- The Royals are -145 favorites vs the Angels
- Royals vs Angels Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Royals / Angels TV Channel: BSKC | MLBN | BSW
The Kansas City Royals (-155) visit Angel Stadium of Anaheim to take on the Los Angeles Angels (+130) on Saturday, May 11, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:38pm EDT in Anaheim, CA.
This season, the Royals are 24-16 against the spread (ATS), while the Angels are 19-20 ATS.
Royals vs Angels Starting Pitchers Today:
- Royals starting pitcher: Cole Ragans 2-2, 3.40 ERA
- Angels starting pitcher: Tyler Anderson 2-4, 2.74 ERA
Royals vs. Angels Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Royals | -1.5 +110 | O 8 -105 | -155 |
| Angels | +1.5 -130 | U 8 -115 | +130 |
Royals vs Angels Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Royals will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 57.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:
- MJ Melendez has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 22 games (+16.95 Units / 49% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 22 games (+16.30 Units / 74% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the RBIs Under in his last 15 games (+15.00 Units / 42% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 22 games (+13.50 Units / 50% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 22 games (+12.25 Units / 43% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Angels Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jo Adell has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 12 games at home (+24.00 Units / 200% ROI)
- Jo Adell has hit the Runs Over in 8 of his last 12 games at home (+10.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Zach Neto has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 22 games (+8.50 Units / 38% ROI)
- Zach Neto has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 22 games (+7.75 Units / 25% ROI)
- Jo Adell has hit the Hits Over in 10 of his last 12 games at home (+7.65 Units / 48% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 17 games (+13.10 Units / 77% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 59 games (+9.10 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.49 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 17 games (+5.00 Units / 22% ROI)
Angels Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Under in 37 of their last 59 games (+13.19 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Over in 44 of their last 76 games (+11.05 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 11 games (+8.66 Units / 77% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+7.95 Units / 69% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 22 of their last 37 games (+4.97 Units / 11% ROI)
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Royals are 25-15 against the Run Line (+7.59 Units / 13.61% ROI).
- 24-16 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.8 Units / 21.35% ROI
- 14-23 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.4 Units / -26.42% ROI
- 23-14 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.65 Units / 17.89% ROI
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Angels are 19-20 against the Run Line (-10.3 Units / -17.33% ROI).
- 14-25 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.05 Units / -22.48% ROI
- 20-17 when betting on the total runs Over for +1 Units / 2.31% ROI
- 17-20 when betting on the total runs Under for -5 Units / -11.75% ROI
Angels vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -375 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Hunter Renfroe (KC) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Nelson Velazquez (KC) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
Angels vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Maikel Garcia (KC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| Nolan Schanuel (LAA) | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
| Taylor Ward (LAA) | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +130 |
Angels vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Hunter Renfroe (KC) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Nelson Velazquez (KC) | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
Angels vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Anderson (LAA) | 4.5 -145 | 4.5 +110 |
| Cole Ragans (KC) | 7.5 -120 | 7.5 -110 |
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Cole Ragans has a strikeout rate of 33% (24 SO in 72 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — tied for 6th best among among AL Starters; League Avg: 26% — 90th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .150 (3-for-20) against Cole Ragans on low fastballs this season — 9th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .262 — 88th Percentile.
Cole Ragans has an ERA of 0.47 (19.0 IP) on the road this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 3.76 — 97th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .378 (14-for-37) against Cole Ragans with runners in scoring position this season — tied for 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .247 — third Percentile.
Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tyler Anderson has a strikeout rate of just 6% (2 SO in 32 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — fourth Percentile.
21 of Tyler Anderson’s 32 strikeouts (66%) have come on changeups this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 13% — 100th Percentile.
Tyler Anderson has thrown his changeup 28% of the time (49/174) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 11% — 100th Percentile.
Tyler Anderson has thrown his changeup 45% of the time (213/475) against right-handed batters this season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 16% — 100th Percentile.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Angels
The Royals are just 14-88 (.137) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .363.
The Royals are just 57-121 (.320) on the road since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .475.
The Royals are just 18-33 (.353) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .573.
The Royals are just 10-47 (.175) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .384.
Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Angels are just 20-99 (.168) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .267.
The Angels are just 140-13 (.915) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The Angels are just 60-29 (.674) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .787.
The Angels are just 7-90 (.072) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .143.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Royals have won just 51% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .281 (3,594 PA’s) on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .315.
The Royals have won just 46% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.
The Royals won just 38% of games in which they have scored first on the road in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 63%.
Angels Hitting Stats & Trends
Angels hitters have an OBP of just .275 (1,048 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.
Angels hitters have 2,560 strikeouts in 9,964 PA’s (26%) against RHP since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Angels have a winning percentage of just 23% at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 51%.
The Angels have won just 43% of games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 78%.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
The Royals won just 18% of games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 34%.
The Royals have won just 21% of games in which their opponents scored first since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
The Royals won just 17% of home games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 41% with two-strikes since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Angels Pitching Stats & Trends
Angels pitchers have an ERA of 5.88 (153.0 IP) at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.88.
Angels pitchers have walked 189 of 1,778 batters (11%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels pitchers have walked 311 of 3,218 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels pitchers have walked 39 of 344 batters (11%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels vs. Royals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Michael Stefanic (Los Angeles Angels): Quadriceps, 10-Day IL
- Sam Bachman (Los Angeles Angels): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Mickey Moniak (Los Angeles Angels): Illness, Day-To-Day
- Austin Warren (Los Angeles Angels): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Robert Stephenson (Los Angeles Angels): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Aaron Loup (Los Angeles Angels): Shoulder, Out
- Randal Grichuk (Los Angeles Angels): Ankle, 10-Day IL
- Kelvin Caceres (Los Angeles Angels): Lat, 60-Day IL
- Jose Quijada (Los Angeles Angels): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Kyle Wright (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Austin Cox (Kansas City Royals): Knee, Day-To-Day
- Michael Massey (Kansas City Royals): Back, 10-Day IL
- Jake Brentz (Kansas City Royals): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Josh Taylor (Kansas City Royals): Biceps, 15-Day IL
- Carlos Hernandez (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Kris Bubic (Kansas City Royals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
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