- The Nationals are -125 favorites vs the Rockies
- Rockies vs Nationals Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Rockies / Nationals TV Channel: MASN | ROTV | MLBN
The Colorado Rockies (+105) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (-125) on Thursday, August 22, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:05pm EDT in Washington, DC.
This season, the Rockies are 47-80 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 71-56 ATS.
Rockies vs Nationals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rockies starting pitcher: Cal Quantrill 8-8, 4.62 ERA
- Nationals starting pitcher: Patrick Corbin 2-12, 5.95 ERA
Rockies vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rockies | +1.5 -225 | O 8.5 -105 | +105 |
| Nationals | -1.5 +165 | U 8.5 -115 | -125 |
Rockies vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Nationals will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 52.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Michael Toglia has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 25 away games (+22.45 Units / 90% ROI)
- Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Runs Over in 20 of his last 33 games (+11.55 Units / 34% ROI)
- Cal Quantrill has hit the Hits Allowed Under in 16 of his last 21 games (+11.15 Units / 45% ROI)
- Brenton Doyle has hit the Hits Over in 25 of his last 38 games (+11.15 Units / 17% ROI)
- Ryan McMahon has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 21 games (+10.50 Units / 42% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Luis Garcia has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 20 games at home (+25.80 Units / 129% ROI)
- Alex Call has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+16.45 Units / 50% ROI)
- Luis Garcia has hit the Hits Over in 28 of his last 40 games (+14.20 Units / 18% ROI)
- CJ Abrams has hit the Singles Under in 27 of his last 39 games (+11.90 Units / 25% ROI)
- Alex Call has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+9.65 Units / 33% ROI)
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 15 away games (+7.10 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 39 of their last 91 games (+6.65 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 45 games (+5.95 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 37 of their last 91 games (+5.00 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 24 away games (+4.15 Units / 16% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 68 of their last 119 games (+10.45 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 31 of their last 53 games (+9.25 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 32 of their last 53 games at home (+7.85 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 55 of their last 119 games (+5.65 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Team Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games at home (+3.00 Units / 25% ROI)
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 65-62 against the Run Line (-9.8 Units / -6.25% ROI).
- 47-80 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.25 Units / -6.51% ROI
- 62-62 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.1 Units / -4.41% ROI
- 62-62 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.25 Units / -4.5% ROI
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 71-56 against the Run Line (+6.53 Units / 3.92% ROI).
- 57-70 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.4 Units / 1.79% ROI
- 62-59 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.3 Units / -1.66% ROI
- 59-62 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.07 Units / -7.15% ROI
Nationals vs Rockies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Michael Toglia (COL) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Brenton Doyle (COL) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Ezequiel Tovar (COL) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -750 |
| CJ Abrams (WAS) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
| James Wood (WAS) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
Nationals vs Rockies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Michael Toglia (COL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Alex Call (WAS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Keibert Ruiz (WAS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Jordan Beck (COL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Jacob Stallings (COL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Nationals vs Rockies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Michael Toglia (COL) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
| Keibert Ruiz (WAS) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Brenton Doyle (COL) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Luis Garcia (WAS) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| CJ Abrams (WAS) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Nationals vs Rockies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Quantrill (COL) | 3.5 -155 | 3.5 +120 |
| Patrick Corbin (WAS) | 5.5 +110 | 5.5 -145 |
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Cal Quantrill has allowed an OBP of .307 (287 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .230 — third Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .224 (57-for-255) against Cal Quantrill with two-strikes this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .162 — fourth Percentile.
Cal Quantrill has allowed an OBP of .349 (278 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .289 — fourth Percentile.
Cal Quantrill has allowed an OPS of .799 (551 PA’s) this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .685 — sixth Percentile.
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .251 (63-for-251) against Patrick Corbin with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .162 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .314 (227-for-722) against Patrick Corbin when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .234 — fourth Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .311 (168-for-541) against Patrick Corbin this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .237 — first Percentile.
Patrick Corbin has thrown inside pitches 41% of the time (260/639) with two-strikes this season — 2nd highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 29% — 96th Percentile.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Rockies are just 50-36 (.581) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .799.
The Rockies are just 11-31 (.256) after a road loss this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .481.
The Rockies are just 90-13 (.865) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .948.
The Rockies are just 75-31 (.701) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .857.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Nationals are 10-2 (.833) after a loss as favorites since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .577.
The Nationals are just 33-54 (.379) after a home win since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .532.
The Nationals are just 91-55 (.623) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .736.
The Nationals are just 55-221 (.199) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .279.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies have a winning percentage of just 28% on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
The Rockies have won just 46% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.
The Rockies won just 53% of games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 75%.
Rockies hitters have an OPS of just .638 (8,400 PA’s) on the road since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .708.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
Nationals hitters have just 612 strikeouts in 3,240 PA’s (19%) against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Nationals hitters have 99 extra-base hits out of 322 total hits (just 31%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Nationals hitters have an OPS of just .957 (1,996 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 1.088.
Nationals hitters have an OPS of just .693 (5,187 PA’s) against LHP since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .725.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Rockies pitchers since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% with runners in scoring position since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 21% in late innings since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Nationals vs. Rockies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jake Alu (Washington Nationals): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Joey Gallo (Washington Nationals): Hamstring, 10-Day IL
- Josiah Gray (Washington Nationals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Mason Thompson (Washington Nationals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Trevor Williams (Washington Nationals): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Nolan Jones (Colorado Rockies): Back, 10-Day IL
- German Marquez (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Antonio Senzatela (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Daniel Bard (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 60-Day IL
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