- The Royals are -110 favorites vs the Rays
- Royals vs Rays Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Royals / Rays TV Channel: ESPN+ | BSKC | BSUN
The Kansas City Royals () visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays () on Sunday, May 26, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40pm EDT in St. Petersburg, FL.
This season, the Royals are 34-19 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 23-30 ATS.
Royals vs Rays Starting Pitchers Today:
- Royals starting pitcher: Michael Wacha 4-4, 4.45 ERA
- Rays starting pitcher: Taj Bradley 1-2, 4.00 ERA
Royals vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Royals | O | ||
Rays | U |
Royals vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Royals will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Michael Massey has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 20 games (+22.20 Units / 111% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Runs Under in 27 of his last 31 games (+20.70 Units / 40% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Hits Under in 22 of his last 31 games (+19.95 Units / 64% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 25 of his last 31 games (+18.45 Units / 47% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Singles Under in 32 of his last 41 games (+17.15 Units / 24% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Randy Arozarena has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 13 games at home (+16.00 Units / 123% ROI)
- Yandy Diaz has hit the Runs Under in 33 of his last 48 games (+15.00 Units / 25% ROI)
- Randy Arozarena has hit the Singles Under in 23 of his last 29 games (+14.10 Units / 33% ROI)
- Brandon Lowe has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+10.90 Units / 88% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 28 games (+9.70 Units / 23% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 34 of their last 49 games (+18.39 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 30 games (+11.65 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Over in their last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 93% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 35 of their last 50 games (+19.95 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 23 games at home (+6.30 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 25 of their last 44 games (+4.00 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 21 games (+2.75 Units / 9% ROI)
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Royals are 35-18 against the Run Line (+14.79 Units / 20.11% ROI).
- 34-19 when betting on the Moneyline for +16.45 Units / 26.07% ROI
- 22-28 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.7 Units / -15.24% ROI
- 28-22 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.7 Units / 6.45% ROI
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rays are 23-30 against the Run Line (-7.8 Units / -11.44% ROI).
- 25-28 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.6 Units / -16.81% ROI
- 28-25 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.7 Units / 1.21% ROI
- 25-28 when betting on the total runs Under for -6 Units / -10.22% ROI
Rays vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
MJ Melendez (KC) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
Brandon Lowe (TB) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
Rays vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Jonny DeLuca (TB) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Brandon Lowe (TB) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
Randy Arozarena (TB) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
Rays vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
Isaac Paredes (TB) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Jonny DeLuca (TB) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Rays vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Brady Singer (KC) | 4.5 -160 | 4.5 +125 |
Aaron Civale (TB) | 4.5 -145 | 4.5 +110 |
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Michael Wacha has thrown his changeup 51% of the time (127/247) with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 18% — 100th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 27% (22/82) against Michael Wacha this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — first Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 18% (38/208) against Michael Wacha this season — tied for 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — seventh Percentile.
Michael Wacha has thrown his changeup 51% of the time (127/247) with two-strikes this season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 19% — 100th Percentile.
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Taj Bradley has allowed an OPS of 1.676 (18 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .648 — first Percentile.
Taj Bradley has allowed a slugging percentage of 1.176 (20 Total Bases / 17 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game over the last 14 days — highest among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: .373 — second Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .471 (8-for-17) against Taj Bradley when going through the lineup the second time in a game — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .230 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .471 (8-for-17) against Taj Bradley when going through the lineup the second time in a game over the last 14 days — highest among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: .231 — second Percentile.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Royals are just 15-88 (.146) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .364.
The Royals are just 11-47 (.190) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .384.
The Royals are just 4-11 (.267) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Royals are just 40-18 (.690) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .795.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Rays are just 16-33 (.327) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .416.
The Rays are 44-14 (.759) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .573.
The Rays are 9-78 (.103) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .054.
The Rays are just 9-19 (.321) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .428.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Royals have won just 52% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .283 (3,862 PA’s) on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Royals hitters have an OBP of .401 (233 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .331.
Royals hitters are slugging .316 with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .259.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rays scored first in 64% of their games in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays hitters have a groundball batting average of .269 since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .243.
Rays hitters are slugging just .348 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .425.
Rays hitters have put just 32% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
The Royals won just 18% of games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 34%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .206 against Royals pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .243.
The Royals won just 17% of home games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 21% since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 37% against Rays pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Rays pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays pitchers have walked 213 of 3,368 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Rays pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 40% of their games since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays vs. Royals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Taylor Walls (Tampa Bay Rays): Hip, 10-Day IL
- Jonny DeLuca (Tampa Bay Rays): Hand, 10-Day IL
- Jeffrey Springs (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Shane Baz (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Jonathan Aranda (Tampa Bay Rays): Finger, 10-Day IL
- Taj Bradley (Tampa Bay Rays): Pectoral, 15-Day IL
- Josh Lowe (Tampa Bay Rays): Oblique, 10-Day IL
- Junior Caminero (Tampa Bay Rays): Quadriceps, Day-To-Day
- Garrett Acton (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, Out
- Drew Rasmussen (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Shane McClanahan (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Wander Franco (Tampa Bay Rays): Personal, Suspension
- Kyle Wright (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Austin Cox (Kansas City Royals): Knee, Day-To-Day
- Michael Massey (Kansas City Royals): Back, 10-Day IL
- Jake Brentz (Kansas City Royals): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Josh Taylor (Kansas City Royals): Biceps, 15-Day IL
- Carlos Hernandez (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Kris Bubic (Kansas City Royals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
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