- The Reds are -185 favorites vs the Rockies
- Rockies vs Reds Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
- Rockies / Reds TV Channel: BSOH | ROTV
The Colorado Rockies (+150) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (-185) on Monday, July 8, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Cincinnati, OH.
This season, the Rockies are 32-58 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 50-40 ATS.
Rockies vs Reds Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rockies starting pitcher: Ryan Feltner 1-7, 5.58 ERA
- Reds starting pitcher: Andrew Abbott 8-6, 3.30 ERA
Rockies vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rockies | +1.5 -140 | O 9.5 -120 | +150 |
| Reds | -1.5 +115 | U 9.5 +100 | -185 |
Rockies vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Reds will win Monday‘s MLB game with 56.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ryan McMahon has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 24 away games (+24.80 Units / 103% ROI)
- Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Total Bases Over in 27 of his last 43 games (+12.05 Units / 24% ROI)
- Ryan McMahon has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 20 away games (+9.85 Units / 49% ROI)
- Charlie Blackmon has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 30 games (+9.15 Units / 20% ROI)
- Brendan Rodgers has hit the Singles Over in 25 of his last 36 games (+8.85 Units / 17% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Elly De La Cruz has hit the Hits Under in 28 of his last 47 games (+18.60 Units / 35% ROI)
- Jeimer Candelario has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 28 games (+16.60 Units / 59% ROI)
- Jeimer Candelario has hit the Total Bases Over in 25 of his last 41 games (+11.60 Units / 23% ROI)
- Will Benson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 12 of his last 14 games (+11.25 Units / 74% ROI)
- Jonathan India has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 30 games (+9.30 Units / 28% ROI)
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 28 of their last 54 games (+13.80 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 54 games (+7.85 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 28 away games (+6.70 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Over in 15 of their last 24 away games (+5.05 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.50 Units / 31% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 24 of their last 31 games at home (+16.30 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 44 of their last 74 games (+15.20 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 29 of their last 43 games at home (+12.05 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 42 of their last 72 games (+9.55 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 24 of their last 40 games (+6.50 Units / 14% ROI)
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 44-46 against the Run Line (-11.8 Units / -10.62% ROI).
- 32-58 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.05 Units / -7.86% ROI
- 44-44 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.3 Units / -4.4% ROI
- 44-44 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.5 Units / -4.58% ROI
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Reds are 50-40 against the Run Line (+5.7 Units / 4.76% ROI).
- 42-48 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.3 Units / -5.06% ROI
- 38-48 when betting on the total runs Over for -15.65 Units / -15.74% ROI
- 48-38 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.85 Units / 5.92% ROI
Reds vs Rockies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Michael Toglia (COL) | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -400 |
| Brenton Doyle (COL) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| Will Benson (CIN) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Jeimer Candelario (CIN) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
Reds vs Rockies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Brendan Rodgers (COL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Noelvi Marte (CIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Elias Diaz (COL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Ezequiel Tovar (COL) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Reds vs Rockies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jeimer Candelario (CIN) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
| Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
| Tyler Stephenson (CIN) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Michael Toglia (COL) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
Reds vs Rockies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew Abbott (CIN) | 5.5 -150 | 5.5 +115 |
| Ryan Feltner (COL) | 5.5 +120 | 5.5 -155 |
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .294 (109-for-371) against Ryan Feltner this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .234 — second Percentile.
Ryan Feltner has allowed an OPS of 1.053 (106 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .691 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .310 (57-for-184) against Ryan Feltner’s non-fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .216 — first Percentile.
Ryan Feltner has allowed an OPS of 1.049 (153 PA’s) with runners in scoring position since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 99 total IP; League Avg: .739 — first Percentile.
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Andrew Abbott has walked 20 of 153 batters (13%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — second Percentile.
Andrew Abbott has walked 6 of 18 batters (33%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game over the last 14 days — highest among NL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 8% — second Percentile.
Andrew Abbott has walked 9 of 38 right-handed batters (24%) — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 6% — first Percentile.
Andrew Abbott has walked 10 of 49 batters (20%) over the last 14 days — highest among NL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 7% — second Percentile.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Rockies are just 65-30 (.684) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .859.
The Rockies are just 77-13 (.856) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .947.
The Rockies are just 63-39 (.618) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .788.
The Rockies are just 23-22 (.511) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .793.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Reds are just 2-10 (.167) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Reds are just 1-7 (.125) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Reds are just 26-31 (.456) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .587.
The Reds are just 9-18 (.333) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies have an average HR distance of 410.8 feet since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 398.6.
The Rockies have won just 46% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.
The Rockies had an average HR distance of 411.3 feet in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 399.2.
The Rockies have won just 50% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
The Reds are batting just .173 on breaking pitches this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .218.
The Reds are batting just .217 at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .244.
The Reds are batting just .117 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .153.
The Reds are 16-6 (.727) against the run line (34.6% ROI) after a road loss this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .533.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 36% with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Rockies pitchers since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Reds pitchers have walked 339 of 3,665 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Reds pitchers have walked 209 of 2,238 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Reds vs. Rockies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Austin Wynns (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Sam Moll (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Noelvi Marte (Cincinnati Reds): Suspension, Suspension
- Matt McLain (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Joey Votto (Cincinnati Reds): Ankle, Out
- Nick Lodolo (Cincinnati Reds): Calf, 15-Day IL
- TJ Friedl (Cincinnati Reds): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Reiver Sanmartin (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, Out
- Alex Young (Cincinnati Reds): Back, 15-Day IL
- Ian Gibaut (Cincinnati Reds): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Brandon Williamson (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Connor Overton (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, Out
- German Marquez (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Lucas Gilbreath (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Antonio Senzatela (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Daniel Bard (Colorado Rockies): Knee, 15-Day IL
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