Royals vs Rays Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 26

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Tampa Bay Rays' Brandon Lowe runs the bases while scoring from first base on a two-run triple by Randy Arozarena off Baltimore Orioles starting pitcher Kyle Bradish in the third inning of a baseball game, Thursday, Sept. 14, 2023, in Baltimore. Rays' Yandy Diaz also scored on the triple.
(AP Photo/Julio Cortez)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM May 26, 2024, 11:01 AM
  • The Royals are -110 favorites vs the Rays
  • Royals vs Rays Over / Under today: 8 Runs
  • Royals / Rays TV Channel: ESPN+ | BSKC | BSUN

The Kansas City Royals () visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays () on Sunday, May 26, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40pm EDT in St. Petersburg, FL.

This season, the Royals are 34-19 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 23-30 ATS.

Royals vs Rays Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Royals starting pitcher: Michael Wacha 4-4, 4.45 ERA
  • Rays starting pitcher: Taj Bradley 1-2, 4.00 ERA

Royals vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Royals O
Rays U

Royals vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Royals will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Michael Massey has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 20 games (+22.20 Units / 111% ROI)
  • MJ Melendez has hit the Runs Under in 27 of his last 31 games (+20.70 Units / 40% ROI)
  • MJ Melendez has hit the Hits Under in 22 of his last 31 games (+19.95 Units / 64% ROI)
  • MJ Melendez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 25 of his last 31 games (+18.45 Units / 47% ROI)
  • MJ Melendez has hit the Singles Under in 32 of his last 41 games (+17.15 Units / 24% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Randy Arozarena has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 13 games at home (+16.00 Units / 123% ROI)
  • Yandy Diaz has hit the Runs Under in 33 of his last 48 games (+15.00 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Randy Arozarena has hit the Singles Under in 23 of his last 29 games (+14.10 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Brandon Lowe has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+10.90 Units / 88% ROI)
  • Isaac Paredes has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 28 games (+9.70 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 34 of their last 49 games (+18.39 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 30 games (+11.65 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Over in their last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 93% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 35 of their last 50 games (+19.95 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 23 games at home (+6.30 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 25 of their last 44 games (+4.00 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 21 games (+2.75 Units / 9% ROI)

Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Royals are 35-18 against the Run Line (+14.79 Units / 20.11% ROI).

  • 34-19 when betting on the Moneyline for +16.45 Units / 26.07% ROI
  • 22-28 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.7 Units / -15.24% ROI
  • 28-22 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.7 Units / 6.45% ROI

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rays are 23-30 against the Run Line (-7.8 Units / -11.44% ROI).

  • 25-28 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.6 Units / -16.81% ROI
  • 28-25 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.7 Units / 1.21% ROI
  • 25-28 when betting on the total runs Under for -6 Units / -10.22% ROI

Rays vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Salvador Perez (KC) 0.5 +350 0.5 -450
Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) 0.5 +425 0.5 -600
MJ Melendez (KC) 0.5 +450 0.5 -650
Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) 0.5 +450 0.5 -650
Brandon Lowe (TB) 0.5 +475 0.5 -700

Rays vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jonny DeLuca (TB) 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Salvador Perez (KC) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
Brandon Lowe (TB) 0.5 -200 0.5 +155
Randy Arozarena (TB) 0.5 -190 0.5 +145

Rays vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Salvador Perez (KC) 0.5 +130 0.5 -175
Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) 0.5 +145 0.5 -190
Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
Isaac Paredes (TB) 0.5 +160 0.5 -210
Jonny DeLuca (TB) 0.5 +185 0.5 -250

Rays vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brady Singer (KC) 4.5 -160 4.5 +125
Aaron Civale (TB) 4.5 -145 4.5 +110

Michael Wacha has thrown his changeup 51% of the time (127/247) with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 18% — 100th Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 27% (22/82) against Michael Wacha this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — first Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 18% (38/208) against Michael Wacha this season — tied for 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — seventh Percentile.

Michael Wacha has thrown his changeup 51% of the time (127/247) with two-strikes this season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 19% — 100th Percentile.

Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Taj Bradley has allowed an OPS of 1.676 (18 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .648 — first Percentile.

Taj Bradley has allowed a slugging percentage of 1.176 (20 Total Bases / 17 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game over the last 14 days — highest among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: .373 — second Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .471 (8-for-17) against Taj Bradley when going through the lineup the second time in a game — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .230 — first Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .471 (8-for-17) against Taj Bradley when going through the lineup the second time in a game over the last 14 days — highest among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: .231 — second Percentile.

Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Rays

The Royals are just 15-88 (.146) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .364.

The Royals are just 11-47 (.190) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .384.

The Royals are just 4-11 (.267) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Royals are just 40-18 (.690) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .795.

Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Royals

The Rays are just 16-33 (.327) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .416.

The Rays are 44-14 (.759) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .573.

The Rays are 9-78 (.103) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .054.

The Rays are just 9-19 (.321) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .428.

The Royals have won just 52% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.

Royals hitters have an OBP of just .283 (3,862 PA’s) on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.

Royals hitters have an OBP of .401 (233 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .331.

Royals hitters are slugging .316 with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .259.

The Rays scored first in 64% of their games in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Rays hitters have a groundball batting average of .269 since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .243.

Rays hitters are slugging just .348 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .425.

Rays hitters have put just 32% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.

The Royals won just 18% of games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 34%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .206 against Royals pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .243.

The Royals won just 17% of home games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 21% since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 37% against Rays pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

The Rays pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Rays pitchers have walked 213 of 3,368 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

The Rays pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 40% of their games since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Rays vs. Royals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Taylor Walls (Tampa Bay Rays): Hip, 10-Day IL
  • Jonny DeLuca (Tampa Bay Rays): Hand, 10-Day IL
  • Jeffrey Springs (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Shane Baz (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Jonathan Aranda (Tampa Bay Rays): Finger, 10-Day IL
  • Taj Bradley (Tampa Bay Rays): Pectoral, 15-Day IL
  • Josh Lowe (Tampa Bay Rays): Oblique, 10-Day IL
  • Junior Caminero (Tampa Bay Rays): Quadriceps, Day-To-Day
  • Garrett Acton (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, Out
  • Drew Rasmussen (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Shane McClanahan (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Wander Franco (Tampa Bay Rays): Personal, Suspension
  • Kyle Wright (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Austin Cox (Kansas City Royals): Knee, Day-To-Day
  • Michael Massey (Kansas City Royals): Back, 10-Day IL
  • Jake Brentz (Kansas City Royals): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
  • Josh Taylor (Kansas City Royals): Biceps, 15-Day IL
  • Carlos Hernandez (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Kris Bubic (Kansas City Royals): Elbow, 60-Day IL

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.