- The Guardians are -125 favorites vs the Royals
- Royals vs Guardians Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Royals / Guardians TV Channel: BSGL | BSKC
The Kansas City Royals (+105) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (-125) on Wednesday, June 5, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Cleveland, OH.
This season, the Royals are 36-26 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 34-26 ATS.
Royals vs Guardians Starting Pitchers Today:
- Royals starting pitcher: Brady Singer 4-2, 2.64 ERA
- Guardians starting pitcher: Nick Sandlin 4-0, 2.70 ERA
Royals vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Royals | +1.5 -190 | O 8.5 +100 | +105 |
| Guardians | -1.5 +155 | U 8.5 -120 | -125 |
Royals vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 54.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:
- MJ Melendez has hit the Hits Under in 27 of his last 38 games (+24.25 Units / 64% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Runs Under in 32 of his last 38 games (+21.65 Units / 33% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 30 of his last 38 games (+21.15 Units / 44% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Singles Under in 38 of his last 48 games (+20.80 Units / 24% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Total Bases Under in 28 of his last 38 games (+18.20 Units / 39% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Home Runs Over in 12 of his last 38 games (+30.20 Units / 79% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the RBIs Over in 27 of his last 45 games (+17.30 Units / 38% ROI)
- Gabriel Arias has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 19 games (+12.15 Units / 46% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Runs Over in 20 of his last 28 games (+11.75 Units / 36% ROI)
- Andres Gimenez has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 18 games (+8.90 Units / 47% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 37 of their last 58 games (+13.04 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.00 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.50 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 39 games (+6.20 Units / 14% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 40 of their last 60 games (+16.62 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 34 of their last 60 games (+12.95 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 36 of their last 60 games (+9.10 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Over in 36 of their last 60 games (+9.00 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 46 games (+8.40 Units / 16% ROI)
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Royals are 38-24 against the Run Line (+9.44 Units / 10.86% ROI).
- 36-26 when betting on the Moneyline for +11 Units / 15.08% ROI
- 27-32 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.2 Units / -12.22% ROI
- 32-27 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.2 Units / 3.27% ROI
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 34-26 against the Run Line (+12.95 Units / 18.11% ROI).
- 40-20 when betting on the Moneyline for +16.62 Units / 21.07% ROI
- 30-26 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.35 Units / 2.03% ROI
- 26-30 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.75 Units / -10.3% ROI
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Brady Singer has walked 38 of 360 batters (11%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — sixth Percentile.
Brady Singer has walked 2 of 99 batters (2%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — tied for 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 98th Percentile.
Brady Singer has thrown low pitches 63% of the time (162/256) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 42% — 97th Percentile.
Brady Singer has thrown his slider 40% of the time (826/2,066) vs left-handed batters since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 16% — 100th Percentile.
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .130 (18-for-138) against Nick Sandlin with runners in scoring position since the 2022 season — best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .240 — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting just .168 (49-for-292) against Nick Sandlin since the 2022 season — 6th best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .230 — 96th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .169 (76-for-449) against Nick Sandlin since the 2022 season — 7th best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .229 — 96th Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 10% (13/131) against Nick Sandlin on breaking pitches since the 2022 season — lowest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Royals are just 15-90 (.143) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .364.
The Royals are just 46-66 (.411) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .568.
The Royals are just 23-51 (.311) after a road win since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .489.
The Royals are just 5-11 (.312) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Guardians are 37-131 (.220) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .134.
The Guardians are 172-6 (.966) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The Guardians are just 10-17 (.370) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Guardians are 30-27 (.526) after a loss as underdogs since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .426.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Royals are batting .333 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .263.
The Royals have won just 51% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.
The Royals won just 46% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 71%.
The Royals have won just 42% of games in which they have scored first on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 63%.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters have just 1,887 strikeouts in 10,350 PA’s (18%) against RHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Guardians hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.
The Guardians have barrels in 4% of PA’s in the 2023 season (222/6,096) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 5%.
Guardians hitters have a swing rate of 64% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 60%.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
The Royals won just 18% of games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 34%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Royals pitchers since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Royals have won just 22% of games in which their opponents scored first since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Royals pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .193 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .256.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Guardians pitchers since last season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Guardians pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Guardians have allowed 0.72 runs per game (43/60) in late innings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.29.
Guardians vs. Royals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Daniel Espino (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, Out
- Gavin Williams (Cleveland Guardians): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Ben Lively (Cleveland Guardians): Illness, 15-Day IL
- Luis Ortiz (Cleveland Guardians): Ankle, 15-Day IL
- Xzavion Curry (Cleveland Guardians): Illness, 15-Day IL
- Joey Cantillo (Cleveland Guardians): Hamstring, Out
- Angel Martinez (Cleveland Guardians): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Sam Hentges (Cleveland Guardians): Finger, 15-Day IL
- Trevor Stephan (Cleveland Guardians): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- George Valera (Cleveland Guardians): Hamstring, Out
- James Karinchak (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Kyle Wright (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Austin Cox (Kansas City Royals): Knee, Day-To-Day
- Michael Massey (Kansas City Royals): Back, 10-Day IL
- Jake Brentz (Kansas City Royals): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Josh Taylor (Kansas City Royals): Biceps, 15-Day IL
- Carlos Hernandez (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Kris Bubic (Kansas City Royals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
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