- The Mariners are -210 favorites vs the Tigers
- Tigers vs Mariners Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Tigers / Mariners TV Channel: RTNW | BSDT | MLBN
The Detroit Tigers (+170) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-210) on Tuesday, August 6, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Seattle, WA.
This season, the Tigers are 53-60 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 50-63 ATS.
Tigers vs Mariners Starting Pitchers Today:
- Tigers starting pitcher: Keider Montero 1-5, 6.24 ERA
- Mariners starting pitcher: Luis Castillo 9-10, 3.44 ERA
Tigers vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Tigers | +1.5 -130 | O 7.5 -120 | +170 |
| Mariners | -1.5 +105 | U 7.5 +100 | -210 |
Tigers vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 63.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Javier Baez has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 games (+24.50 Units / 350% ROI)
- Colt Keith has hit the Total Bases Under in 33 of his last 49 games (+10.20 Units / 13% ROI)
- Gio Urshela has hit the Hits Under in his last 6 games (+8.00 Units / 73% ROI)
- Zach McKinstry has hit the Singles Under in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 67% ROI)
- Wenceel Perez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.85 Units / 60% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Justin Turner has hit the Runs Over in 16 of his last 24 games at home (+13.90 Units / 58% ROI)
- Randy Arozarena has hit the Hits Over in 31 of his last 41 games (+12.90 Units / 16% ROI)
- Luke Raley has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games at home (+11.70 Units / 146% ROI)
- Cal Raleigh has hit the RBIs Under in 15 of his last 17 games at home (+11.10 Units / 29% ROI)
- Justin Turner has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+9.40 Units / 41% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 55 of their last 96 games (+12.95 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 26 games (+11.80 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 15 away games (+7.80 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 15 away games (+6.50 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 11 of their last 15 away games (+6.30 Units / 32% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Under in 37 of their last 56 games at home (+17.05 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 34 of their last 57 games at home (+10.70 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 52 games at home (+10.60 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 47 games at home (+5.65 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.50 Units / 30% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 57-56 against the Run Line (-5.35 Units / -3.47% ROI).
- 53-60 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.75 Units / -7.58% ROI
- 60-46 when betting on the total runs Over for +9.05 Units / 7.47% ROI
- 46-60 when betting on the total runs Under for -20.05 Units / -16.58% ROI
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 50-63 against the Run Line (-17.5 Units / -12.21% ROI).
- 59-54 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.6 Units / -5.17% ROI
- 48-61 when betting on the total runs Over for -18.5 Units / -15.03% ROI
- 61-48 when betting on the total runs Under for +8.25 Units / 6.67% ROI
Mariners vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Mitch Haniger (SEA) | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -450 |
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Randy Arozarena (SEA) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Dylan Moore (SEA) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Jorge Polanco (SEA) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
Mariners vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Victor Robles (SEA) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Colt Keith (DET) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Randy Arozarena (SEA) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Justin Turner (SEA) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Mitch Haniger (SEA) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Mariners vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Randy Arozarena (SEA) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Mitch Haniger (SEA) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Justin Turner (SEA) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Dylan Moore (SEA) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
Mariners vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Luis Castillo (Sea) | 6.5 -110 | 6.5 -120 |
| Keider Montero (DET) | 5.5 +110 | 5.5 -145 |
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Keider Montero has allowed an OPS of 1.562 (18 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game in his last two starts — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .728 — first Percentile.
Keider Montero has a first-pitch strike rate of 77% (39/51) in his last two starts — 3rd highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 63% — 97th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .412 (7-for-17) against Keider Montero when going through the lineup the first time in a game in his last two starts — tied for highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .242 — second Percentile.
Keider Montero has allowed at least one HR in each of his last four games dating back to July 13rd — Carlos Rodon has the longest active streak at 8.
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Luis Castillo has allowed an OBP of just .247 (288 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 10th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .290 — 86th Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting just .195 (52-for-267) against Luis Castillo this season — 10th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .234 — 86th Percentile.
Luis Castillo has struck out just 17% (47/268) of left-handed batters he faced this season — 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 10th Percentile.
Luis Castillo has thrown fastballs 65% of the time (770/1,177) against right-handed batters this season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 46% — 100th Percentile.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Tigers are just 9-17 (.346) after a home win this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .518.
The Tigers are just 36-9 (.800) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .894.
The Tigers are just 27-40 (.403) after a home win since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .527.
The Tigers are 24-4 (.857) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .702.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Mariners are 102-17 (.857) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .789.
The Mariners are 37-4 (.902) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .802.
The Mariners are 21-12 (.636) after a home win this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .518.
The Mariners are 49-1 (.980) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .944.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
The Tigers are batting just .309 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .339.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .654 (12,317 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .716.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .299 (7,979 PA’s) against RHP since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Tigers hitters are slugging just .509 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .572.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mariners are batting just .199 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .262.
Mariners hitters have put just 32% of their swings in play with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Mariners hitters have an OBP of just .285 (513 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .327.
The Mariners have scored first in 78% of their games against division opponents this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers have walked 293 of 4,204 batters (7%) this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 24 of 460 batters (5%) over the last 14 days — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 6 of 198 batters (3%) over the past seven days (5 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Tigers have won just 23% of home games in which their opponents scored first since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
The Mariners pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 22% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Mariners pitchers have an ERA of 2.41 (284.0 IP) against division opponents this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.12.
Mariners pitchers have walked 21 of 419 batters (5%) over the last 14 days — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners pitchers have an ERA of 3.14 (1264.0 IP) at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.12.
Mariners vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- J.P. Crawford (Seattle Mariners): Finger, 10-Day IL
- Dominic Canzone (Seattle Mariners): Thigh, 10-Day IL
- Jackson Kowar (Seattle Mariners): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Sam Haggerty (Seattle Mariners): Achilles, 60-Day IL
- Matt Brash (Seattle Mariners): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Julio Rodriguez (Seattle Mariners): Ankle, 10-Day IL
- Reese Olson (Detroit Tigers): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Alex Lange (Detroit Tigers): Lat, 60-Day IL
- Matt Manning (Detroit Tigers): Lat, 7-Day IL
- Parker Meadows (Detroit Tigers): Hamstring, 10-Day IL
- Matthew Boyd (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Sawyer Gipson-Long (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Eddys Leonard (Detroit Tigers): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Brendan White (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, 7-Day IL
- Casey Mize (Detroit Tigers): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Kerry Carpenter (Detroit Tigers): Back, 60-Day IL
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