- The Cubs are -200 favorites vs the Tigers
- Tigers vs Cubs Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Tigers / Cubs TV Channel: MARQ | BSDT | ESPN+ | MLBN
The Detroit Tigers (+155) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (-190) on Thursday, August 22, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 2:20pm EDT in Chicago, IL.
This season, the Tigers are 62-65 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 60-67 ATS.
Tigers vs Cubs Starting Pitchers Today:
- Tigers starting pitcher: Undecided 0-0, 0.00 ERA
- Cubs starting pitcher: Justin Steele 3-5, 3.10 ERA
Tigers vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Tigers | +1.5 -140 | O 8 -120 | +155 |
| Cubs | -1.5 +115 | U 8 +100 | -190 |
Tigers vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 54.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Kerry Carpenter has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 12 games (+29.40 Units / 245% ROI)
- Colt Keith has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+13.55 Units / 27% ROI)
- Parker Meadows has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 14 games (+11.20 Units / 80% ROI)
- Parker Meadows has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+9.80 Units / 48% ROI)
- Parker Meadows has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+9.70 Units / 44% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Ian Happ has hit the Home Runs Over in 12 of his last 45 games (+30.45 Units / 68% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Hits Under in 26 of his last 37 games (+23.95 Units / 65% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Singles Under in 38 of his last 47 games (+23.90 Units / 33% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Total Bases Under in 28 of his last 38 games (+18.55 Units / 37% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 28 of his last 37 games (+17.30 Units / 36% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 29 of their last 40 games (+18.05 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 23 away games (+12.70 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 23 away games (+11.80 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 17 of their last 23 away games (+10.60 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 42 games (+10.40 Units / 23% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Under in 31 of their last 48 games at home (+12.60 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 64 of their last 115 games (+12.30 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 29 of their last 48 games at home (+8.20 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 40 games (+6.05 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 15 games at home (+5.85 Units / 29% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 67-60 against the Run Line (+0.9 Units / 0.52% ROI).
- 62-65 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.75 Units / -1.92% ROI
- 64-56 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.4 Units / 1.76% ROI
- 56-64 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.45 Units / -10.57% ROI
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 60-67 against the Run Line (-19.7 Units / -11.3% ROI).
- 62-65 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.7 Units / -3.05% ROI
- 55-68 when betting on the total runs Over for -19.95 Units / -14.25% ROI
- 68-55 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.6 Units / 5.45% ROI
Cubs vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Spencer Torkelson (DET) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Dillon Dingler (DET) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Andy Ibanez (DET) | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Javier Baez (DET) | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Matt Vierling (DET) | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -1200 |
Cubs vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andy Ibanez (DET) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Spencer Torkelson (DET) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Javier Baez (DET) | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +135 |
| Colt Keith (DET) | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
Cubs vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Spencer Torkelson (DET) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Andy Ibanez (DET) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Dillon Dingler (DET) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Matt Vierling (DET) | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Javier Baez (DET) | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
Cubs vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Justin Steele (CHC) | 5.5 -155 | 5.5 +120 |
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 61% (22/36) against Keider Montero this month (4 games) — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 42% — 98th Percentile.
Keider Montero has a strikeout rate of just 5% (1 SO in 19 PAs) with runners in scoring position this month (4 games) — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — first Percentile.
Keider Montero has walked 1 of 36 batters (3%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this month (4 games) — tied for 9th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 90th Percentile.
Keider Montero has a strikeout rate of just 17% (6 SO in 36 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (4 games) — tied for 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 18th Percentile.
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Justin Steele has allowed a slugging percentage of just .285 (117 Total Bases / 411 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .390 — 100th Percentile.
Justin Steele has thrown inside pitches 45% of the time (1,365/3,050) in non-two strike counts since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.
Justin Steele has thrown inside pitches 46% of the time (547/1,195) on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 115 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.
Justin Steele has allowed a slugging percentage of just .122 (12 Total Bases / 98 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 50 total IP; League Avg: .313 — 100th Percentile.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Tigers are 29-3 (.906) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .757.
The Tigers are 11-47 (.190) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .104.
The Tigers are 14-45 (.237) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .145.
The Tigers are just 30-168 (.152) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .206.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Cubs are just 52-49 (.515) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .586.
The Cubs are 19-10 (.655) after a home loss this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .533.
The Cubs are just 13-180 (.067) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .096.
The Cubs are just 8-111 (.067) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .102.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .298 (8,425 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .291 (12,763 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .295 (16,649 PA’s) since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .315.
The Tigers are batting just .309 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .339.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
The Cubs are batting just .224 at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Cubs hitters have an OPS of just .673 (2,298 PA’s) at home this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .724.
The Cubs are batting .162 on pitches out of the zone since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .151.
Cubs hitters have grounded into 157 double plays in 2,019 opportunities (8%) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers have won only 16% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Tigers pitchers this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Tigers pitchers have an ERA of 2.18 (107.1 IP) over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.08.
Tigers pitchers have walked 333 of 4,003 batters (8%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — tied for 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Cubs pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 57 double plays in 901 opportunities (6%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Cubs pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 33% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.
Cubs pitchers have walked 99 of 1,125 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Cubs pitchers have an ERA of 3.64 (1316.0 IP) at home since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 4.12.
Cubs vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Shane Greene (Chicago Cubs): Undisclosed, 60-Day IL
- Ben Brown (Chicago Cubs): Neck, 15-Day IL
- Nick Madrigal (Chicago Cubs): Hand, 7-Day IL
- Matt Mervis (Chicago Cubs): Hand, 7-Day IL
- Luis Vazquez (Chicago Cubs): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Yency Almonte (Chicago Cubs): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Keegan Thompson (Chicago Cubs): Ribs, 15-Day IL
- Jordan Wicks (Chicago Cubs): Oblique, 60-Day IL
- Hayden Wesneski (Chicago Cubs): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Luke Little (Chicago Cubs): Lat, 60-Day IL
- Caleb Kilian (Chicago Cubs): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Adbert Alzolay (Chicago Cubs): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Reese Olson (Detroit Tigers): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Alex Lange (Detroit Tigers): Lat, 60-Day IL
- Matt Manning (Detroit Tigers): Lat, 7-Day IL
- Parker Meadows (Detroit Tigers): Hamstring, 10-Day IL
- Matthew Boyd (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Sawyer Gipson-Long (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Eddys Leonard (Detroit Tigers): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Brendan White (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, 7-Day IL
- Casey Mize (Detroit Tigers): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Kerry Carpenter (Detroit Tigers): Back, 60-Day IL
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