- The Diamondbacks are -150 favorites vs the Tigers
- Tigers vs Diamondbacks Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Tigers / Diamondbacks TV Channel: DBTV | BSDT | MLBN
The Detroit Tigers (+125) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-150) on Saturday, May 18, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Phoenix, AZ.
This season, the Tigers are 22-22 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 20-25 ATS.
Tigers vs Diamondbacks Starting Pitchers Today:
- Tigers starting pitcher: Jack Flaherty 0-3, 3.97 ERA
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Zac Gallen 5-2, 2.87 ERA
Tigers vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Tigers | +1.5 -165 | O 7.5 -110 | +125 |
| Diamondbacks | -1.5 +140 | U 7.5 -110 | -150 |
Tigers vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 54.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Riley Greene has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 20 games (+15.40 Units / 77% ROI)
- Javier Baez has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+9.95 Units / 52% ROI)
- Riley Greene has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 14 away games (+9.25 Units / 64% ROI)
- Riley Greene has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 11 of his last 14 away games (+7.90 Units / 47% ROI)
- Kerry Carpenter has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 27 games (+7.10 Units / 13% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 18 games at home (+18.50 Units / 53% ROI)
- Corbin Carroll has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 21 of his last 26 games (+17.20 Units / 59% ROI)
- Corbin Carroll has hit the Total Bases Under in 24 of his last 29 games (+17.20 Units / 39% ROI)
- Corbin Carroll has hit the Runs Under in 23 of his last 28 games (+16.95 Units / 44% ROI)
- Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 21 games at home (+13.95 Units / 63% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 18 away games (+8.45 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 25 games (+5.75 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 16 away games (+5.55 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 27 games (+4.10 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 11 away games (+3.00 Units / 24% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 15 of their last 20 games (+10.05 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Under in 23 of their last 36 games (+8.55 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 34 games (+7.00 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.20 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 19 of their last 45 games (+2.00 Units / 3% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 20-24 against the Run Line (-4.9 Units / -8.32% ROI).
- 22-22 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.25 Units / -4.38% ROI
- 20-18 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.2 Units / 0.45% ROI
- 18-20 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.5 Units / -9.85% ROI
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 20-25 against the Run Line (-8.5 Units / -14.37% ROI).
- 21-24 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.8 Units / -10.42% ROI
- 19-24 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.7 Units / -15.35% ROI
- 24-19 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.45 Units / 7.06% ROI
Diamondbacks vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Joc Pederson (ARI) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Spencer Torkelson (DET) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Christian Walker (ARI) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Eugenio Suarez (ARI) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
| Ketel Marte (ARI) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
Diamondbacks vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (ARI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Corbin Carroll (ARI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Ketel Marte (ARI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Gabriel Moreno (ARI) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Diamondbacks vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Joc Pederson (ARI) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Ketel Marte (ARI) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Christian Walker (ARI) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (ARI) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Matt Vierling (DET) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Diamondbacks vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jack Flaherty (DET) | 5.5 -120 | 5.5 -110 |
| Zac Gallen (ARI) | 5.5 -105 | 5.5 -120 |
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .329 (23-for-70) against Jack Flaherty when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: .220 — second Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 35% (128/361) against Jack Flaherty this season — best among in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 48% (28/58) against Jack Flaherty with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 16 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Jack Flaherty’s K:BB ratio is 10.5 (63/6) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 3.1 — 100th Percentile.
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Zac Gallen has a first-pitch strike rate of just 47% (84/179) this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% — first Percentile.
Zac Gallen has allowed a slugging percentage of just .324 (113 Total Bases / 349 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .396 — 96th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .211 (127-for-601) against Zac Gallen when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .233 — 84th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of 39% (22/56) against Zac Gallen this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 16 total IP; League Avg: 24% — first Percentile.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Tigers are just 63-69 (.477) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .577.
The Tigers are just 21-30 (.412) after a home win since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .528.
The Tigers are just 37-48 (.435) after a home win since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .533.
The Tigers are 25-13 (.658) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .588.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Diamondbacks are just 133-24 (.847) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .906.
The Diamondbacks are just 151-15 (.910) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The Diamondbacks are just 88-9 (.907) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .948.
The Diamondbacks are 85-21 (.802) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .731.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .292 (10,294 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Tigers hitters are slugging just .357 against RHP since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .401.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .650 (10,294 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .715.
The Tigers are batting just .314 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .340.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks hitters have put just 35% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.
Diamondbacks hitters have just 103 strikeouts in 566 PA’s (18%) against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Diamondbacks are batting .288 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .244.
Diamondbacks hitters have an OPS of just .568 (518 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .678.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers have walked 281 of 3,269 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Tigers pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Tigers pitchers have won only 12% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 113 of 1,622 batters (7%) this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 16% in close and late situations this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% in close and late situations since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Diamondbacks vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jordan Lawlar (Arizona Diamondbacks): Thumb, 60-Day IL
- Alek Thomas (Arizona Diamondbacks): Hamstring, Day-To-Day
- Eduardo Rodriguez (Arizona Diamondbacks): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Paul Sewald (Arizona Diamondbacks): Oblique, 15-Day IL
- Jose Castillo (Arizona Diamondbacks): Hand, 7-Day IL
- Drey Jameson (Arizona Diamondbacks): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Austin Meadows (Detroit Tigers): Personal, Out
- Matthew Boyd (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
- Sawyer Gipson-Long (Detroit Tigers): Groin, 15-Day IL
- Brendan White (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Day-To-Day
- Freddy Pacheco (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
- Garrett Hill (Detroit Tigers): Lat, Out
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