- The Guardians are -150 favorites vs the Royals
- Royals vs Guardians Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Royals / Guardians TV Channel: BSGL | BSKC | ESPN+ | MLBN
The Kansas City Royals (+130) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (-155) on Thursday, June 6, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10pm EDT in Cleveland, OH.
This season, the Royals are 36-26 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 34-26 ATS.
Royals vs Guardians Starting Pitchers Today:
- Royals starting pitcher: Brady Singer 4-2, 2.64 ERA
- Guardians starting pitcher: Tanner Bibee 4-1, 3.78 ERA
Royals vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Royals | +1.5 -160 | O 7.5 -105 | +130 |
| Guardians | -1.5 +135 | U 7.5 -115 | -155 |
Royals vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 55.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Nelson Velazquez has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 11 games (+14.20 Units / 129% ROI)
- Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the RBIs Over in 21 of his last 39 games (+12.55 Units / 32% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 26 games (+12.35 Units / 26% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 26 games (+12.30 Units / 47% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Singles Under in 21 of his last 26 games (+12.15 Units / 25% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Home Runs Over in 12 of his last 38 games (+30.20 Units / 79% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the RBIs Over in 27 of his last 45 games (+17.30 Units / 38% ROI)
- Gabriel Arias has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 19 games (+12.15 Units / 46% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Runs Over in 20 of his last 28 games (+11.75 Units / 36% ROI)
- Andres Gimenez has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 18 games (+8.90 Units / 47% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 37 of their last 58 games (+13.04 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.00 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.50 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 39 games (+6.20 Units / 14% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 40 of their last 60 games (+16.62 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 34 of their last 60 games (+12.95 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 36 of their last 60 games (+9.10 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Over in 36 of their last 60 games (+9.00 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 46 games (+8.40 Units / 16% ROI)
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Royals are 38-24 against the Run Line (+9.44 Units / 10.86% ROI).
- 36-26 when betting on the Moneyline for +11 Units / 15.08% ROI
- 27-32 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.2 Units / -12.22% ROI
- 32-27 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.2 Units / 3.27% ROI
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 34-26 against the Run Line (+12.95 Units / 18.11% ROI).
- 40-20 when betting on the Moneyline for +16.62 Units / 21.07% ROI
- 30-26 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.35 Units / 2.03% ROI
- 26-30 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.75 Units / -10.3% ROI
Guardians vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -400 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Hunter Renfroe (KC) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
Guardians vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Will Brennan (CLE) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| MJ Melendez (KC) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
| Brayan Rocchio (CLE) | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
| Freddy Fermin (KC) | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
Guardians vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
Guardians vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tanner Bibee (CLE) | 5.5 -110 | 5.5 -120 |
| Brady Singer (KC) | 4.5 +115 | 4.5 -150 |
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Brady Singer has walked 2 of 99 batters (2%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — tied for 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 98th Percentile.
Brady Singer has thrown low pitches 63% of the time (162/256) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 42% — 97th Percentile.
Brady Singer has thrown his slider 40% of the time (826/2,066) vs left-handed batters since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 16% — 100th Percentile.
Brady Singer has walked 38 of 360 batters (11%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — sixth Percentile.
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opposing hitters have a groundball rate of just 11% (3/28) against Tanner Bibee when he’s behind in the count this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 23 total IP; League Avg: 39% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .170 (17-for-100) against Tanner Bibee when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — tied for 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .228 — 93rd Percentile.
Tanner Bibee has not allowed a hit in the first inning in any of his last nine games dating back to April 16th — this is the longest active streak among active MLB players.
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 34% (39/114) against Tanner Bibee this season — 9th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 42% — 16th Percentile.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Royals are just 15-90 (.143) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .365.
The Royals are just 15-30 (.333) after a road win since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .486.
The Royals are just 63-129 (.328) on the road since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .474.
The Royals are just 11-60 (.155) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .308.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Guardians are 37-131 (.220) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .134.
The Guardians are 21-74 (.221) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .145.
The Guardians are 25-138 (.153) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .096.
The Guardians are 12-149 (.075) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .050.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .283 (4,085 PA’s) on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
The Royals have won just 51% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.
The Royals are batting .333 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .265.
Royals hitters have an OBP of .393 (276 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .330.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters have just 1,887 strikeouts in 10,350 PA’s (18%) against RHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Guardians hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.
The Guardians are batting just .259 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .330.
Guardians hitters have missed on just 22% of swings since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
The Royals won just 17% of home games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Royals pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 41% with two-strikes since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Guardians pitchers since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Guardians have allowed 0.72 runs per game (43/60) in late innings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.29.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .193 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .256.
Guardians vs. Royals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Daniel Espino (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, Out
- Gavin Williams (Cleveland Guardians): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Ben Lively (Cleveland Guardians): Illness, 15-Day IL
- Luis Ortiz (Cleveland Guardians): Ankle, 15-Day IL
- Xzavion Curry (Cleveland Guardians): Illness, 15-Day IL
- Joey Cantillo (Cleveland Guardians): Hamstring, Out
- Angel Martinez (Cleveland Guardians): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Sam Hentges (Cleveland Guardians): Finger, 15-Day IL
- Trevor Stephan (Cleveland Guardians): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- George Valera (Cleveland Guardians): Hamstring, Out
- James Karinchak (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Kyle Wright (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Austin Cox (Kansas City Royals): Knee, Day-To-Day
- Michael Massey (Kansas City Royals): Back, 10-Day IL
- Jake Brentz (Kansas City Royals): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Josh Taylor (Kansas City Royals): Biceps, 15-Day IL
- Carlos Hernandez (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Kris Bubic (Kansas City Royals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
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