Royals vs Dodgers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 15

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 15, 2024, 11:00 AM
  • The Dodgers are -225 favorites vs the Royals
  • Royals vs Dodgers Over / Under today: 8 Runs
  • Royals / Dodgers TV Channel: SNLA | BSKC

The Kansas City Royals (+180) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-225) on Saturday, June 15, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:10pm EDT in Los Angeles, CA.

This season, the Royals are 40-31 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 35-36 ATS.

Royals vs Dodgers Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Royals starting pitcher: Seth Lugo 9-2, 2.35 ERA
  • Dodgers starting pitcher: Yoshinobu Yamamoto 6-2, 2.99 ERA

Royals vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Royals+1.5 -125O 8 -115+180
Dodgers -1.5 +105U 8 -105-225

Royals vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 65.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 22 games (+12.90 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Salvador Perez has hit the RBIs Under in 18 of his last 21 games (+12.70 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Salvador Perez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 21 games (+11.40 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Adam Frazier has hit the Home Runs Over in 1 of his last 4 games (+10.00 Units / 250% ROI)
  • Garrett Hampson has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 12 away games (+9.75 Units / 60% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Mookie Betts has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 23 games at home (+16.20 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Mookie Betts has hit the Runs Under in 25 of his last 41 games (+13.45 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Andy Pages has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+12.85 Units / 92% ROI)
  • Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 8 games (+10.65 Units / 133% ROI)
  • Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+10.50 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 42 of their last 67 games (+13.04 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 24 games (+7.05 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 48 games (+5.70 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.05 Units / 58% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 28 games at home (+9.70 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 43 games (+7.80 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.90 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 23 of their last 36 games at home (+3.35 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 19 games at home (+1.65 Units / 7% ROI)

Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Royals are 43-28 against the Run Line (+9.44 Units / 9.53% ROI).

  • 40-31 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.5 Units / 12.74% ROI
  • 32-36 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.65 Units / -9.91% ROI
  • 36-32 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.8 Units / 1.04% ROI

Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 35-36 against the Run Line (-5.55 Units / -6.6% ROI).

  • 43-28 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.6 Units / -7.16% ROI
  • 34-36 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.5 Units / -7.04% ROI
  • 36-34 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.05 Units / -1.34% ROI

Dodgers vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Shohei Ohtani (LAD) 0.5 +260 0.5 -350
Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) 0.5 +450 0.5 -650
Mookie Betts (LAD) 0.5 +450 0.5 -650
Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) 0.5 +450 0.5 -650
Will Smith (LAD) 0.5 +475 0.5 -700

Dodgers vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Freddie Freeman (LAD) 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Will Smith (LAD) 0.5 -250 0.5 +190
Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
Andy Pages (LAD) 0.5 -190 0.5 +145

Dodgers vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Shohei Ohtani (LAD) 0.5 +120 0.5 -160
Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) 0.5 +135 0.5 -175
Will Smith (LAD) 0.5 +140 0.5 -185
Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
Freddie Freeman (LAD) 0.5 +150 0.5 -200

Dodgers vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Yoshinobu Yamamoto (LAD) 5.5 -155 5.5 +120
Seth Lugo (KC) 4.5 -120 4.5 -110

Opponents are hitting just .174 (8-for-46) against Seth Lugo on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .329 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .467 (7-for-15) against Seth Lugo when going through the lineup the second time in a game over the last 14 days — 2nd highest among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: .233 — third Percentile.

Seth Lugo has allowed an OPS of 1.263 (18 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game over the last 14 days — highest among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: .657 — first Percentile.

Seth Lugo has allowed an OBP of .529 (17 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game over the last 14 days — highest among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: .283 — first Percentile.

Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Yoshinobu Yamamoto has allowed a .440 SLG vs right-handed batters (tied for ninth worst)– 13th Percentile and just .280 vs left-handed batters this season (third best among qualified SPs)– 96th Percentile.

Yoshinobu Yamamoto has allowed an OPS of just .520 (142 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .693 — 94th Percentile.

Left-handed batters are hitting just .189 (25-for-132) against Yoshinobu Yamamoto this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .236 — 92nd Percentile.

Yoshinobu Yamamoto has allowed an OBP of just .239 (142 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .302 — 98th Percentile.

Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers

The Royals are just 18-94 (.161) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .364.

The Royals are just 15-31 (.326) after a road win since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .483.

The Royals are just 23-52 (.307) after a road win since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .487.

The Royals are 16-4 (.800) after a home win this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .519.

Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Royals

The Dodgers are 229-43 (.842) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .718.

The Dodgers are 50-20 (.714) after a road loss since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .462.

The Dodgers are 254-141 (.643) since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Dodgers are 129-23 (.849) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .728.

The Royals have won just 48% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.

Royals hitters have an OBP of just .283 (4,160 PA’s) on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.

Royals hitters have just 8 strikeouts in 89 PA’s (9%) against LHP this month (11 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.

Royals hitters have an OBP of .424 (165 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .318.

Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .805 (1,462 PA’s) with bases empty this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .675.

Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .785 (10,969 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .714.

Dodgers hitters have 234 extra-base hits out of 587 total hits (40%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.

Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .338 (10,969 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .314.

Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% in late innings this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Royals pitchers since the 2022 season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

The Royals have won just 22% of games in which their opponents scored first since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.

The Royals have won just 16% of road games in which their opponents scored first since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.

The Dodgers pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

The Dodgers pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in just 31% of their games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Dodgers pitchers have walked 1,068 of 14,475 batters (7%) since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Dodgers pitchers have allowed a run just 26% of the time after an opposing score since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.

Dodgers vs. Royals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Brusdar Graterol (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Tony Gonsolin (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Diego Cartaya (Los Angeles Dodgers): Back, Day-To-Day
  • Blake Treinen (Los Angeles Dodgers): Chest, 15-Day IL
  • David Peralta (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, Out
  • Emmet Sheehan (Los Angeles Dodgers): Forearm, 60-Day IL
  • Julio Urias (Los Angeles Dodgers): Personal, Out
  • Clayton Kershaw (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Nick Frasso (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, Out
  • Dustin May (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Walker Buehler (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Kyle Wright (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Austin Cox (Kansas City Royals): Knee, Day-To-Day
  • Michael Massey (Kansas City Royals): Back, 10-Day IL
  • Jake Brentz (Kansas City Royals): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
  • Josh Taylor (Kansas City Royals): Biceps, 15-Day IL
  • Carlos Hernandez (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Kris Bubic (Kansas City Royals): Elbow, 60-Day IL

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.