Tigers vs Angels Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 28

Los Angeles Angels third baseman Anthony Rendon throws the ball into the crowd in the first inning of a baseball game against the Texas Rangers, Tuesday, June 13, 2023, in Arlington, Texas.
AP Photo/Gareth Patterson
  • The Tigers are -120 favorites vs the Angels
  • Tigers vs Angels Over / Under today: 9 Runs
  • Tigers / Angels TV Channel: BSDT | BSW

The Detroit Tigers (-120) visit Angel Stadium of Anaheim to take on the Los Angeles Angels (+100) on Friday, June 28, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:38pm EDT in Anaheim, CA.

This season, the Tigers are 37-44 against the spread (ATS), while the Angels are 46-34 ATS.

Tigers vs Angels Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Tigers starting pitcher: Kenta Maeda 2-4, 6.08 ERA
  • Angels starting pitcher: Zach Plesac 1-1, 8.69 ERA

Tigers vs. Angels Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Tigers-1.5 +135O 9 -105-120
Angels +1.5 -165U 9 -115+100

Tigers vs Angels Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Friday‘s MLB game with 54.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Matt Vierling has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 26 games (+22.00 Units / 85% ROI)
  • Matt Vierling has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 19 games (+14.45 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Riley Greene has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+13.15 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Gio Urshela has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 18 games (+12.60 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Matt Vierling has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 19 games (+11.95 Units / 56% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Angels Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Nolan Schanuel has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 29 games (+20.50 Units / 71% ROI)
  • Taylor Ward has hit the Singles Under in 24 of his last 30 games (+16.05 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Luis Rengifo has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 23 games at home (+13.50 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Taylor Ward has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 22 of his last 30 games (+12.50 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Taylor Ward has hit the Walks Over in 18 of his last 31 games (+11.75 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 17 away games (+12.05 Units / 65% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 17 away games (+11.10 Units / 55% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.85 Units / 51% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have covered the Run Line in 26 of their last 38 games (+12.35 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 46 of their last 80 games (+10.25 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 16 games at home (+8.90 Units / 51% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 21 games (+8.00 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Over in 45 of their last 79 games (+6.45 Units / 7% ROI)

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 36-45 against the Run Line (-13.8 Units / -12.74% ROI).

  • 37-44 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.7 Units / -11.35% ROI
  • 41-34 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.35 Units / 3.89% ROI
  • 34-41 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.05 Units / -12.89% ROI

Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Angels are 46-34 against the Run Line (-0.35 Units / -0.31% ROI).

  • 34-46 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.7 Units / -4.48% ROI
  • 40-37 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.6 Units / -0.68% ROI
  • 37-40 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.7 Units / -7.64% ROI

Angels vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Miguel Sano (LAA) 0.5 +325 0.5 -450
Riley Greene (DET) 0.5 +360 0.5 -500
Logan O'Hoppe (LAA) 0.5 +375 0.5 -500
Matt Vierling (DET) 0.5 +425 0.5 -600
Taylor Ward (LAA) 0.5 +450 0.5 -650

Angels vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Riley Greene (DET) 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Nolan Schanuel (LAA) 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Luis Rengifo (LAA) 0.5 -250 0.5 +195
Wenceel Perez (DET) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
Logan O'Hoppe (LAA) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165

Angels vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Riley Greene (DET) 0.5 +135 0.5 -175
Miguel Sano (LAA) 0.5 +135 0.5 -175
Colt Keith (DET) 0.5 +160 0.5 -225
Akil Baddoo (DET) 0.5 +160 0.5 -210
Matt Vierling (DET) 0.5 +165 0.5 -225

Angels vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Kenta Maeda (DET) 4.5 -125 4.5 -105
Zach Plesac (LAA) 3.5 +120 3.5 -155

Kenta Maeda has allowed a slugging percentage of .598 (55 Total Bases / 92 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 31 total IP; League Avg: .394 — first Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 25% (41/167) against Kenta Maeda’s curve and slider since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 95 total IP; League Avg: 42% — first Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 31% (52/169) against Kenta Maeda in two-strike counts since last season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 95 total IP; League Avg: 45% — second Percentile.

Kenta Maeda has thrown off-speed pitches 74% of the time (591/799) with two-strikes since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 95 total NonFB; League Avg: 52% — 100th Percentile.

Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Zach Plesac has a strikeout rate of just 5% (2 SO in 41 PAs) this month (2 games) — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 21% — 0 Percentile.

Zach Plesac has not struck out a hitter in his last 35 PAs against a LHH dating back to April 29th, 2023 — this is the longest active streak among active MLB players.

Opponents have a chase percentage of just 16% (10/63) against Zach Plesac this month (2 games) — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 28% — 0 Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .278 (184-for-661) against Zach Plesac since the 2022 season — tied for 14th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 160 total IP; League Avg: .245 — eighth Percentile.

Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Angels

The Tigers are 17-2 (.895) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .755.

The Tigers are just 63-69 (.477) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .577.

The Tigers are just 27-156 (.148) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .206.

The Tigers are just 40-53 (.430) after a home win since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .535.

Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers

The Angels are just 93-10 (.903) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .947.

The Angels are just 16-25 (.390) at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .534.

The Angels are just 18-20 (.474) after a loss as favorites since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .575.

The Angels are just 35-84 (.294) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .363.

The Tigers are batting just .309 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .340.

Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .650 (11,367 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .715.

Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .291 (11,367 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.

Tigers hitters are slugging just .359 against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .401.

Angels hitters have an OBP of just .277 (1,173 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.

The Angels are hitting just .212 against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in the game since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.

Angels hitters have an OBP of just .313 (1,943 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .328.

Angels hitters have an OBP of just .308 (3,955 PA’s) against LHP since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.

Tigers pitchers have walked 19 of 459 batters (4%) over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Tigers pitchers have walked 305 of 3,591 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Tigers pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

The Tigers have won just 23% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

Angels pitchers have walked 74 of 712 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Angels pitchers have walked 224 of 2,146 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Angels pitchers have walked 346 of 3,586 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Angels pitchers have walked 305 of 3,046 batters (10%) this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Angels vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Michael Stefanic (Los Angeles Angels): Quadriceps, 10-Day IL
  • Sam Bachman (Los Angeles Angels): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Mickey Moniak (Los Angeles Angels): Illness, Day-To-Day
  • Austin Warren (Los Angeles Angels): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Robert Stephenson (Los Angeles Angels): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Aaron Loup (Los Angeles Angels): Shoulder, Out
  • Randal Grichuk (Los Angeles Angels): Ankle, 10-Day IL
  • Kelvin Caceres (Los Angeles Angels): Lat, 60-Day IL
  • Jose Quijada (Los Angeles Angels): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Austin Meadows (Detroit Tigers): Personal, Out
  • Matthew Boyd (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
  • Sawyer Gipson-Long (Detroit Tigers): Groin, 15-Day IL
  • Brendan White (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Day-To-Day
  • Freddy Pacheco (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
  • Garrett Hill (Detroit Tigers): Lat, Out

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About the Author

Shane Jackson

Read More @Sjacksonmgm

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.