- The Tigers are -145 favorites vs the Reds
- Tigers vs Reds Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Tigers / Reds TV Channel: BSOH | BSDT
The Detroit Tigers (-145) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (+120) on Sunday, July 7, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40pm EDT in Cincinnati, OH.
This season, the Tigers are 41-48 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 50-39 ATS.
Tigers vs Reds Starting Pitchers Today:
- Tigers starting pitcher: Tarik Skubal 9-3, 2.45 ERA
- Reds starting pitcher: Graham Ashcraft 5-4, 5.53 ERA
Tigers vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Tigers | -1.5 +115 | O 8.5 -120 | -145 |
| Reds | +1.5 -140 | U 8.5 +100 | +120 |
Tigers vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 61.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Tigers vs Reds and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Matt Vierling has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 26 games (+22.00 Units / 85% ROI)
- Matt Vierling has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 19 games (+14.45 Units / 41% ROI)
- Riley Greene has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+13.15 Units / 41% ROI)
- Gio Urshela has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 18 games (+12.60 Units / 34% ROI)
- Matt Vierling has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 19 games (+11.95 Units / 56% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Elly De La Cruz has hit the Hits Under in 28 of his last 47 games (+18.60 Units / 35% ROI)
- Jeimer Candelario has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 28 games (+16.60 Units / 59% ROI)
- Jeimer Candelario has hit the Total Bases Over in 25 of his last 41 games (+11.60 Units / 23% ROI)
- Will Benson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 12 of his last 14 games (+11.25 Units / 74% ROI)
- Jonathan India has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 30 games (+9.30 Units / 28% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 41 of their last 72 games (+9.85 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 25 away games (+7.80 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 16 of their last 25 away games (+7.60 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games (+3.05 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 games (+2.35 Units / 30% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 23 of their last 30 games at home (+15.30 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 43 of their last 73 games (+14.20 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 28 of their last 42 games at home (+11.05 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 42 of their last 71 games (+10.95 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 24 of their last 39 games (+7.50 Units / 16% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 40-49 against the Run Line (-15.15 Units / -12.58% ROI).
- 41-48 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.1 Units / -9.82% ROI
- 46-36 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.95 Units / 6.27% ROI
- 36-46 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.6 Units / -15.47% ROI
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Reds are 50-39 against the Run Line (+7.1 Units / 6% ROI).
- 42-47 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.3 Units / -4.15% ROI
- 38-47 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.5 Units / -14.75% ROI
- 47-38 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.85 Units / 4.96% ROI
Reds vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Vierling (DET) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Tyler Stephenson (CIN) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
| Jeimer Candelario (CIN) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
Reds vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Mark Canha (DET) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Zach McKinstry (DET) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Wenceel Perez (DET) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Tyler Stephenson (CIN) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +175 |
Reds vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Vierling (DET) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
| Colt Keith (DET) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Gio Urshela (DET) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Wenceel Perez (DET) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Reds vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tarik Skubal (DET) | 7.5 -105 | 7.5 -125 |
| Graham Ashcraft (CIN) | 4.5 +105 | 4.5 -135 |
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tarik Skubal has allowed an OBP of just .196 (153 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .284 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .146 (21-for-144) against Tarik Skubal when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .227 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .111 (10-for-90) against Tarik Skubal’s elevated fastball this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .211 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 23% (21/93) against Tarik Skubal when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 39% — 100th Percentile.
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Graham Ashcraft has an ERA of 7.43 (105.1 IP) against division opponents since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 164 total IP; League Avg: 3.98 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% (78/173) against Graham Ashcraft on elevated fastballs since the 2022 season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 164 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 97th Percentile.
Division opponents are hitting .317 (138-for-436) against Graham Ashcraft since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 164 total IP; League Avg: .246 — first Percentile.
Graham Ashcraft has an ERA of 6.23 (108.1 IP) at home since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 99 total IP; League Avg: 4.02 — first Percentile.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Tigers are 8-4 (.667) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Tigers are just 6-12 (.333) after a home win this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .522.
The Tigers are just 27-48 (.360) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .421.
The Tigers are just 25-107 (.189) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .267.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Reds are just 1-7 (.125) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Reds are just 2-10 (.167) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Reds are just 54-56 (.491) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .637.
The Reds are just 9-18 (.333) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
team hitters – away
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
team hitters – home
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
team pitchers – away
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .288 against Reds pitchers with runners on base since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .254.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Reds pitchers since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Reds vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Austin Wynns (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Sam Moll (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Noelvi Marte (Cincinnati Reds): Suspension, Suspension
- Matt McLain (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Joey Votto (Cincinnati Reds): Ankle, Out
- Nick Lodolo (Cincinnati Reds): Calf, 15-Day IL
- TJ Friedl (Cincinnati Reds): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Reiver Sanmartin (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, Out
- Alex Young (Cincinnati Reds): Back, 15-Day IL
- Ian Gibaut (Cincinnati Reds): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Brandon Williamson (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Connor Overton (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, Out
- Austin Meadows (Detroit Tigers): Personal, Out
- Matthew Boyd (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
- Sawyer Gipson-Long (Detroit Tigers): Groin, 15-Day IL
- Brendan White (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Day-To-Day
- Freddy Pacheco (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
- Garrett Hill (Detroit Tigers): Lat, Out
Bet now on Tigers vs Reds and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
