- The Twins are -125 favorites vs the Royals
- Royals vs Twins Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Royals / Twins TV Channel: BSNO | BSKC
The Kansas City Royals () visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins () on Thursday, May 30, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10pm EDT in Minneapolis, MN.
This season, the Royals are 35-22 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 26-29 ATS.
Royals vs Twins Starting Pitchers Today:
- Royals starting pitcher: Brady Singer 4-2, 2.64 ERA
- Twins starting pitcher: Chris Paddack 4-2, 4.40 ERA
Royals vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Royals | O | ||
| Twins | U |
Royals vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Royals will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:
- MJ Melendez has hit the Hits Under in 24 of his last 34 games (+21.10 Units / 62% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Runs Under in 29 of his last 34 games (+20.25 Units / 35% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 27 of his last 34 games (+19.45 Units / 45% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Singles Under in 34 of his last 44 games (+16.80 Units / 21% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Total Bases Under in 25 of his last 34 games (+15.70 Units / 38% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Max Kepler has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games (+17.25 Units / 34% ROI)
- Alex Kirilloff has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+11.60 Units / 35% ROI)
- Alex Kirilloff has hit the Singles Under in 24 of his last 35 games (+10.55 Units / 24% ROI)
- Jose Miranda has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games (+10.30 Units / 103% ROI)
- Alex Kirilloff has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 22 of his last 32 games (+10.30 Units / 27% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 36 of their last 53 games (+17.39 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 34 games (+9.40 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.70 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.65 Units / 33% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 18 of their last 27 games (+7.94 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 35 games (+7.30 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 16 games (+6.65 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games (+4.05 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 33 games (+1.85 Units / 4% ROI)
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Royals are 37-20 against the Run Line (+13.79 Units / 17.24% ROI).
- 35-22 when betting on the Moneyline for +14.2 Units / 21.05% ROI
- 23-31 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.05 Units / -17.95% ROI
- 31-23 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.6 Units / 9.07% ROI
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Twins are 26-29 against the Run Line (-4.75 Units / -6.68% ROI).
- 30-25 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.65 Units / -2.24% ROI
- 24-27 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.75 Units / -9.63% ROI
- 27-24 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.6 Units / 1.01% ROI
Twins vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -400 |
| MJ Melendez (KC) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Trevor Larnach (MIN) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Max Kepler (MIN) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
Twins vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Kepler (MIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Ryan Jeffers (MIN) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Alex Kirilloff (MIN) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Trevor Larnach (MIN) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
| Nick Loftin (KC) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Twins vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| Max Kepler (MIN) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| MJ Melendez (KC) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Twins vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brady Singer (KC) | 5.5 -125 | 5.5 -105 |
| Chris Paddack (MIN) | 4.5 -105 | 4.5 -125 |
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Brady Singer has walked 38 of 360 batters (11%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — sixth Percentile.
Brady Singer has thrown his slider 40% of the time (826/2,066) vs left-handed batters since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 16% — 100th Percentile.
Brady Singer has thrown low pitches 63% of the time (162/256) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 42% — 98th Percentile.
Brady Singer has thrown low pitches 63% of the time (162/256) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 42% — 97th Percentile.
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Chris Paddack has allowed a slugging percentage of .551 (38 Total Bases / 69 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .297 — first Percentile.
Chris Paddack has a strikeout rate of just 14% (11 SO in 76 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — first Percentile.
Chris Paddack has allowed a slugging percentage of .609 (53 Total Bases / 87 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .367 — third Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .322 (28-for-87) against Chris Paddack when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .227 — sixth Percentile.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Royals are just 15-89 (.144) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .363.
The Royals are just 4-11 (.267) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Royals are just 23-49 (.319) after a road win since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .489.
The Royals are just 15-28 (.349) after a road win since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .486.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Twins are 22-70 (.239) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .144.
The Twins are just 17-30 (.362) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Twins are 96-1 (.990) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .947.
The Twins are 16-82 (.163) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .104.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Royals are batting .314 against LHP this month (21 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .243.
The Royals are batting .324 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .262.
The Royals won only 28% of their road games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
The Royals have won just 52% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
The Twins are batting just .152 with two-strikes since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .171.
Twins hitters have drawn 28 walks in 508 PA’s (6%) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Twins hitters have an OBP of just .287 (251 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .328.
The Twins are batting just .287 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .330.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
The Royals won just 18% of games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 34%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Royals pitchers since the 2022 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 21% since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Royals have won just 22% of games in which their opponents scored first since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Twins pitchers have walked 133 of 2,042 batters (7%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Twins pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Twins pitchers have walked 576 of 8,070 batters (7%) since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Twins vs. Royals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Zack Weiss (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Jhoan Duran (Minnesota Twins): Oblique, 15-Day IL
- Anthony DeSclafani (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Matt Canterino (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 7-Day IL
- Trevor Larnach (Minnesota Twins): Toe, 7-Day IL
- Royce Lewis (Minnesota Twins): Quadriceps, 10-Day IL
- Max Kepler (Minnesota Twins): Leg, Day-To-Day
- Jovani Moran (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Josh Staumont (Minnesota Twins): Calf, 15-Day IL
- Caleb Thielbar (Minnesota Twins): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Justin Topa (Minnesota Twins): Kneecap, 15-Day IL
- Jose De Leon (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, Out
- Josh Winder (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Kyle Wright (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Austin Cox (Kansas City Royals): Knee, Day-To-Day
- Michael Massey (Kansas City Royals): Back, 10-Day IL
- Jake Brentz (Kansas City Royals): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Josh Taylor (Kansas City Royals): Biceps, 15-Day IL
- Carlos Hernandez (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Kris Bubic (Kansas City Royals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
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