- The Mets are -130 favorites vs the Tigers
- Tigers / Mets TV Channel: SNY | BSDT
The Detroit Tigers (+110) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (-130) on Monday, April 1, 2024. First pitch is for this MLB matchup is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Flushing, NY.
This season, the Tigers are 3-0 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 0-3 ATS.
Tigers vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Tigers | +1.5 -200 | O 7.5 -110 | +110 |
| Mets | -1.5 +165 | U 7.5 -110 | -130 |
Tigers vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Monday‘s game with 51.2% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Andy Ibanez has hit the RBIs Over in his last 6 games (+11.15 Units / 186% ROI)
- Tarik Skubal has hit the Strikeouts Over in 12 of his last 16 games (+8.50 Units / 45% ROI)
- Andy Ibanez has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+7.80 Units / 19% ROI)
- Andy Ibanez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 82% ROI)
- Tarik Skubal has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+7.00 Units / 56% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Luis Guillorme has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+9.85 Units / 43% ROI)
- Luis Guillorme has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 20 games (+9.75 Units / 46% ROI)
- Brandon Nimmo has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 19 games at home (+9.70 Units / 23% ROI)
- Harrison Bader has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 13 of his last 17 games at home (+8.30 Units / 34% ROI)
- DJ Stewart has hit the Hits Under in his last 8 games at home (+8.25 Units / 88% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 48 away games (+18.75 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 41 of their last 78 away games (+16.75 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 47 of their last 78 away games (+16.52 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 31 of their last 48 away games (+12.79 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 29 games (+11.80 Units / 35% ROI)
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 47 of their last 78 games at home (+18.35 Units / 21% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 32 of their last 51 games (+15.55 Units / 24% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 17 games at home (+4.95 Units / 25% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 0-3 against the Run Line (-3 Units / -100% ROI).
- 3-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +3 Units / 70.59% ROI
- 1-2 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.35 Units / -39.13% ROI
- 2-1 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.9 Units / 28.57% ROI
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mets are 0-3 against the Run Line (-3 Units / -100% ROI).
- 0-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.85 Units / -100% ROI
- 1-2 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.1 Units / -34.38% ROI
- 2-1 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.9 Units / 26.47% ROI
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opposing hitters had a chase rate of 33% (51/154) against Reese Olson when he was behind in the count in the 2023 season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 96th Percentile.
87% of Reese Olson’s called strikeouts were low against right-handed batters in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 48% — 100th Percentile.
84% of Reese Olson’s called strikeouts were low in the 2023 season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 48% — 98th Percentile.
68% of Reese Olson’s called strikeouts were outside in the 2023 season — 13th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 49% — 93rd Percentile.
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Sean Manaea allowed a slugging percentage of .750 (27 Total Bases / 36 ABs) on low fastballs in the 2023 season — 6th highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .410 — fourth Percentile.
Opponents had a miss rate of just 20% (32/160) against Sean Manaea on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2023 season — 7th lowest among in MLB; League Avg: 30% — ninth Percentile.
Sean Manaea has not allowed a walk in his last 65 PAs against a RHH dating back to September 12nd, 2023 — Ryan Borucki has the longest active streak at 99.
Opponents had a miss rate of just 20% (32/160) against Sean Manaea on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2023 season — 9th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 30% — ninth Percentile.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Tigers were 32-9 (.780) when they scored in the first inning in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .612.
The Tigers are just 20-126 (.137) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .207.
The Tigers are just 9-14 (.375) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .497.
The Tigers are just 37-49 (.430) after a home loss since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .514.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Mets were just 6-39 (.133) when allowing 10 or more hits in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .271.
The Mets were just 2-72 (.027) when trailing entering the 8th inning in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .101.
The Mets are 152-2 (.987) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .951.
The Mets were just 5-65 (.071) when trailing entering the 7th inning in 2023 — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .141.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters are slugging just .355 against RHP since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .403.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .645 (9,094 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .718.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .290 (9,094 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .315.
The Tigers are batting just .217 on pitches 95 mph or greater since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mets have been successful on 71% of their hit & run attempts since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
The Mets batted just .238 against LHP in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .254.
The Mets have scored 170 runs in close and late situations since last season — fewest in MLB.
Mets hitters have an OBP of .346 (1,478 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .328.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers had an ERA of 2.93 (464.0 IP) against division opponents in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.32.
Tigers pitchers won only 16% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
The Tigers won just 23% of home games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Tigers pitchers since last season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Mets pitchers walked 591 of 6,084 batters (10%) in the 2023 season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Mets pitchers walked 140 of 1,412 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2023 season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% with runners in scoring position since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Mets vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Ronny Mauricio (New York Mets): Knee, 60-Day IL
- Sean Reid-Foley (New York Mets): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Tylor Megill (New York Mets): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- David Peterson (New York Mets): Hip, 60-Day IL
- Kodai Senga (New York Mets): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Austin Meadows (Detroit Tigers): Personal, Out
- Matthew Boyd (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
- Sawyer Gipson-Long (Detroit Tigers): Groin, 15-Day IL
- Brendan White (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Day-To-Day
- Freddy Pacheco (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
- Garrett Hill (Detroit Tigers): Lat, Out
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