- The Royals are -115 favorites vs the Rays
- Royals vs Rays Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Royals / Rays TV Channel: BSKC | BSUN
The Kansas City Royals (-115) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-105) on Friday, May 24, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:50pm EDT in St. Petersburg, FL.
This season, the Royals are 32-19 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 23-28 ATS.
Royals vs Rays Starting Pitchers Today:
- Royals starting pitcher: Seth Lugo 7-1, 1.77 ERA
- Rays starting pitcher: Shawn Armstrong 1-1, 4.03 ERA
Royals vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Royals | -1.5 +150 | O 8 -110 | -115 |
| Rays | +1.5 -185 | U 8 -110 | -105 |
Royals vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Royals will win Friday‘s MLB game with 52.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:
- MJ Melendez has hit the Runs Under in 26 of his last 30 games (+19.70 Units / 39% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Hits Under in 21 of his last 30 games (+18.75 Units / 62% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 24 of his last 30 games (+17.45 Units / 47% ROI)
- Michael Massey has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 19 games (+16.20 Units / 85% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Singles Under in 31 of his last 40 games (+16.15 Units / 23% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Randy Arozarena has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 12 games at home (+17.00 Units / 142% ROI)
- Yandy Diaz has hit the Runs Under in 32 of his last 47 games (+14.00 Units / 24% ROI)
- Randy Arozarena has hit the Singles Under in 22 of his last 28 games (+13.10 Units / 32% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 26 games (+10.65 Units / 27% ROI)
- Brandon Lowe has hit the Hits Under in his last 8 games (+10.35 Units / 100% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 32 of their last 47 games (+16.04 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 28 games (+9.65 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in their last 5 games (+5.15 Units / 84% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 30 games (+3.80 Units / 11% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 34 of their last 48 games (+19.95 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 19 games (+5.30 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games (+4.50 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 24 of their last 42 games (+4.10 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 19 games (+1.05 Units / 4% ROI)
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Royals are 33-18 against the Run Line (+12.44 Units / 17.66% ROI).
- 32-19 when betting on the Moneyline for +14.45 Units / 23.77% ROI
- 20-28 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.7 Units / -19.45% ROI
- 28-20 when betting on the total runs Under for +6 Units / 10.89% ROI
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rays are 23-28 against the Run Line (-5.25 Units / -8% ROI).
- 25-26 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.5 Units / -14.2% ROI
- 26-25 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.3 Units / -2.33% ROI
- 25-26 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.7 Units / -6.56% ROI
Rays vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Nelson Velazquez (KC) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Brandon Lowe (TB) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
Rays vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Randy Arozarena (TB) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Freddy Fermin (KC) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
| Jonny DeLuca (TB) | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +135 |
Rays vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -225 |
| Isaac Paredes (TB) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Randy Arozarena (TB) | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
Rays vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Seth Lugo (KC) | 5.5 -140 | 5.5 +110 |
| Shawn Armstrong (TB) | 1.5 +115 | 1.5 -155 |
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Seth Lugo has a strikeout rate of 50% (9 SO in 18 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game over the last 14 days — best among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 20% — 100th Percentile.
Seth Lugo has a strikeout rate of 36% (13 SO in 36 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this month (4 games) — tied for 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 21% — 97th Percentile.
Seth Lugo has a strikeout rate of 36% (13 SO in 36 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this month (4 games) — tied for 2nd best among among AL Starters; League Avg: 21% — 97th Percentile.
Seth Lugo has an average spin rate of 3215.1 RPM on curveballs since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 83 total IP; League Avg: 2520.8 — 100th Percentile.
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Shawn Armstrong has allowed an OPS of just .463 (51 PA’s) when he’s behind in the count since last season — best among AL Relievers; League Avg: 1.042 — 100th Percentile.
Shawn Armstrong has a strike rate of 69% (1,445/2,084) since the 2022 season — 2nd highest among AL Relievers; League Avg: 65% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .136 (6-for-44) against Shawn Armstrong when he’s behind in the count since last season — best among AL Relievers; League Avg: .325 — 100th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 30% (27/90) against Shawn Armstrong since last season — 5th lowest among AL Relievers; League Avg: 44% — sixth Percentile.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Royals are just 14-88 (.137) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .364.
The Royals are just 3-11 (.214) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Royals are just 21-48 (.304) after a road win since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .489.
The Royals are just 24-14 (.632) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .791.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Rays are just 16-33 (.327) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .415.
The Rays are 19-9 (.679) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rays are 43-19 (.694) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2023 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .560.
The Rays are 75-38 (.664) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .577.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Royals have won just 51% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .280 (3,772 PA’s) on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Royals hitters are slugging .521 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .422.
Royals hitters have an OBP of .398 (222 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .331.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rays scored first in 71% of their games against division opponents in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Rays are batting .266 against LHP since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .252.
Rays hitters have 164 strikeouts in 503 PA’s (33%) in lefty-lefty matchups since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Rays hitters have put just 31% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
The Royals won just 18% of games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 34%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 41% with two-strikes since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Royals pitchers have won only 13% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Royals pitchers since the 2022 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
The Rays pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Rays pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in just 29% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 37% against Rays pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rays pitchers have walked 134 of 1,905 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays vs. Royals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Taylor Walls (Tampa Bay Rays): Hip, 10-Day IL
- Jonny DeLuca (Tampa Bay Rays): Hand, 10-Day IL
- Jeffrey Springs (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Shane Baz (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Jonathan Aranda (Tampa Bay Rays): Finger, 10-Day IL
- Taj Bradley (Tampa Bay Rays): Pectoral, 15-Day IL
- Josh Lowe (Tampa Bay Rays): Oblique, 10-Day IL
- Junior Caminero (Tampa Bay Rays): Quadriceps, Day-To-Day
- Garrett Acton (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, Out
- Drew Rasmussen (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Shane McClanahan (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Wander Franco (Tampa Bay Rays): Personal, Suspension
- Kyle Wright (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Austin Cox (Kansas City Royals): Knee, Day-To-Day
- Michael Massey (Kansas City Royals): Back, 10-Day IL
- Jake Brentz (Kansas City Royals): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Josh Taylor (Kansas City Royals): Biceps, 15-Day IL
- Carlos Hernandez (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Kris Bubic (Kansas City Royals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
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