- The Twins are -135 favorites vs the Royals
- Royals vs Twins Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Royals / Twins TV Channel: BSNO | BSKC
The Kansas City Royals (+110) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (-130) on Wednesday, May 29, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Minneapolis, MN.
This season, the Royals are 34-22 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 26-28 ATS.
Royals vs Twins Starting Pitchers Today:
- Royals starting pitcher: Seth Lugo 8-1, 1.73 ERA
- Twins starting pitcher: Bailey Ober 5-2, 4.33 ERA
Royals vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Royals | +1.5 -200 | O 7.5 -120 | +110 |
| Twins | -1.5 +165 | U 7.5 +100 | -130 |
Royals vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:
- MJ Melendez has hit the Hits Under in 23 of his last 33 games (+20.00 Units / 60% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Runs Under in 28 of his last 33 games (+19.25 Units / 34% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 26 of his last 33 games (+18.45 Units / 44% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Singles Under in 33 of his last 43 games (+15.80 Units / 20% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 19 away games (+14.70 Units / 69% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Max Kepler has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 24 games (+16.25 Units / 33% ROI)
- Alex Kirilloff has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 24 games (+12.60 Units / 39% ROI)
- Alex Kirilloff has hit the Singles Under in 24 of his last 34 games (+11.90 Units / 28% ROI)
- Jose Miranda has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 games (+11.30 Units / 126% ROI)
- Christian Vazquez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 23 games (+9.60 Units / 30% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 35 of their last 52 games (+16.39 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 33 games (+8.30 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.70 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.75 Units / 48% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 34 games (+8.60 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 17 of their last 26 games (+6.84 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games (+5.65 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 37 games (+4.40 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 32 games (+2.85 Units / 7% ROI)
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Royals are 36-20 against the Run Line (+12.79 Units / 16.39% ROI).
- 34-22 when betting on the Moneyline for +13.1 Units / 19.71% ROI
- 23-30 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.95 Units / -16.46% ROI
- 30-23 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.6 Units / 7.58% ROI
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Twins are 26-28 against the Run Line (-3.75 Units / -5.35% ROI).
- 30-24 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.35 Units / -0.48% ROI
- 24-26 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.65 Units / -7.94% ROI
- 26-24 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.4 Units / -0.69% ROI
Twins vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -400 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Nelson Velazquez (KC) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Hunter Renfroe (KC) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
Twins vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Carlos Correa (MIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Max Kepler (MIN) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Ryan Jeffers (MIN) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Freddy Fermin (KC) | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
Twins vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Ryan Jeffers (MIN) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Nelson Velazquez (KC) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Twins vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Seth Lugo (KC) | 5.5 -120 | 5.5 -110 |
| Bailey Ober (MIN) | 5.5 +110 | 5.5 -145 |
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
6 of Seth Lugo’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor this season — tied for 5th most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan — 94th Percentile.
Left-handed batters are hitting just .198 (25-for-126) against Seth Lugo this season — tied for 9th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .235 — 86th Percentile.
Seth Lugo has allowed an OBP of just .156 (45 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this month (5 games) — tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .284 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 25% (6/24) against Seth Lugo on low fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 51% — 100th Percentile.
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 27% (15/56) against Bailey Ober in two-strike counts this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 20 total IP; League Avg: 45% — second Percentile.
Bailey Ober has allowed an OPS of just .521 (175 PA’s) when going through the lineup the third time in a game since the 2022 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 150 total IP; League Avg: .754 — 100th Percentile.
Bailey Ober has thrown fastballs up 76% of the time (1,378/1,813) since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 150 total IP; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.
Bailey Ober has allowed an OBP of just .234 (175 PA’s) when going through the lineup the third time in a game since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 150 total IP; League Avg: .321 — 99th Percentile.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Royals are just 4-11 (.267) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Royals are just 15-89 (.144) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .364.
The Royals are just 23-49 (.319) after a road win since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .489.
The Royals are just 14-16 (.467) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .584.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Twins are 22-69 (.242) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .145.
The Twins are 45-15 (.750) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .617.
The Twins are just 17-30 (.362) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Twins are 16-81 (.165) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .104.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Royals have won just 48% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 71%.
The Royals are batting .318 against LHP this month (20 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .242.
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .282 (3,971 PA’s) on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
The Royals won just 46% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 71%.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
The Twins are batting just .152 with two-strikes since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .171.
Twins hitters are slugging .438 against LHP this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .386.
Twins hitters have drawn 28 walks in 500 PA’s (6%) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Twins hitters have 125 extra-base hits out of 293 total hits (43%) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 34%.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Royals pitchers since the 2022 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Royals pitchers this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 21% since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Royals won just 18% of games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 34%.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Twins pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Twins pitchers have walked 132 of 2,005 batters (7%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Twins pitchers have walked 1,043 of 14,075 batters (7%) since the 2022 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Twins vs. Royals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Zack Weiss (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Jhoan Duran (Minnesota Twins): Oblique, 15-Day IL
- Anthony DeSclafani (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Matt Canterino (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 7-Day IL
- Trevor Larnach (Minnesota Twins): Toe, 7-Day IL
- Royce Lewis (Minnesota Twins): Quadriceps, 10-Day IL
- Max Kepler (Minnesota Twins): Leg, Day-To-Day
- Jovani Moran (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Josh Staumont (Minnesota Twins): Calf, 15-Day IL
- Caleb Thielbar (Minnesota Twins): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Justin Topa (Minnesota Twins): Kneecap, 15-Day IL
- Jose De Leon (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, Out
- Josh Winder (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Kyle Wright (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Austin Cox (Kansas City Royals): Knee, Day-To-Day
- Michael Massey (Kansas City Royals): Back, 10-Day IL
- Jake Brentz (Kansas City Royals): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Josh Taylor (Kansas City Royals): Biceps, 15-Day IL
- Carlos Hernandez (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Kris Bubic (Kansas City Royals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
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