- The Reds are -185 favorites vs the Rockies
- Rockies vs Reds Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Rockies / Reds TV Channel: BSOH | ROTV
The Colorado Rockies (+150) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (-185) on Wednesday, July 10, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Cincinnati, OH.
This season, the Rockies are 32-60 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 52-40 ATS.
Rockies vs Reds Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rockies starting pitcher: Kyle Freeland 0-3, 6.63 ERA
- Reds starting pitcher: Frankie Montas 4-6, 4.21 ERA
Rockies vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rockies | +1.5 -130 | O 9.5 -115 | +150 |
| Reds | -1.5 +105 | U 9.5 -105 | -185 |
Rockies vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Reds will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 56.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ryan McMahon has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 24 away games (+24.80 Units / 103% ROI)
- Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Total Bases Over in 27 of his last 43 games (+12.05 Units / 24% ROI)
- Ryan McMahon has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 20 away games (+9.85 Units / 49% ROI)
- Charlie Blackmon has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 30 games (+9.15 Units / 20% ROI)
- Brendan Rodgers has hit the Singles Over in 25 of his last 36 games (+8.85 Units / 17% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Elly De La Cruz has hit the Hits Under in 28 of his last 47 games (+18.60 Units / 35% ROI)
- Jeimer Candelario has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 28 games (+16.60 Units / 59% ROI)
- Jeimer Candelario has hit the Total Bases Over in 25 of his last 41 games (+11.60 Units / 23% ROI)
- Will Benson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 12 of his last 14 games (+11.25 Units / 74% ROI)
- Jonathan India has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 30 games (+9.30 Units / 28% ROI)
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 28 of their last 56 games (+11.80 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 56 games (+5.85 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 26 away games (+4.65 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games (+4.40 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 30 away games (+4.40 Units / 13% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 45 of their last 76 games (+15.10 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 24 of their last 33 games at home (+14.25 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 30 of their last 45 games at home (+11.85 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 44 of their last 74 games (+11.75 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 26 of their last 42 games (+8.50 Units / 17% ROI)
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 44-48 against the Run Line (-14.4 Units / -12.66% ROI).
- 32-60 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.05 Units / -9.87% ROI
- 45-45 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.4 Units / -4.4% ROI
- 45-45 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.6 Units / -4.58% ROI
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Reds are 52-40 against the Run Line (+7.9 Units / 6.49% ROI).
- 44-48 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.3 Units / -3.05% ROI
- 39-49 when betting on the total runs Over for -15.75 Units / -15.49% ROI
- 49-39 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.75 Units / 5.7% ROI
Reds vs Rockies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -450 |
| Jeimer Candelario (CIN) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Michael Toglia (COL) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Ryan McMahon (COL) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Noelvi Marte (CIN) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
Reds vs Rockies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Santiago Espinal (CIN) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Noelvi Marte (CIN) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Austin Slater (CIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Brendan Rodgers (COL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Ezequiel Tovar (COL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
Reds vs Rockies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| Jeimer Candelario (CIN) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| Noelvi Marte (CIN) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Santiago Espinal (CIN) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Michael Toglia (COL) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Reds vs Rockies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Frankie Montas (CIN) | 5.5 -140 | 5.5 +105 |
| Kyle Freeland (COL) | 4.5 +120 | 4.5 -160 |
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kyle Freeland has allowed a slugging percentage of .636 (119 Total Bases / 187 ABs) on changeups since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 165 total IP; League Avg: .375 — first Percentile.
Hitters have chased just 86 of Kyle Freeland’s 447 changeups out of the zone (chase rate of 19%) since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 165 total IP; League Avg: 35% — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .406 (76-for-187) against Kyle Freeland’s changeup since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 165 total IP; League Avg: .238 — first Percentile.
Kyle Freeland has averaged 88.8 MPH on fastballs in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 93.5 — second Percentile.
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a first pitch chase rate of 23% (111/480) against Frankie Montas since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 165 total IP; League Avg: 16% — 100th Percentile.
Frankie Montas has walked 3 of 18 batters (17%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game over the last 14 days — tied for 3rd highest among NL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 8% — seventh Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 31% (68/220) against Frankie Montas with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: 39% — first Percentile.
Frankie Montas has allowed an OBP of .361 (191 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this season — tied for 8th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: .312 — 11th Percentile.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Rockies are just 65-30 (.684) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .859.
The Rockies are just 26-7 (.788) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .943.
The Rockies are just 77-13 (.856) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .947.
The Rockies are just 69-20 (.775) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .898.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Reds are just 1-7 (.125) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Reds are just 9-18 (.333) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Reds are just 27-31 (.466) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .588.
The Reds are just 2-10 (.167) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies have won just 50% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.
The Rockies have an average HR distance of 411.2 feet since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 398.4.
The Rockies have won just 46% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.
The Rockies have won just 46% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
The Reds are batting just .114 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .153.
Reds hitters are slugging just .152 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.
The Reds are 16-6 (.727) against the run line (34.6% ROI) after a road loss this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .528.
The Reds are batting just .140 with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .169.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 36% with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% with runners in scoring position since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Reds pitchers have walked 339 of 3,683 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Reds pitchers since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Reds vs. Rockies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Austin Wynns (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Sam Moll (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Noelvi Marte (Cincinnati Reds): Suspension, Suspension
- Matt McLain (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Joey Votto (Cincinnati Reds): Ankle, Out
- Nick Lodolo (Cincinnati Reds): Calf, 15-Day IL
- TJ Friedl (Cincinnati Reds): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Reiver Sanmartin (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, Out
- Alex Young (Cincinnati Reds): Back, 15-Day IL
- Ian Gibaut (Cincinnati Reds): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Brandon Williamson (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Connor Overton (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, Out
- German Marquez (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Lucas Gilbreath (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Antonio Senzatela (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Daniel Bard (Colorado Rockies): Knee, 15-Day IL
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