 (.379) after a home win since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .532.
The Nationals are just 55-221 (.199) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .279.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies have a winning percentage of just 28% on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
The Rockies have a winning percentage of just 28% on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
The Rockies won just 47% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 73%.
The Rockies won just 53% of games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 75%.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
Nationals hitters have just 1,009 strikeouts in 5,187 PA’s (20%) against LHP since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Nationals hitters are slugging just .380 against LHP since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .407.
Nationals hitters have just 612 strikeouts in 3,240 PA’s (19%) against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Nationals have scored first in just 36% of their games this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 36% with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Rockies pitchers have an ERA of 5.52 (1112.2 IP) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.10.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
The Nationals pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 64% of their games this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Nationals pitchers have allowed an OBP of .345 (3,963 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: .308.
Nationals vs. Rockies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jake Alu (Washington Nationals): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Joey Gallo (Washington Nationals): Hamstring, 10-Day IL
- Josiah Gray (Washington Nationals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Mason Thompson (Washington Nationals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Trevor Williams (Washington Nationals): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Nolan Jones (Colorado Rockies): Back, 10-Day IL
- German Marquez (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Antonio Senzatela (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Daniel Bard (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 60-Day IL
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