- The Royals are -165 favorites vs the Athletics
- Royals vs Athletics Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Royals / Athletics TV Channel: BSKC | NSCA
The Kansas City Royals (-165) visit Oakland-Alameda County Coliseum to take on the Oakland Athletics (+135) on Thursday, June 20, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 3:37pm EDT in Oakland, CA.
This season, the Royals are 41-34 against the spread (ATS), while the Athletics are 38-38 ATS.
Royals vs Athletics Starting Pitchers Today:
- Royals starting pitcher: Seth Lugo 10-2, 2.39 ERA
- Athletics starting pitcher: Mitch Spence 4-3, 4.00 ERA
Royals vs. Athletics Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Royals | -1.5 +105 | O 7.5 -105 | -165 |
| Athletics | +1.5 -125 | U 7.5 -115 | +135 |
Royals vs Athletics Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Royals will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 58.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Salvador Perez has hit the RBIs Under in 21 of his last 24 games (+15.70 Units / 41% ROI)
- Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Singles Over in 21 of his last 26 games (+14.60 Units / 41% ROI)
- Salvador Perez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 24 games (+12.45 Units / 45% ROI)
- Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 28 games (+11.75 Units / 38% ROI)
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 17 away games (+10.65 Units / 42% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Athletics Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Zack Gelof has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 games at home (+22.50 Units / 375% ROI)
- JJ Bleday has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 29 of his last 46 games (+14.05 Units / 28% ROI)
- JJ Bleday has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 22 games at home (+12.50 Units / 57% ROI)
- JJ Bleday has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 15 games at home (+12.45 Units / 48% ROI)
- Brent Rooker has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+11.15 Units / 38% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 43 of their last 71 games (+10.94 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 28 games (+6.80 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games (+6.05 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 52 games (+3.50 Units / 6% ROI)
Athletics Best Bets Today:
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 22 of their last 33 games (+9.70 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 33 games (+8.65 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 25 games at home (+4.50 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 21 games (+3.70 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 7 games at home (+0.90 Units / 13% ROI)
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Royals are 44-31 against the Run Line (+7.34 Units / 7.11% ROI).
- 41-34 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.3 Units / 9.47% ROI
- 34-38 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.9 Units / -9.69% ROI
- 38-34 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.5 Units / 0.61% ROI
Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Athletics are 38-38 against the Run Line (-7.2 Units / -7.54% ROI).
- 28-48 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.25 Units / -10.44% ROI
- 33-40 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.25 Units / -13.54% ROI
- 40-33 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.95 Units / 3.51% ROI
Athletics vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brent Rooker (OAK) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| MJ Melendez (KC) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
Athletics vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Miguel Andujar (OAK) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Max Schuemann (OAK) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Nick Loftin (KC) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Freddy Fermin (KC) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Athletics vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Brent Rooker (OAK) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| MJ Melendez (KC) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
Athletics vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Seth Lugo (KC) | 5.5 -150 | 5.5 +115 |
| Mitch Spence (OAK) | 3.5 +110 | 3.5 -150 |
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .435 (10-for-23) against Seth Lugo when going through the lineup the second time in a game this month (3 games) — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: .234 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .342 (13-for-38) against Seth Lugo with two-strikes this month (3 games) — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: .176 — second Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .200 (10-for-50) against Seth Lugo on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .329 — 100th Percentile.
Seth Lugo allowed a batting average of .279 vs right-handed batters (10th worst)– ninth Percentile and just .167 vs left-handed batters in the 2022 season (10th best among qualified RPs)– 90th Percentile.
Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .500 (9-for-18) against Mitch Spence when going through the lineup the first time in a game — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .227 — first Percentile.
Mitch Spence has struck out just 9% (4/44) of right-handed batters he faced this month (3 games) — 2nd lowest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 23% — fourth Percentile.
Opponents batted .391 (9-for-23) against Mitch Spence — highest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: .229 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .059 (1-for-17) against Mitch Spence when going through the lineup the second time in a game — tied for best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .233 — 100th Percentile.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics
The Royals are just 15-18 (.455) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .588.
The Royals are just 25-42 (.373) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .560.
The Royals are just 18-95 (.159) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .364.
The Royals are just 46-66 (.411) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .568.
Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Athletics are just 47-112 (.296) after a loss since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .494.
The Athletics are just 7-10 (.412) after a win as favorites since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .588.
The Athletics are just 42-79 (.347) after a home loss since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .520.
The Athletics are just 43-75 (.364) at home since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .523.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters have just 12 strikeouts in 115 PA’s (10%) against LHP over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Royals hitters have just 13 strikeouts in 127 PA’s (10%) against LHP this month (14 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .283 (4,304 PA’s) on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
The Royals won just 46% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 71%.
Athletics Hitting Stats & Trends
The Athletics are batting just .117 on pitches out of the zone since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .154.
The Athletics are batting just .200 with two outs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .235.
The Athletics are batting just .223 since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .246.
The Athletics are batting just .212 against division opponents since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
The Royals won just 18% of games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 34%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Royals pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% with runners in scoring position since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Royals pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 27% of their games this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Athletics Pitching Stats & Trends
Athletics pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% versus the bottom of the order since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Athletics pitchers have an ERA of 5.63 (1007.0 IP) on the road since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.34.
Athletics pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Athletics have allowed 5.59 runs per game (671/120) on the road since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.52.
Athletics vs. Royals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Ken Waldichuk (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Aledmys Diaz (Oakland Athletics): Calf, 60-Day IL
- Freddy Tarnok (Oakland Athletics): Hip, 15-Day IL
- James Kaprielian (Oakland Athletics): Shoulder, Out
- Trevor Gott (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Drew Rucinski (Oakland Athletics): Back, Out
- Sean Newcomb (Oakland Athletics): Knee, 60-Day IL
- Luis Medina (Oakland Athletics): Knee, 15-Day IL
- Angel Felipe (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Kyle Wright (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Austin Cox (Kansas City Royals): Knee, Day-To-Day
- Michael Massey (Kansas City Royals): Back, 10-Day IL
- Jake Brentz (Kansas City Royals): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Josh Taylor (Kansas City Royals): Biceps, 15-Day IL
- Carlos Hernandez (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Kris Bubic (Kansas City Royals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
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