- The Mariners are -150 favorites vs the Royals
- Royals vs Mariners Over / Under today: 7 Runs
- Royals / Mariners TV Channel: RTNW | BSKC
The Kansas City Royals (+125) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-150) on Monday, May 13, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Seattle, WA.
This season, the Royals are 25-17 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 20-21 ATS.
Royals vs Mariners Starting Pitchers Today:
- Royals starting pitcher: Brady Singer 3-1, 2.38 ERA
- Mariners starting pitcher: George Kirby 3-3, 3.71 ERA
Royals vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Royals | +1.5 -175 | O 7 -110 | +125 |
| Mariners | -1.5 +145 | U 7 -110 | -150 |
Royals vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Monday‘s MLB game with 55.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:
- MJ Melendez has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 23 games (+17.95 Units / 49% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 23 games (+17.40 Units / 76% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the RBIs Under in his last 16 games (+16.00 Units / 41% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 23 games (+14.50 Units / 50% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 23 games (+13.35 Units / 46% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jorge Polanco has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 28 of his last 39 games (+14.80 Units / 30% ROI)
- Jorge Polanco has hit the Runs Under in 29 of his last 39 games (+14.35 Units / 24% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Total Bases Under in 28 of his last 39 games (+14.00 Units / 26% ROI)
- Josh Rojas has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 18 games (+11.55 Units / 33% ROI)
- Mitch Garver has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 9 games at home (+11.30 Units / 126% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 17 games (+13.10 Units / 77% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 59 games (+9.10 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.49 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 17 games (+5.00 Units / 22% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 33 of their last 61 games (+11.71 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 33 of their last 52 games (+11.13 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 50 of their last 82 games (+8.75 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 50 of their last 86 games (+7.14 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 11 games at home (+7.10 Units / 60% ROI)
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Royals are 26-16 against the Run Line (+8.04 Units / 13.9% ROI).
- 25-17 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.05 Units / 18.56% ROI
- 15-24 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.5 Units / -25.36% ROI
- 24-15 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.55 Units / 16.8% ROI
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 20-21 against the Run Line (-3.7 Units / -6.7% ROI).
- 22-19 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.5 Units / -2.95% ROI
- 13-26 when betting on the total runs Over for -15.3 Units / -35.17% ROI
- 26-13 when betting on the total runs Under for +11.3 Units / 25.31% ROI
Mariners vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| MJ Melendez (KC) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
Mariners vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Maikel Garcia (KC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Josh Rojas (SEA) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Mitch Haniger (SEA) | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
Mariners vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
Mariners vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brady Singer (KC) | 6.5 +105 | 6.5 -140 |
| George Kirby (SEA) | 5.5 +115 | 5.5 -155 |
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Brady Singer has walked 11 of 72 batters (15%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — fourth Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 64% (45/70) against Brady Singer in non-two strike counts this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 42% — 100th Percentile.
Opposing hitters have a groundball rate of 69% (18/26) against Brady Singer when he’s behind in the count this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 40% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .188 (31-for-165) against Brady Singer this season — 10th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .234 — 90th Percentile.
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
George Kirby has walked 18 of 565 batters (3%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
George Kirby has allowed an OBP of just .244 (348 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .297 — 97th Percentile.
George Kirby has walked 9 of 349 batters (3%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
George Kirby has walked 1 of 83 right-handed batters (1%) this season — tied for 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 98th Percentile.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Royals are just 14-88 (.137) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .364.
The Royals are just 3-11 (.214) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Royals are just 10-47 (.175) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .384.
The Royals are just 20-14 (.588) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .790.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Mariners are 157-6 (.963) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .906.
The Mariners are 92-15 (.860) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .733.
The Mariners are 48-6 (.889) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .796.
The Mariners are 34-36 (.486) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .414.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
team hitters – away
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
team hitters – home
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
team pitchers – away
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
team pitchers – home
Mariners vs. Royals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jackson Kowar (Seattle Mariners): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Mitch Garver (Seattle Mariners): Back, Day-To-Day
- Sam Haggerty (Seattle Mariners): Undisclosed, 10-Day IL
- Gregory Santos (Seattle Mariners): Lat, 15-Day IL
- Eduard Bazardo (Seattle Mariners): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Bryan Woo (Seattle Mariners): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Matt Brash (Seattle Mariners): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Kyle Wright (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Austin Cox (Kansas City Royals): Knee, Day-To-Day
- Michael Massey (Kansas City Royals): Back, 10-Day IL
- Jake Brentz (Kansas City Royals): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Josh Taylor (Kansas City Royals): Biceps, 15-Day IL
- Carlos Hernandez (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Kris Bubic (Kansas City Royals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
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